TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb2ee…2f00

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
119
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: CS2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT4955.1%27 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$8.76
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$18.46
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.43
Celtics vs. Hornetsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+109.8%+$15.7
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Pelicans vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+41%+$8.73
Thunder vs. Pistonsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$13.1
Warriors vs. Pelicansbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$17.3
Heat vs. Pelicansbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+90.1%+$23.7
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+66.4%+$11.79
Bulls vs. Netsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Heat vs. Kingsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+64.6%+$7.85
Celtics vs. Pacersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$13.6
Thunder vs. Grizzliesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+58.7%+$9.25
Thunder vs. 76ersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$8.4
Lakers vs. Bullsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Celtics vs. Sunsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$25.2
Bulls vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Mavericks vs. Hornetsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$33.5
Cavaliers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+40.9%+$14.5
Grizzlies vs. Spursbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST+75.4%+$21.5
Thunder vs. Mavericksbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$38
Clippers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST+42.9%+$15
Mavericks vs. Pelicansbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST-100%-$23.6
Grizzlies vs. Spursbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST+72.4%+$16.94
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT4365.1%28 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kraken vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.2
Avalanche vs. Flamesbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
Hurricanes vs. Maple Leafsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.8
Kings vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.18
Oilers vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Stars vs. Flamesbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+82.1%+$9.02
Stars vs. Canucksbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+56.3%+$7.56
Jets vs. Utahbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.66
Hurricanes vs. Red Wingsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.5
Oilers vs. Sharksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$14
Jets vs. Kingsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.5
Panthers vs. Canadiensbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.5
Capitals vs. Bruinsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$16.5
Stars vs. Krakenbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$19.5
Wild vs. Devilsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.5
Predators vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$20.7
Maple Leafs vs. Ducksbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$19.5
Devils vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$18.5
Devils vs. Blackhawksbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$16
Predators vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.5
Jets vs. Krakenbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$18.5
Capitals vs. Sharksbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$15.5
Oilers vs. Islandersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$35.7
Capitals vs. Kingsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$46
Capitals vs. Ducksbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$16.2
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 3, 2025, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+43.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Packers vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST+42.9%+$19.4
Chargers vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2024, EST+51.5%+$34
Bills vs. Ramsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$65
Packers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2024, EST+56.3%+$36
Rams vs. Saintsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$50
All 5 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$74.58
Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST-100%-$59
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+40.1%+$5.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$405.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Yale Bulldogs vs. Cornell Big Redbacked Yale Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$12.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.