NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Pelicans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1be26f382036300c4d5b940fb2a77a4d74aac08ba51e15793d3eca1165fdc2e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pelicansof Mavericks, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $285,257
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $312,406
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $285,257 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 498 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9520…fa6ebacked Mavericks | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Pelicans | 43c | 12,624$5,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,134.82 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mavericks | 65c | 5,955$3,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,843.15 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Pelicans | 33c | 5,492$1,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,679.59 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4205…46a7backed Pelicans | 52c | 5,282$2,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,544.04 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Pelicans | 45c | 5,098$2,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,789.58 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Pelicans | 41c | 5,078$2,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,985.66 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Mavericks | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbab3…9c34backed Mavericks | 70c | 5,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mavericks | 50c | 4,989$2,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,494.39 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Mavericks | 56c | 4,589$2,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,575.72 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Mavericks | 40c | 3,858$1,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,551.35 | 319 | 35.1%112 W · 207 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Pelicans | 79c | 3,680$2,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.08 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…e79fbacked Pelicans | 49c | 3,661$1,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,867.03 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Mavericks | 38c | 3,222$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.68 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Mavericks | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Mavericks | 9c | 2,975$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.75 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Pelicans | 57c | 2,959$1,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.93 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Mavericks | 51c | 2,932$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Pelicans | 50c | 2,920$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.85 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +9.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Mavericks | 57c | 2,892$1,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,637.39 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc8…3900backed Mavericks | 53c | 2,847$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Pelicans | 49c | 2,359$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.85 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Pelicans | 43c | 2,350$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.5 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3c…11d0backed Pelicans | 43c | 1,865$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.05 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Pelicans | 46c | 1,816$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.9 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Mavericks | 51c | 1,600$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mavericks | 47c | 1,475$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.34 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf19…976bbacked Mavericks | 57c | 1,437$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.17 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d4…6f09backed Pelicans | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.4 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8269…e438backed Mavericks | 57c | 1,404$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbc…a70dbacked Pelicans | 44c | 1,400$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Pelicans | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.05 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…64eebacked Pelicans | 56c | 1,170$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.66 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30bc…2529backed Pelicans | 43c | 1,150$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.5 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Pelicans | 53c | 1,134$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.85 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…b8b4backed Mavericks | 51c | 1,069$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.22 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Mavericks | 38c | 1,028$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.72 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8595…1fb5backed Pelicans | 49c | 1,004$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.86 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Mavericks | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…dbbbbacked Mavericks | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Mavericks | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 134 | 8.2%11 W · 123 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…ce61backed Pelicans | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -15.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Mavericks | 54c | 968.19$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.85 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…57f9backed Pelicans | 49c | 961.22$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.22 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Mavericks | 65c | 944.51$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.61 | 214 | 55.1%118 W · 96 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Mavericks | 54c | 925.57$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Pelicans | 44c | 915.28$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.28 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Pelicans | 44c | 907.98$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.07 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Mavericks | 20c | 841.69$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.2 | 381 | 32.8%125 W · 256 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Pelicans | 61c | 826.8$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.13 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Pelicans | 67c | 826.03$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.11 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Mavericks | 55c | 821.94$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.07 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Mavericks | 56c | 800$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa520…41e3backed Mavericks | 53c | 721.11$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Mavericks | 2c | 676.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pelicans | 50c | 664$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Pelicans | 46c | 647.97$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.7 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Pelicans | 49c | 641.55$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.19 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Pelicans | 48c | 615.8$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.24 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Mavericks | 57c | 600$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15c9…e725backed Mavericks | 33c | 600$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd45…63bfbacked Mavericks | 57c | 600$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Mavericks | 52c | 538.47$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f64…326cbacked Mavericks | 56c | 535.72$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Pelicans | 43c | 506$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.42 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mavericks | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Mavericks | 71c | 500$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.24 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…c65dbacked Mavericks | 51c | 499.94$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.97 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…2019backed Mavericks | 49c | 494.87$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.88 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa9…39a1backed Mavericks | 43c | 491.06$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.89 | 487 | 41.9%204 W · 283 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Mavericks | 58c | 466.84$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.33 | 336 | 38.1%128 W · 208 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Pelicans | 47c | 454$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.19 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Mavericks | 51c | 438$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 145 | 63.4%92 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Pelicans | 29c | 435.9$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.56 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e8…9c65backed Mavericks | 57c | 434.23$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.51 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8c…eb27backed Pelicans | 45c | 433.34$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.34 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0360…7be1backed Mavericks | 56c | 415$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.4 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…59eabacked Pelicans | 49c | 408$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.08 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…b2c6backed Mavericks | 69c | 407$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.47 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Pelicans | 55c | 406.88$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.06 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…aa79backed Mavericks | 56c | 401.79$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Mavericks | 56c | 399.99$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.99 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Mavericks | 51c | 392.65$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 178 | 38.2%68 W · 110 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Pelicans | 49c | 392$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.92 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Pelicans | 59c | 390.01$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.54 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7e…158dbacked Mavericks | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33fe…0cccbacked Pelicans | 31c | 362.22$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.01 | 98 | 27.6%27 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Mavericks | 53c | 361.92$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.52 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Mavericks | 61c | 349.98$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.49 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Mavericks | 45c | 336$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Mavericks | 50c | 333$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.5 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc7…3a04backed Mavericks | 11c | 330.46$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.35 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…b9adbacked Mavericks | 49c | 319.57$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.59 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 66cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2911…fed6backed Pelicans | 64c | 313.65$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.65 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Mavericks | 55c | 304.99$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.73 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf3…8f27backed Mavericks | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 407 | 26%106 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62dd…869abacked Mavericks | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Pelicans | 45c | 299.98$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.99 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Pelicans | 48c | 270.66$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.9 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.