NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Wizards
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38e9dbbe957ae44b48ad9f0b603f2e07fc486d26736af322049bd21cccf8ca73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bullsof Bulls, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $296,445
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $336,020
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $296,445 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 420 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Wizards | 17c | 51,487$8,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,738.79 | 228 | 32%73 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Wizards | 34c | 22,128$7,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,544.81 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccb…0a10backed Bulls | 55c | 11,019$6,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,947.16 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b4…6ab9backed Bulls | 66c | 9,507$6,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,232.46 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Wizards | 33c | 8,964$2,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,983.25 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8823…4c34backed Wizards | 38c | 8,457$3,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,253.55 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2db…1856backed Bulls | 66c | 7,576$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,575.76 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Bulls | 67c | 7,500$5,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,475 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Wizards | 27c | 7,000$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Wizards | 4c | 6,826$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.53 | 117 | 19.7%23 W · 94 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x874e…52d7backed Bulls | 66c | 6,126$4,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,087.65 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Wizards | 33c | 5,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.96 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Wizards | 35c | 4,984$1,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,744.48 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…b458backed Wizards | 11c | 3,751$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.47 | 119 | 26.1%31 W · 88 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Wizards | 19c | 3,428$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.01 | 238 | 35.7%85 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd065…93e8backed Bulls | 59c | 3,398$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398.12 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Wizards | 39c | 3,191$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.8 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Wizards | 32c | 3,185$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.17 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…5d34backed Bulls | 55c | 3,164$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423.9 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Wizards | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…bb26backed Bulls | 72c | 2,973$2,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.79 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x128e…a35bbacked Wizards | 33c | 2,937$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.7 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Wizards | 40c | 2,668$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.77 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0e…113dbacked Bulls | 66c | 2,500$1,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.93 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x719d…4e73backed Wizards | 22c | 2,342$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.54 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Bulls | 65c | 2,128$1,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.63 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Wizards | 34c | 2,003$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.02 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Wizards | 4c | 1,979$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.92 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e17…779abacked Bulls | 59c | 1,924$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.81 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 64cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Wizards | 3c | 1,919$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.79 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e44…79c9backed Bulls | 65c | 1,495$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.35 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8df…32b4backed Wizards | 9c | 1,402$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.03 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa099…b806backed Bulls | 66c | 1,381$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.28 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 45cpaid | +53%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55ea…2ba7backed Bulls | 68c | 1,309$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.04 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Wizards | 34c | 1,229$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.02 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…d97fbacked Wizards | 1c | 1,215$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Bulls | 67c | 1,160$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.7 | 145 | 63.4%92 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed Wizards | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Bulls | 66c | 1,000$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.5 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Wizards | 36c | 965.25$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.12 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581c…7f94backed Bulls | 66c | 950$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc25e…b592backed Bulls | 66c | 939.39$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.39 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54c2…e299backed Bulls | 65c | 930.77$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.77 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac6…a6cebacked Wizards | 36c | 930.56$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Bulls | 56c | 910.82$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.76 | 236 | 46.6%110 W · 126 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eef…5592backed Wizards | 35c | 882.86$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Wizards | 33c | 877.63$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.77 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Wizards | 2c | 859.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb88d…291abacked Bulls | 68c | 806.36$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.79 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…b3c5backed Wizards | 34c | 800$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…28fabacked Wizards | 3c | 761.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 224 | 30.8%69 W · 155 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…2257backed Wizards | 32c | 742.85$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.71 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…33ccbacked Bulls | 65c | 727.92$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.92 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa441…dedebacked Bulls | 67c | 716.25$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.36 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe256…12f8backed Bulls | 68c | 698.67$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.02 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c4…a0b3backed Bulls | 65c | 609.24$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.23 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked Wizards | 33c | 602$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.04 | 172 | 44.2%76 W · 96 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Wizards | 34c | 600$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 235 | 48.1%113 W · 122 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Bulls | 70c | 552.9$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.77 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x592b…5511backed Wizards | 36c | 538.89$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ba…2373backed Wizards | 6c | 526.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe5…500fbacked Wizards | 3c | 468.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33b5…88bfbacked Bulls | 78c | 450.19$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.04 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Bulls | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed Wizards | 33c | 442.71$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.52 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…21d8backed Bulls | 68c | 438.43$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.43 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Wizards | 35c | 424.63$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.62 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b6…c841backed Wizards | 56c | 374.01$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.45 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef3b…5cefbacked Bulls | 67c | 352.64$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.87 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…9cf8backed Bulls | 67c | 350$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Bulls | 63c | 349.98$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.99 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0661…a72ebacked Bulls | 67c | 328.36$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.36 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Bulls | 65c | 313.85$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.85 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed5…a76ebacked Bulls | 65c | 307.77$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.77 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e20…f3e7backed Bulls | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f88…1272backed Wizards | 37c | 302.7$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb27e…336fbacked Bulls | 64c | 302.54$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.54 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20d1…bf0cbacked Wizards | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Wizards | 36c | 299.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3462…d3d2backed Wizards | 34c | 289.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 101 | 53.5%54 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3849…35ebbacked Bulls | 66c | 288.37$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.05 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5726…9c06backed Wizards | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e71…a426backed Bulls | 65c | 276.92$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.92 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e7…a536backed Wizards | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48d3…5d66backed Wizards | 38c | 269.5$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.88 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f8…a7e8backed Bulls | 77c | 259.9$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.9 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0c…ad7cbacked Bulls | 66c | 250$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e0…ebcfbacked Bulls | 65c | 230.77$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8b…4f21backed Wizards | 28c | 230.01$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.15 | 128 | 41.4%53 W · 75 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe28e…22e4backed Wizards | 20c | 228.24$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8140…b92fbacked Wizards | 34c | 219.41$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.6 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e12…141ebacked Wizards | 18c | 209.94$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 109 | 21.1%23 W · 86 L | -10.5wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…e446backed Wizards | 35c | 200$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36ed…6950backed Bulls | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf534…b055backed Wizards | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 37cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28f0…1b45backed Wizards | 38c | 199.93$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.98 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…7aa4backed Bulls | 65c | 185.95$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.08 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Wizards | 33c | 176.85$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.89 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2452…4571backed Bulls | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ee…2f00backed Bulls | 64c | 167.19$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.19 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.