TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2452…4571

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
115
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,005Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,004.51
Will Liverpool FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$556Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$602.68
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$247.5
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$394Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+102.3%+$402.94
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Aston Villa FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+56.3%+$133.31
Stoke City FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+39%+$39.03
Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$106.95
Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+29.9%+$14.27
Will Arsenal win on 2024-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST-100%-$215
Will Arsenal win on 2024-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$100
Will Newcastle win on 2024-12-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST+122.2%+$72.11
Will Leicester vs. West Ham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Will West Ham win on 2024-12-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST+56.9%+$28.44
Will Ipswich vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+108.3%+$43.33
Will Tottenham win on 2024-12-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester United win on 2024-12-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+61.3%+$61.29
Will Arsenal win on 2024-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST+42.9%+$42.86
Will Brighton vs. Southampton end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST+143.9%+$28.78
Will Man Utd win on 2024-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Will Southampton vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST-100%-$40
Will Liverpool win on 2024-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST+93%+$92.96
Will Chelsea win on 2024-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2024, EST+44.9%+$44.93
All 24 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT2437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.8wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-37.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,450Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,449.72
Cavaliers vs. Thunderbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$550
Team World vs. Team USA Stripesbacked Team USA Stripes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+102.4%+$184.78
Team World vs. Team USA Starsbacked Team World · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$195
Will the USA Stripes team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$180
Nuggets vs. Wizardsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST-100%-$100
Lakers vs. Heatbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Lakers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Celtics vs. Cavaliersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$30
Magic vs. Netsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+44.9%+$13.48
Hawks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST-100%-$30
Bulls vs. Wizardsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2024, EST+72.4%+$72.41
Magic vs. Hornetsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2024, EST+56.3%+$22.5
Timberwolves vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST+37%+$18.49
Knicks vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2024, EST+66.4%+$20.33
Nets vs. 76ersbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST-100%-$30
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST+122.2%+$36.67
Bulls vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST+29.9%+$22.73
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2024, EST-100%-$60
Cavaliers vs. Celticsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST+69.5%+$20.85
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Bucks vs. Hornetsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$30
All 24 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$483Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$335.55
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$369Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$369
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$259
Will Livingston FC win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$741Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+83.9%+$621.84
Will NEC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$100
AFC Ajax vs. NEC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+74.3%+$148.53
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+61.2%+$489.79
Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$305.4
AVS Futebol vs. Estoril Praia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$409Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$409.43
Will FC Porto win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+56.2%+$144
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+104.1%+$102
Spread: Kilmarnock FC (-1.5)backed Celtic FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+49.5%+$74.18
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$578Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+26.4%+$152.5
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-27.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$235.16
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$686Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$685.8
Will Inter Milan advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,084Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$2,083.93
Will Aston Villa beat Juventus?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST+66.7%+$33.33
Will Liverpool beat Real Madrid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST+75.4%+$37.72
Will PSV beat Shakhtar Donetsk?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST+47.1%+$23.53
Will Shakhtar Donetsk beat PSV?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST+138.1%+$31
Will Celtic beat Club Brugge?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST-100%-$50
Will Red Star Belgrade beat Stuttgart?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST-100%-$70
Will the match between Sturm Graz and Girona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST-100%-$30
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-37.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,027Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,026.61
Roland Garros ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Jesper de Jongbacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$509Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$508.76
Roland Garros ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+80.1%+$187.55
Roland Garros ATP: Raphael Collignon vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+33.1%+$100.55
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Alina Korneevabacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$177.36
Roland Garros WTA: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.86
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$222
All 8 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-50.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+38.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2024, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Chess — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-55.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+119%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toulouse FC vs. Paris FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+138.1%+$276.16
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+100%+$295
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+100.2%+$300.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apple announce the iPhone 17e by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.