TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pelicans vs. Hornets: O/U 233.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$194,703
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$194,590

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $194,703 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5ec1…057cbacked Under59c46,243$27,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,895.993946.2%18 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over42c27,926$11,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,676.629,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Over44c8,025$3,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,53192753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over42c5,961$2,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,514.774,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under57c4,603$2,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,982.532,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Over44c4,500$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,98012745.7%58 W · 69 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Over2c4,352$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.41,13217%192 W · 940 L+2.5wins0.00per pick17cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c54…5c67backed Over44c3,250$1,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,430425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick48cpaid-46.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2694…415abacked Over0c3,020$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.252240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick33cpaid-16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a88…88e4backed Over50c3,002$1,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,501425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-40.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Over50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50021549.8%107 W · 108 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4746…cc08backed Over50c2,995$1,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,497.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9952…2222backed Under50c2,928$1,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,463.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f84…5ce2backed Over50c2,900$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,450333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc750…f0a8backed Under50c2,896$1,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,448366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Over51c2,888$1,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,471.0258951.3%302 W · 287 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c4a…1593backed Over50c2,850$1,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,42530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4505…87cabacked Under50c2,789$1,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,394.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2faf…7e4dbacked Under50c2,765$1,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,382.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3992…cdd6backed Over50c2,755$1,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,377.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8016…dde5backed Under50c2,740$1,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,370250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over42c2,732$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,140.43,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe3b1…ef05backed Under50c2,723$1,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,361.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02c8…6ca3backed Under56c2,713$1,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,193.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f38…4656backed Over50c2,712$1,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,35630%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7924…6cefbacked Under50c2,688$1,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3442100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4938…6f45backed Over50c2,685$1,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,342.530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x00ac…7ad8backed Over50c2,673$1,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,336.530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9158…14c3backed Under50c2,654$1,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3272100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1949…09ffbacked Under50c2,625$1,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,312.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc22…bbd0backed Under56c2,622$1,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,153.68333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5365…8767backed Over50c2,617$1,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,308.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06d9…a3efbacked Over50c2,601$1,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,300.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7967…8896backed Under50c2,578$1,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2892100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd8a2…9984backed Under50c2,561$1,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,280.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81cd…9f08backed Under56c2,556$1,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,124.64333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa347…2578backed Over50c2,550$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,275333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7854…122abacked Under50c2,542$1,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,271333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc740…aacabacked Under50c2,523$1,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,261.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6866…fc25backed Over50c2,503$1,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,251.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Under52c2,453$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,177.321,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc56…015bbacked Under50c2,446$1,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,223333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd941…551bbacked Over44c2,411$1,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,060.84333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8054…b0debacked Over44c2,366$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,041.04666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+31.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9928…d8dfbacked Over51c2,348$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,189.86333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa36…d240backed Over50c2,267$1,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,133.530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x947d…e6fcbacked Over44c2,256$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992.64333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9425…118dbacked Under56c2,235$1,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$983.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf0e…2f05backed Over44c2,222$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.68333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under57c2,210$1,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$955.151,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9ac…ab48backed Under56c2,210$1,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$972.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+27.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Under55c2,160$1,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$971.861,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbe57…c696backed Over45c2,056$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925.2450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x097c…9f30backed Under56c2,054$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903.76333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cba…63bebacked Over44c2,053$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903.32250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x742a…0cf6backed Under56c2,053$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903.32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+27.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x815a…fe34backed Over44c2,053$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903.32333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over49c2,049$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004.0195651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda08…4998backed Under55c2,047$1,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921.15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcba8…a6e0backed Under55c2,046$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x613b…e5ffbacked Over44c2,045$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7be…d1bfbacked Under56c2,045$1,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e92…4d39backed Over45c2,045$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x722a…631dbacked Over44c2,044$899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.36333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…4199backed Under56c2,041$1,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898.04333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b5e…1082backed Over44c2,036$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.84366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3c…57e2backed Over44c2,036$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.8430%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb739…ee68backed Under55c2,036$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c59…3dc7backed Over45c2,034$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3da0…5457backed Under56c2,032$1,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$894.08475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+44.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf32d…da97backed Under56c2,031$1,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$893.64333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0242…ca4bbacked Under55c2,025$1,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2f…ffbdbacked Over44c2,023$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890.12250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8eb2…d81abacked Over45c2,023$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$910.35333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ec6…3639backed Under56c2,021$1,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+24.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5496…a8b1backed Over44c2,021$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889.2430%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x229c…36b1backed Under56c2,021$1,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.24250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20dd…e078backed Under55c2,014$1,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad1b…4926backed Under56c2,012$1,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885.28560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ba0…3927backed Over45c2,012$905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cca…7cb8backed Over44c2,012$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885.28333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8458…0132backed Under56c2,011$1,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.84333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb42e…8a2abacked Under56c2,011$1,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.84250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79ec…9a57backed Over44c2,009$884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883.9620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7a2…37c3backed Under56c2,006$1,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882.64580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+54.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd20a…9959backed Under56c2,005$1,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882.2650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01f5…f3c3backed Over44c2,004$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.76333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x209a…c308backed Under55c2,003$1,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901.35250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf09…44fdbacked Over44c2,002$881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa412…7315backed Over45c2,001$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.4520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x64b9…122bbacked Over44c1,836$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.84333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Over42c1,683$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.531,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over43c1,580$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.334,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under59c1,387$818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.676,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over41c1,276$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.223,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Under53c1,235$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.7880653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over40c1,149$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.741,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over41c1,120$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.932,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Over4c521.84$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1183039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over31c501.01$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.523,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.