TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Thunder vs. 76ers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Thunderof Thunder, 76ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$111,932
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$115,999

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,932 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf520…0637backed Thunder42c49,700$21,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,58933746.3%156 W · 181 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked 76ers58c24,508$14,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,114.491,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed 76ers64c19,915$12,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,762.2320248%97 W · 105 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked 76ers57c4,267$2,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,436.166853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda87…4e9bbacked 76ers66c3,975$2,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,623.462015%3 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37bb…06e8backed Thunder35c3,080$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0022142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-26.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Thunder34c1,960$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,293.645348.1%218 W · 235 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Thunder38c1,750$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,082.2884150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed 76ers46c1,433$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.5228842.7%123 W · 165 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ad1…acf4backed Thunder44c1,150$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.05560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+30.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd402…bd09backed 76ers56c1,150$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.99650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…bbcbbacked Thunder35c1,000$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6501546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Thunder35c861.7$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.71,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed 76ers61c804.2$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.3163555.6%353 W · 282 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Thunder35c773.42$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.641,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed Thunder56c770.88$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.995054%27 W · 23 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x33c7…e344backed 76ers65c750$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.5616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick44cpaid-65.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked 76ers62c745.66$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.311,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Thunder42c700$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40885347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e02…b1c5backed Thunder59c621$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.194951%25 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed0e…b305backed Thunder34c588.24$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.2421723.5%51 W · 166 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+75.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked 76ers65c569.99$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.4930351.8%157 W · 146 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Thunder43c511.4$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.131,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc62f…f330backed Thunder42c500.81$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.811241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f19…aec2backed Thunder34c450$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29736747.7%175 W · 192 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe341…273bbacked Thunder40c400$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+38.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fbc…a89cbacked Thunder40c399.95$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.971855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+23.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Thunder39c359.99$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.1460834.4%209 W · 399 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x467a…0727backed 76ers66c347.24$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed 76ers65c304.91$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.1924151.9%125 W · 116 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Thunder42c300$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17469337.8%262 W · 431 L+2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f91…fc95backed Thunder35c284.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.491662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+28%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Thunder36c277.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.7889353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebda…75a9backed Thunder34c263.35$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.81450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed 76ers62c250$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15536057.5%207 W · 153 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5293…2f35backed 76ers65c250$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.51428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.6wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-61.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Thunder34c221.99$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.5146342.5%197 W · 266 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Thunder42c171$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.333458.8%20 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe947…2cf3backed 76ers66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10084957.6%489 W · 360 L-52.1wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4b43…0a73backed Thunder35c150$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked 76ers61c148$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.2821062.9%132 W · 78 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc15a…4e2abacked Thunder43c143.2$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+83.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Thunder60c130.37$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.1816361.3%100 W · 63 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed Thunder35c128.57$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.5716345.4%74 W · 89 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6e6…79b5backed Thunder80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2534169.5%237 W · 104 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa85…1130backed Thunder41c119.54$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.53250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49f7…046bbacked Thunder41c116.67$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.847548%36 W · 39 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Thunder36c113$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.272,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Thunder36c103$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.126947.8%33 W · 36 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Thunder41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.461,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed 76ers65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6572647.7%346 W · 380 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fa8…8061backed 76ers60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f64…ba01backed Thunder41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5942740.3%172 W · 255 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Thunder41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8097…8a5fbacked Thunder40c91.05$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.6327546.9%129 W · 146 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5646…3819backed Thunder35c84.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.112938.8%50 W · 79 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33dc…415ebacked Thunder36c80$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.631631.6%100 W · 216 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x387c…a6dbbacked 76ers65c79.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.993043.3%13 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bac…cf49backed 76ers65c76.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick67cpaid+18.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc46b…376cbacked 76ers60c75$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+32.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ecd…cf2abacked Thunder45c70$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.52454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Thunder36c69.44$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.441,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb6c…23a2backed Thunder60c60.85$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5748…dd28backed 76ers56c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.61747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-23.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a61…5781backed Thunder36c57.42$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.753666.7%24 W · 12 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+19.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x05be…6cdbbacked Thunder35c56.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.772100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+123.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac3c…66a3backed 76ers69c56.35$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d98…af0ebacked Thunder36c55.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84dc…9c02backed 76ers63c55.38$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.894052.5%21 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+22.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf60a…bc24backed Thunder41c52.68$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b20…75d3backed 76ers70c52.44$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.71250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6961…66a7backed 76ers66c50$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x85d1…b694backed Thunder36c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322729.6%8 W · 19 L-4.4wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Thunder41c48.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7847856.5%270 W · 208 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc615…9f26backed Thunder45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.44450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ff…a806backed Thunder48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6716030.6%49 W · 111 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-30.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc52…a021backed Thunder34c41.24$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.2211934.5%41 W · 78 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed 76ers66c40.75$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.926755.8%149 W · 118 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x17d6…a562backed 76ers56c40.11$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.652347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x864e…3bd3backed 76ers65c37.08$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fd3…06a8backed 76ers65c34.62$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.53050%15 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+44.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1b2…9790backed Thunder35c34.29$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.291353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+30.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x218e…e49dbacked 76ers59c33.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2048255%265 W · 217 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9861…1603backed Thunder45c33.33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8eca…6882backed 76ers43c32.56$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1415936.5%58 W · 101 L-11.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb5e4…796ebacked Thunder43c32$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9961…8652backed 76ers62c30.65$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46dc…7c4cbacked Thunder45c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.51952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+55.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf3c9…7853backed 76ers58c29.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.39250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfceb…2194backed Thunder43c28$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.96250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fc7…8ef2backed 76ers66c27.98$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.471963.2%12 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick74cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed 76ers56c26$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.561,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2977…6efcbacked Thunder45c23.84$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.115242.3%22 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ee…2f00backed Thunder58c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.44955.1%27 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c0…1480backed 76ers66c16.67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11540%2 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick71cpaid-43.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x15e3…cc32backed 76ers66c16$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.562445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbddd…ad74backed 76ers64c16$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2424952.6%131 W · 118 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.