TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Grizzlies vs. Spurs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Grizzliesof Grizzlies, Spurs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$219,648
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$252,215

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $219,648 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 473 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc5f4…bc4fbacked Spurs44c22,781$10,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,004.911526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-62.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d15…a4a4backed Grizzlies41c20,291$8,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,972.1560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+55.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9483…39b2backed Grizzlies56c18,221$10,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,017.366863.2%43 W · 25 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa647…64eebacked Spurs58c10,000$5,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,80019350.3%97 W · 96 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Spurs47c8,992$4,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,220.691,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f0a…e4eabacked Grizzlies58c8,082$4,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,406.7715763.1%99 W · 58 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Spurs40c6,163$2,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,452.071,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Grizzlies53c5,595$2,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,642.723,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Spurs34c4,718$1,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,603.0761532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Spurs72c4,692$3,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,373.9749849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Grizzlies64c4,264$2,743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,520.8347656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Spurs42c3,772$1,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,585.0365642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Grizzlies57c2,927$1,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,248.6996447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Grizzlies56c2,500$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,099.9737954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Spurs40c1,950$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789.0736843.8%161 W · 207 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Grizzlies80c1,801$1,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.6270147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6410…1ff4backed Spurs21c1,620$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.2211164%71 W · 40 L+13.0wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Spurs26c1,522$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40027041.5%112 W · 158 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7310…ddfdbacked Grizzlies57c1,500$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6451353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ef8…d771backed Spurs43c1,500$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.91258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+46.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb54e…8f34backed Spurs38c1,369$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.785034%17 W · 33 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-27%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Spurs42c1,200$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9773051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31db…79a4backed Spurs33c1,175$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39217838.2%68 W · 110 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Spurs2c1,100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Spurs31c1,083$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33725651.6%132 W · 124 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Spurs3c1,064$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x58b5…7340backed Spurs1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101348.2%11 W · 123 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-81.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba68…ce61backed Spurs39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3909330.1%28 W · 65 L-15.2wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-39.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Grizzlies57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4301,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91b0…f0b6backed Spurs61c1,000$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6108337.3%31 W · 52 L-0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-31.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08a8…adcebacked Grizzlies51c999.99$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48516341.1%67 W · 96 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadbe…bc55backed Grizzlies56c987.25$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.8350453.8%271 W · 233 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Spurs37c969.25$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.685,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42e8…9d10backed Grizzlies57c865.18$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.521357.7%123 W · 90 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Spurs52c835.41$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.4126235.9%94 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Grizzlies56c821.81$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.5930440.5%123 W · 181 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Spurs44c800$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3521,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x15c9…e725backed Spurs29c800$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2325028%14 W · 36 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Spurs55c720.11$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.2663555.6%353 W · 282 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed Spurs23c670.55$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.5831935.1%112 W · 207 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf5f…2184backed Spurs43c653.95$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.217243%74 W · 98 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31b7…bde1backed Grizzlies49c649.51$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.259739.2%38 W · 59 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Spurs2c649$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.545502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c80…f4eebacked Grizzlies49c631.31$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.5862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Spurs42c621.95$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.2547948%230 W · 249 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Spurs42c599.98$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.9929148.8%142 W · 149 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Grizzlies74c555$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.324554.7%134 W · 111 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5c9…6ed2backed Spurs25c549.74$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.63955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Grizzlies57c547.34$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.4950245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49d5…2e07backed Grizzlies57c526.32$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.327345.2%33 W · 40 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb9c…d01bbacked Grizzlies57c526.32$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.326560%39 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked Spurs73c526.15$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.0929738.7%115 W · 182 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Spurs42c506$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.511,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Grizzlies50c500$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2521,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x205b…dd3cbacked Grizzlies57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2156139.3%24 W · 37 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-33.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Spurs18c499.99$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8944337.9%168 W · 275 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f51…2019backed Grizzlies34c497.74$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.6217853.9%96 W · 82 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf93…bdc8backed Grizzlies72c417.01$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.0119164.9%124 W · 67 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Grizzlies52c408.78$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.831,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d80…5fd8backed Spurs43c400$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17230251.7%156 W · 146 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Grizzlies58c400$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16868642.1%289 W · 397 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x71e9…1248backed Spurs5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207622.4%17 W · 59 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Grizzlies57c400$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17251037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdacd…cfb2backed Spurs8c397.45$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.66224.2%15 W · 47 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Spurs14c387.43$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.2438132.8%125 W · 256 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb34…59eabacked Grizzlies57c380$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.46045%27 W · 33 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd902…5014backed Grizzlies67c377.11$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.114100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Spurs43c377$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.1157760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea1…a2bbbacked Grizzlies58c375$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.54452.3%23 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccf3…8f27backed Grizzlies46c373.87$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.140726%106 W · 301 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Spurs42c367$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.3271747.6%341 W · 376 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7439…40d2backed Spurs41c365.89$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.0124844%109 W · 139 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7764…dc84backed Spurs16c340$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.6577%4 W · 53 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-60.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Spurs43c322.54$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14045135%158 W · 293 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x85e8…6c34backed Spurs20c309.73$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.95742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick34cpaid-19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Grizzlies26c307.69$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.6938942.9%167 W · 222 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Spurs3c300$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104573.5%16 W · 441 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Grizzlies57c300$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12989353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5303…d66ebacked Spurs8c300$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248921.3%19 W · 70 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x938c…d5e5backed Spurs41c299.99$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12315237.5%57 W · 95 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Grizzlies70c299.98$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.4967921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Spurs42c266$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11177745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e0b…b710backed Grizzlies57c263.16$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.164746.8%22 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd6c…42b2backed Grizzlies74c260.28$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.719154.9%50 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f0c…31f7backed Spurs43c251.16$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x502d…2583backed Grizzlies58c250.98$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.981464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+28.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e25…7cd6backed Spurs43c248.84$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2db…7dbabacked Grizzlies58c248.02$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.022100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6c4…3cbfbacked Grizzlies59c242.71$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.518556.5%48 W · 37 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d42…b5b5backed Grizzlies58c239.66$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.662100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf06a…215dbacked Spurs43c239.53$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eee…cf0dbacked Grizzlies58c237.93$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.933100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9de2…67dcbacked Spurs43c237.21$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+37.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b03…5be3backed Grizzlies59c228.45$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.453855.3%21 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd3…9642backed Spurs44c227.28$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030354.1%164 W · 139 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0338…3917backed Grizzlies57c222.46$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.66850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe309…3d96backed Spurs43c220$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.64841.7%20 W · 28 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Spurs76c210.53$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16026934.9%94 W · 175 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Spurs41c203.83$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.6988053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4b3a…16fbbacked Spurs43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8617846.1%82 W · 96 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.