Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will AVS Futebol win on 2026-02-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9b0929879aa2eb8649a48fa551ac1de1f335cefb8148dc317f9827985b856c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,674
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,811
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,674 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b7e…4674backed No | 0c | 3,788$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Yes | 21c | 3,309$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,614.24 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 16c | 2,521$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.16 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 21c | 2,472$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,951.45 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed No | 79c | 2,450$1,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,935.5 | 43 | 79.1%34 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 1,457$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.03 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 60c | 1,009$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.18 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafce…c2f6backed No | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 2c | 813.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 22c | 684.03$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.37 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked No | 45c | 611$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.95 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 55c | 594$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.3 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked No | 42c | 472.45$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 22c | 459.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.79 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 78c | 393.02$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.45 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed No | 79c | 354.43$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 79c | 240$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.6 | 199 | 54.3%108 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed No | 45c | 224.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 78c | 216$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.48 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…f407backed Yes | 22c | 204.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.19 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed No | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x423c…25d5backed No | 45c | 200.03$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.91 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64c2…8a33backed Yes | 56c | 181.16$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.71 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.35per pick | 53cpaid | +99.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 78c | 165$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.7 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 40c | 160$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbb…92efbacked Yes | 21c | 150$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.5 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked No | 42c | 142.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed No | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 63.7%65 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcea2…8ea7backed No | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 21c | 104.89$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.86 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 78c | 97.48$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.03 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 22c | 90$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9e…a8a9backed Yes | 20c | 82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.6 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed No | 49c | 61.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 19c | 59.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.59 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 21c | 58.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.13 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed No | 41c | 54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Yes | 59c | 52.54$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06f0…ad99backed No | 62c | 52.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.78 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b82…7f3cbacked No | 40c | 51.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed No | 78c | 43.49$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.92 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6a…0665backed Yes | 53c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +143.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d4…3691backed No | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3b…6583backed No | 45c | 37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…3f2dbacked No | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 79c | 26.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 137 | 70.8%97 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb4…d8adbacked No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed No | 66c | 22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x939e…133cbacked No | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x482c…cbe8backed No | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -4.2wins | -0.20per pick | 72cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AVS Futebol win on 2026-02-15?this page
- Will AVS Futebol vs. Estoril Praia end in a draw?No won
- Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-02-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.