NHL · resolved market
Oilers vs. Islanders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf996a2113c55e50b7f0e16fcf075bf635cb4ec07a42f9b3a0b78f2dc806f92c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oilersof Oilers, Islanders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,576
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,475
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,576 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Islanders | 45c | 27,922$12,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,500.89 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Oilers | 55c | 14,179$7,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,349.23 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519f…2af7backed Oilers | 59c | 8,483$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,483.2 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Islanders | 45c | 5,912$2,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,660.22 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Oilers | 55c | 4,673$2,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,102.95 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Islanders | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa10d…acc6backed Oilers | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Oilers | 55c | 2,984$1,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.91 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9598…1fd2backed Oilers | 57c | 1,502$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.85 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Islanders | 43c | 1,499$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.57 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Oilers | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 217 | 50.2%109 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Oilers | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3368…f2eabacked Islanders | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8269…e438backed Oilers | 54c | 999.97$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Oilers | 54c | 949.59$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.81 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Islanders | 43c | 799.96$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.98 | 253 | 40.7%103 W · 150 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Oilers | 57c | 700$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.33 | 244 | 57.4%140 W · 104 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Islanders | 37c | 677.69$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.72 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Islanders | 43c | 581.4$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49bd…372abacked Oilers | 57c | 505.28$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.27 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f2…7a3bbacked Islanders | 43c | 505.28$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.27 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Islanders | 45c | 499.94$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.97 | 156 | 63.5%99 W · 57 L | +17.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Oilers | 56c | 493.26$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.19 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a7…336dbacked Islanders | 42c | 486$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd348…0c07backed Oilers | 58c | 486$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.12 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87cf…25a4backed Islanders | 49c | 405.84$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Oilers | 56c | 402.35$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.08 | 212 | 55.7%118 W · 94 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Oilers | 76c | 396.1$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.1 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Oilers | 60c | 388.23$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.19 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Islanders | 26c | 384.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 216 | 20.4%44 W · 172 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62d0…58a2backed Oilers | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed Oilers | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 113 | 65.5%74 W · 39 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Oilers | 55c | 314.51$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.53 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5457…90d8backed Islanders | 43c | 269$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.67 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce86…cbcbbacked Oilers | 57c | 269$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.67 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Oilers | 71c | 251.78$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.02 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…f2afbacked Oilers | 57c | 232.93$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.16 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Oilers | 56c | 224.08$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.08 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec16…07f9backed Oilers | 55c | 209.09$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.09 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…03b7backed Oilers | 57c | 207$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.01 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81c…c43abacked Islanders | 43c | 207$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.01 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fb…239abacked Oilers | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x531b…3621backed Islanders | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf4…665ebacked Islanders | 43c | 199$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.57 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x159a…e9c2backed Oilers | 57c | 199$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.57 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…1a9dbacked Islanders | 44c | 198$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.12 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc3…b723backed Oilers | 56c | 198$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.12 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Oilers | 58c | 181.88$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.39 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Oilers | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd88f…8d2cbacked Oilers | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 138 | 37.7%52 W · 86 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Islanders | 44c | 169.68$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.99 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Islanders | 41c | 164.98$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.17 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Islanders | 35c | 164.16$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.98 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7900…e9e6backed Islanders | 46c | 158$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f59…fb5abacked Oilers | 54c | 158$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.68 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +154.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Islanders | 41c | 155$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.55 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Oilers | 56c | 150.91$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.91 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Oilers | 56c | 148.28$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.71 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa899…bb29backed Oilers | 54c | 133$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeff6…51ffbacked Islanders | 46c | 133$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Islanders | 42c | 130$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.18 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa694…7acfbacked Oilers | 54c | 130$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x844f…d6a8backed Islanders | 46c | 130$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11be…803cbacked Oilers | 57c | 122.81$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.81 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa636…ca83backed Islanders | 43c | 120$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…3399backed Oilers | 57c | 120$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…72e0backed Oilers | 57c | 110$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f9…d62ebacked Islanders | 43c | 110$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…5845backed Islanders | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57fc…b401backed Islanders | 46c | 104.13$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdba…dd54backed Oilers | 55c | 104.07$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.83 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Oilers | 57c | 100.37$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.46 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Islanders | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…2d78backed Islanders | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…856bbacked Islanders | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Oilers | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d44…b15ebacked Oilers | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad8e…62e9backed Oilers | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c4…72e9backed Oilers | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Oilers | 57c | 99.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ced…8282backed Islanders | 46c | 99.26$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…11b6backed Islanders | 46c | 97$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.62 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd026…8156backed Islanders | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x504a…bc82backed Oilers | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c47…cd52backed Oilers | 55c | 90.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.77 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x340a…de7abacked Islanders | 43c | 90$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f09…ce17backed Islanders | 43c | 90$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf338…6f0abacked Oilers | 57c | 90$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…5e4cbacked Oilers | 57c | 90$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c0d…b7d6backed Islanders | 45c | 89.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7366…013bbacked Oilers | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9361…05abbacked Oilers | 55c | 88.75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.94 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3263…2f28backed Oilers | 54c | 88$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6acd…999bbacked Oilers | 57c | 88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecf4…406bbacked Islanders | 46c | 88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e04…76babacked Oilers | 55c | 87.29$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.28 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +108.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Oilers | 57c | 86.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0678…9fd0backed Islanders | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ee…2f00backed Oilers | 58c | 85$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x030f…4c3bbacked Oilers | 55c | 83.53$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.