TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbee7…dc3a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
165
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Middle East, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 57 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT3050%15 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: RED Canids vs LOS - Game 3 Winnerbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.9
Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)backed Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$51.15
LoL: LOUD vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.39
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.74
LoL: FURIA Esports vs RED Canids (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$288.71
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$20.17
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+82.9%+$73.66
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.25
Game Handicap: RED (-1.5) vs Leviatan Esports (+1.5)backed RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+42.1%+$23.59
Game Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs paiN Gaming (+1.5)backed FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.14
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)backed Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$7.02
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.5
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$17.48
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Fnatic (+1.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.69
LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Kaufland Hangry Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.87
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.19
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$22.87
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.33
LoL: Natus Vincere vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.21
Game Handicap: Navi (-1.5) vs SK Gaming (+1.5)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.37
Game Handicap: BFX (-2.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+2.5)backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+60.5%+$27.21
LoL: LYON vs LOUD - Game 4 Winnerbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$30.47
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$11.21
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT1942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Will Sweetgreen (SG) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Kraft Heinz (KHC) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$27.36
Will Cloudflare (NET) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10.01
Will Lyft (LYFT) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$11.74
Will Ford Motor (F) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$110.78
Will The Williams Companies (WMB) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$32.24
Will Datadog Inc (DDOG) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$11.59
Will Marriott International (MAR) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+178.1%+$67.25
Will ON Semiconductor (ON) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$42.62
Will Apollo Global Management (APO) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+30.2%+$17.16
Will Under Armour (UAA) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+71.4%+$27.38
Will Roblox (RBLX) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+51.5%+$15.14
Will Peloton Interactive (PTON) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+122.2%+$49.5
Will ConocoPhillips (COP) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+264.4%+$55.91
Will Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc (CMG) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$28.58
Will Aptiv (APTV) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+400%+$111.68
Will Chevron (CVX) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Starbucks (SBUX) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+29.9%+$24.39
All 19 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+135.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$26.67
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$39.07
Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$15.45
Will the Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.82
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+300.6%+$273.56
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win <25 seats in the Slovenian National Assembly in this election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$17.24
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$30.87
Will the Social Democrats’ Popular Vote Margin of Victory in the 2026 Denmark Parliamentary Election be between 5% and 10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Venstre win 15-19 seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+85%+$12.75
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party (RSP) win 150 or more seats in Nepal’s 2026 House of Representatives election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.68
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.13
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+2,182.1%+$268.62
Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$16.62
Will the Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win 140 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+81.9%+$63.81
Will the Democratic Party For the People win between 27 and 30 seats in the 2026 Japanese snap general election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$72.19
Will the Japan Innovation Party loose any seats in Japanese snap election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$21.35
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.27
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.33
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$159.31
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.47
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.7
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.02
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+120.4%+$102.44
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.06
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.49
Pacers vs. Bullsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$39.26
Warriors vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$16.88
Bucks vs. Thunderbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+426.3%+$55.85
Wizards vs. Pistonsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+63.9%+$19.16
Hornets vs. Clippersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$58.88
Celtics vs. Pacers: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$58
All 16 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+39%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Commodities — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.43
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+66.6%+$30.24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.51
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+105.1%+$20.14
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$47.07
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.02
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$32.74
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.32
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.21
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$35.37
Will Sporting CP reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+46.6%+$5.32
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+72.9%+$26.09
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$12.5
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+120.3%+$18.05
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+81.8%+$16.36
All 10 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick20cpaid-74.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$83.03
Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$112.69
Will the United States win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$31.35
Will Belgium record a gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+127.3%+$12.73
Will the United States win the third most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$32.88
Will Italy win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$55.92
Will the United States win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20.33
Will Slovakia win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15.62
Men's Semifinals - USA vs. Slovakiabacked Slovakia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 9 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.31per pick55cpaid+56.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-71%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+29.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-66.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-37.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-52.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Spread: Estoril Praia (-1.5)backed Estoril Praia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will FC Porto win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+42.9%+$30
All 3 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.04
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+88.7%+$25.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC (-1.5)backed Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$43.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+63.9%+$64.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Meta Platforms (META) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of January 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+33.5%+$35.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 180m and 190m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.