TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2502…02e0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
79
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Us Midterms, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Us Midterms at 51 out of 100; worst Lol at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT4736.2%17 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: BFX (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$420
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,349Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+77.6%+$2,600.82
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$453.39
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.5
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$29
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$282.6
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$20.34
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.99
LoL: LYON vs LOUD (BO5) - First Stand Group Bbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.4
LoL: LYON vs LOUD - Game 3 Winnerbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.02
LoL: LYON vs LOUD - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: LYON vs LOUD - Game 1 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.2
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.72
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.07
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$324.5
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$97
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 4 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.88
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$157
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+400%+$80
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1625%4 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.79
Will Natthaphong Ruengpanyawut be the next prime minister of Thailand?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.1
Will Yodchanan Wongsawat be the next prime minister of Thailand?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.62
Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,859Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,858.62
Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$606Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+60.4%+$365.91
Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win fewer than 120 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,625Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$3,625.1
Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win between 120 and 134 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,604Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,604.04
Will the Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win 140 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$56.03
Will People’s Party (PPLE) finish in second place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$303Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+256.9%+$779.59
Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,344Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+200.2%+$2,690.66
Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) finish in third place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10.75
Will People’s Party (PPLE) finish in third place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$72.26
Will Pheu Thai Party (PT) finish in third place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$97.06
Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) finish in second place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$65.2
Will Pheu Thai Party (PT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,944Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$1,943.89
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,944Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+242.2%+$4,707.1
All 16 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
Sunderland AFC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+132.6%+$19.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+53.8%+$7
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RCD Mallorca vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+44.9%+$14.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$30.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$186.71
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.