Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-02-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x882a2ff5a49a13e682ea0393d8fa1cd3495c8f62a828d32fde5551137add64e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $248,101
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $241,185
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $248,101 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94f0…cd31backed Yes | 53c | 166,000$87,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87,979.98 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 69cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 47c | 100,000$47,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,000 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked No | 47c | 30,000$14,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,900 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,600 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 55c | 10,427$5,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,741.96 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 46c | 8,549$3,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,618.14 | 92 | 27.2%25 W · 67 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 45c | 8,192$3,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,516.54 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 44c | 7,978$3,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,467.5 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 47c | 6,888$3,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,650.84 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked No | 52c | 6,500$3,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,120 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 5,723$2,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,027.2 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 52c | 4,866$2,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,538.56 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 47c | 3,889$1,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,056.14 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked No | 54c | 3,733$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,732.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 53c | 3,336$1,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.89 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 45c | 2,828$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,558.15 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa42…2ff3backed Yes | 0c | 2,586$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1353…c7fdbacked Yes | 55c | 1,820$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6e…e9e3backed Yes | 18c | 1,500$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.99 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 64c | 1,251$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.72 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 55c | 1,133$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 55c | 1,038$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.9 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 12c | 972.59$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.01 | 124 | 40.3%50 W · 74 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Yes | 49c | 899.95$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.98 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 56c | 890.35$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc61a…c00cbacked Yes | 37c | 752.02$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.14 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd7…b713backed Yes | 2c | 687.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b40…8ab4backed Yes | 39c | 643$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.62 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 45c | 614.51$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.98 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43ff…30e8backed Yes | 45c | 613.33$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.3 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2452…4571backed Yes | 51c | 601.07$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.4 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Yes | 18c | 600$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked Yes | 49c | 599.99$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x858d…9d9fbacked Yes | 17c | 596.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 55c | 565.45$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Yes | 54c | 564.33$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.74 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 45c | 561$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.71 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0866…a1d5backed Yes | 53c | 560.8$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…86abbacked Yes | 55c | 543.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Yes | 56c | 535.8$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 6c | 500$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 106 | 17.9%19 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Yes | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.25per pick | 51cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 56c | 487$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.05 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 45c | 469.48$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.55 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Yes | 55c | 409.99$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.49 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Yes | 52c | 365.38$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 45c | 365$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.75 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9de…b193backed Yes | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 21c | 329.66$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.75 | 357 | 40.6%145 W · 212 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked No | 49c | 326.53$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.53 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 48c | 305.11$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.09 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 54c | 267.59$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.5 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…5d96backed Yes | 51c | 249.99$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 45c | 247.28$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.05 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 46c | 238.19$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.75 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 55c | 236.36$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 24c | 217.39$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.37 | 142 | 62.7%89 W · 53 L | +15.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Yes | 48c | 206.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6250…8707backed Yes | 49c | 205.71$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc5…a45bbacked Yes | 54c | 203.89$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.9 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcea2…8ea7backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…d938backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…20a1backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d9…f193backed Yes | 13c | 175.79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b02…ae87backed Yes | 54c | 170$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 44c | 169.73$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.05 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked Yes | 56c | 162.77$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.15 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 44c | 160$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.39 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 54c | 157.39$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.24 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Yes | 39c | 157$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.85 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 45c | 146.23$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.75 | 132 | 58.3%77 W · 55 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 45c | 127$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.16 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 45c | 122.43$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 123 | 19.5%24 W · 99 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes | 55c | 118.62$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.09 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes | 57c | 118.39$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.62 | 90 | 70%63 W · 27 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Yes | 50c | 116$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 227 | 27.8%63 W · 164 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf2…2d63backed Yes | 56c | 110.36$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 68 | 22.1%15 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed No | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked No | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3138…b523backed Yes | 51c | 99.45$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.72 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x514f…ee49backed Yes | 56c | 89.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 63c | 85.37$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.59 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed No | 46c | 76.22$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.16 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked No | 43c | 75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9e…a8a9backed No | 46c | 72.82$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.96 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 69c | 72.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.87 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-02-15?this page
- Will AVS Futebol vs. Estoril Praia end in a draw?No won
- Will AVS Futebol win on 2026-02-15?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.