World Politics · resolved market
Will the Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win 140 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ca4bd854c2d5093d8ad19c99c5eadff83d001ce68c6baa380ead0d62494c004
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,394
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,800
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,394 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd498…80aebacked Yes | 65c | 3,725$2,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.11 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.27per pick | 28cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d0…6078backed Yes | 47c | 3,431$1,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,820.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc92…91cfbacked No | 46c | 2,270$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x954f…025dbacked No | 60c | 1,130$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.44 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04ac…76debacked No | 44c | 1,046$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.19 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…c193backed No | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…ceeebacked No | 11c | 908$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.88 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 13c | 768$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | +9.2wins | +0.12per pick | 14cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…9149backed No | 48c | 750.03$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.79 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 54c | 722$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.88 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf01b…24a5backed Yes | 43c | 715$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 21cpaid | +150.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 52c | 561.99$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.49 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked No | 57c | 492.2$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.25 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed Yes | 45c | 469.49$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.09 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bb…0d1dbacked Yes | 49c | 462.58$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb7…3297backed Yes | 43c | 452.55$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.78 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa22…5e49backed Yes | 44c | 447.4$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe91…2696backed No | 45c | 434.66$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed No | 53c | 269$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.57 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3240…5d25backed No | 53c | 259.8$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.8 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9184…6048backed Yes | 39c | 256.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad70…4ccfbacked No | 7c | 251.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 72 | 16.7%12 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f92…15d2backed Yes | 55c | 240$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d9…d867backed No | 54c | 230$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 54c | 204.22$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.73 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56d1…83eabacked No | 54c | 200$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…15dfbacked Yes | 42c | 182$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.04 | 78 | 17.9%14 W · 64 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37a5…4512backed No | 56c | 177.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x356d…9929backed Yes | 44c | 167.27$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.67 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 57c | 166.13$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.69 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -91.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0958…7e8dbacked No | 42c | 160.95$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe7…e766backed No | 42c | 160.17$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.27 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbee7…dc3abacked Yes | 55c | 141.75$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.81 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +135.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2502…02e0backed No | 44c | 127.34$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.03 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…990dbacked No | 53c | 106.07$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.44 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa598…2ff3backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0b…b8b2backed Yes | 61c | 80.01$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0676…3b27backed Yes | 42c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 48c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 223 | 55.6%124 W · 99 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 54c | 61.1$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.96 | 367 | 42.5%156 W · 211 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes | 66c | 58.24$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf924…435bbacked No | 53c | 55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 49c | 53.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0748…103bbacked Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 55c | 47.91$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.37 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7c…2ad2backed Yes | 41c | 47.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.03 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +495.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 316 | 35.1%111 W · 205 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd6…6ec2backed No | 63c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f11…53dcbacked Yes | 50c | 39.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 58c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…9628backed Yes | 47c | 28.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.98 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 50c | 27.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 314 | 43.9%138 W · 176 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc77b…a526backed No | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40d…e3acbacked No | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Yes | 58c | 19.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win 140 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?this page
- Will the Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win between 100 and 109 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?No won
- Will the Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win between 110 and 119 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?No won
- Will the Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win between 120 and 129 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?No won
- Will the Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win between 130 and 139 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?No won
- Will the Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win between 90 and 99 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?No won
- Will the Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win fewer than 90 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.