TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pelicans vs. Hornets: O/U 231.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$248,523
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$255,362

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $248,523 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0b4…fed6backed Over49c125,000$61,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61,249.8620055%110 W · 90 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Under51c80,000$40,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,20040446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Over49c54,391$26,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,651.6627747.7%132 W · 145 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f35…5016backed Under51c16,761$8,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,212.781136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid+98.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under50c14,976$7,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,443.679,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d8…c306backed Under51c14,429$7,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,069.98650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under51c14,412$7,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,061.7649246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under51c11,557$5,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,662.8670246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37f6…fbfbbacked Under51c11,543$5,887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,655.97850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Over50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62ba…ef56backed Over50c9,985$4,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,989.994358.1%25 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Under51c8,227$4,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,031.4524450%122 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Under51c7,843$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,843.1420849.5%103 W · 105 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf154…27e3backed Under51c5,490$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,690.29051.1%46 W · 44 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Over0c5,069$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.151,13217%192 W · 940 L+2.5wins0.00per pick17cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Over49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,45077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Under52c4,208$2,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,019.9624549%120 W · 125 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Under50c3,586$1,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,79331644.6%141 W · 175 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under51c3,500$1,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,73080737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Over50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50056453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Under51c2,865$1,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,403.7132150.8%163 W · 158 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Under52c2,731$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,310.8847856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Under53c2,358$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,108.4959140.8%241 W · 350 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Under51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98032051.9%166 W · 154 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Over49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98013954.7%76 W · 63 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over48c1,965$943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.21,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Over47c1,964$923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923.2438251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked Under51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.7810048%48 W · 52 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4949…478ebacked Under51c1,955$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$957.93548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under52c1,563$813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.4650754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under52c1,383$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.82,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under52c1,173$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.046,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over48c1,090$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.173,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a33…d0e2backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005468.5%37 W · 17 L+9.4wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+30%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7100…b346backed Under53c641.65$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.6320147.8%96 W · 105 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Over48c626$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.4815543.2%67 W · 88 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Under51c568.63$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.6317953.1%95 W · 84 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under77c539.01$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.318,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Over48c529.27$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.121,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Over49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20065649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over44c399.99$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17680744.1%356 W · 451 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.161,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.621,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0100…f6dcbacked Under51c372.55$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.558647.7%41 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43f1…04e9backed Over49c336.73$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1654445.5%20 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd947…9b61backed Under51c319.99$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.828751.9%149 W · 138 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under52c318$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.641,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3955…74cabacked Under51c312.57$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.872927.6%8 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-46.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under54c306.89$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.063,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over46c305.54$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.552,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under51c219.66$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.642,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9895047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b45…d196backed Under54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9212540.8%51 W · 74 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2825…c0e3backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over48c192$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.161,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb007…7f04backed Over47c172$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.849247.8%44 W · 48 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Over50c164.82$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.4162347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Over50c138$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6941048.3%198 W · 212 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over50c122$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612544%11 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-26.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc82a…cc74backed Over50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6012155.4%67 W · 54 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Under50c107.46$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.7343244%190 W · 242 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf97…4653backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aee…51a8backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ab…c3acbacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015953.5%85 W · 74 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Over31c99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6920149.8%100 W · 101 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49ac…d7c4backed Over50c84$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ec2…c5f1backed Over49c81.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406053.3%32 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ca9…0955backed Over50c69.78$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.89333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-38.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under51c64.71$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.711,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Over45c64.05$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8291148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Under55c59.76$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8955751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x350e…6539backed Under51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8214450%72 W · 72 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b7f…7aecbacked Under52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6943647.9%209 W · 227 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6976…3185backed Over50c56.8$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7f7…06c5backed Under51c52.31$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.6317750.8%90 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee60…6902backed Under52c52.09$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2537665.4%246 W · 130 L+62.0wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+31.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xa99e…fa3dbacked Under51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.021546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca3f…3f7dbacked Over48c43.81$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3908…20eabacked Under52c42.9$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.593357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ed4…620ebacked Under52c41.49$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9231155%171 W · 140 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under52c41.42$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.881,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c54…cc37backed Over50c36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa66d…0859backed Over50c34.9$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4521645.8%99 W · 117 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcbc…93a8backed Under50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154953.1%26 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cd3…772abacked Over50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155450%27 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x03a3…f3f0backed Over48c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x448a…3faabacked Under52c28.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.854245.2%19 W · 23 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Under52c28.33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.635049.4%173 W · 177 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0919…fcbcbacked Under52c27.87$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3816343.6%71 W · 92 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Over50c25.1$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5518150.3%91 W · 90 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ff7…9ab6backed Under51c22.91$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1645460.4%274 W · 180 L+21.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Under65c22.46$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9757657.8%333 W · 243 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71b6…4e91backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1036350.1%182 W · 181 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb08d…0779backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x019e…f2bfbacked Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Under60c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839756.7%225 W · 172 L+21.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.