TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Jets vs. Kings

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kingsof Jets, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$64,442
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$67,895

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,442 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x519f…2af7backed Jets49c8,191$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0007044.3%31 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ea2…3e22backed Kings53c6,700$3,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1481100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7239…6591backed Jets49c5,139$2,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,497.064151.2%21 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe32e…890bbacked Kings53c4,760$2,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,237.0536242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Kings51c4,168$2,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,055.0792848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked Kings51c3,364$1,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,648.0613845.7%63 W · 75 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5f…bf45backed Jets49c2,449$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2002650%13 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fd8…27b6backed Jets47c2,241$1,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,055.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x319a…2049backed Jets47c2,230$1,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,048.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce34…afe3backed Jets47c2,216$1,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,041.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45d7…1935backed Jets48c2,088$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006450%32 W · 32 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed Jets48c2,042$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97021750.2%109 W · 108 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Kings76c2,032$1,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.593,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Kings52c2,031$1,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$976.481,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Kings52c1,822$941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.921,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Kings50c1,777$897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.761,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Jets37c1,631$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60011051.8%57 W · 53 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c6…eeb6backed Jets37c1,628$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x532f…83ccbacked Kings53c1,500$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7051353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2745…17b3backed Jets47c1,499$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.531662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+50.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Jets46c1,200$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.9566951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Kings53c1,060$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.234845.4%158 W · 190 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Kings53c1,046$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.323761.6%146 W · 91 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Jets52c1,000$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.985148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Kings53c867.7$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.8210145.5%46 W · 55 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked Kings51c826$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.7413756.2%77 W · 60 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Jets49c800$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39219548.2%94 W · 101 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Jets47c799.86$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.9425340.7%103 W · 150 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Kings52c767.86$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.5737738.7%146 W · 231 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Jets10c679.26$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9310127.7%28 W · 73 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+33.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3510…2492backed Jets3c679.15$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.244330.2%13 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47ac…6b02backed Jets39c656.71$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.491030%3 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-22.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Jets47c617$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.9975155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Jets48c569.87$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.241,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Kings59c469.12$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.9758467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x2b41…e0d3backed Jets47c466.63$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.3224457.4%140 W · 104 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Kings51c453.16$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.8572847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Jets26c393.04$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.4991334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51dd…2f92backed Kings53c392.42$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.422669.2%18 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+17.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xca34…8cb1backed Kings54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.371936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-27.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa61d…22f6backed Jets47c318$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.4630549.2%150 W · 155 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85a7…10d6backed Jets32c299.99$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$953729.7%11 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43fd…021fbacked Jets8c274$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.924729.8%14 W · 33 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-27.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xce02…f887backed Jets52c267.02$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.856956.5%39 W · 30 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Kings54c250$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11550857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Kings52c246.35$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.2529748.8%145 W · 152 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Jets47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030946.3%143 W · 166 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Kings52c210.82$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10284051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe862…7d6bbacked Jets48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009955.6%55 W · 44 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa33f…c25ebacked Kings80c200$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404163.4%26 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Kings52c199.98$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.9950049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Kings67c193.98$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.0144848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98b4…5d76backed Jets39c189.97$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.1930155.1%166 W · 135 L+17.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Kings54c186.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.11,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0166…af99backed Kings54c185.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.21163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fd5…9801backed Kings55c180.36$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.362360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed Jets47c174.98$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.4973157.5%420 W · 311 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8862…548abacked Kings53c170$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.91250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8ac…48e8backed Jets47c170$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.91163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+40.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x59f6…2e19backed Jets47c160$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.21540%6 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27cc…9b13backed Kings53c160$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.21145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72b2…1067backed Kings53c159$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.731369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7f57…2ac8backed Jets47c159$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.731747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Jets47c154.49$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.6149351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x894a…793fbacked Jets47c153$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.911163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+25.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f41…d3f1backed Jets47c153$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.911457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b85…3d86backed Jets47c153$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.911384.6%11 W · 2 L+4.1wins+0.31per pick53cpaid+60.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x510a…cd0ebacked Kings53c153$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.911361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x441d…abb6backed Kings53c153$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.911464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8822…73e9backed Kings53c153$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.911566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+35.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1095…0ca5backed Jets47c150$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.51346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3c2…1b6bbacked Kings53c150$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.51250%6 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf9f…2a46backed Jets48c140$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.28854.5%48 W · 40 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x345c…8cbcbacked Kings54c138.89$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.891090%9 W · 1 L+3.5wins+0.35per pick55cpaid+66.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc970…a19bbacked Jets39c129.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508740.2%35 W · 52 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfba8…78e6backed Jets48c129.23$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.032352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+20.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Kings53c128$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.1621255.7%118 W · 94 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3573…b6f9backed Jets8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-58%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd7f1…f594backed Kings53c124.68$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.62050%10 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e3d…bf10backed Jets47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509149.5%45 W · 46 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ba7…e841backed Jets47c106$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.82633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-39.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2851…ed75backed Kings53c106$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.82560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2a…5240backed Jets48c104.94$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.372240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f18…77c9backed Jets36c103.45$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.154050%20 W · 20 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ec7…e6debacked Kings54c102.41$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.112157.1%12 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb7b…79a9backed Kings53c102$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.94742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34e1…5392backed Jets47c102$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.94728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Jets49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4935154.1%190 W · 161 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Kings52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4872444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4187…d074backed Jets47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb82…cbb1backed Jets47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c4…f6a4backed Kings53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b14…d18cbacked Jets48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4811354%61 W · 52 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x861b…45a1backed Kings53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-33.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a5b…07f1backed Kings53c97.62$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.882259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Kings54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.591,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x227d…34bfbacked Jets47c90$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-46.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9627…1d84backed Kings53c90$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.3650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb78d…1935backed Jets47c85.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Jets44c84$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9679251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.