TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Jets vs. Kraken

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jetsof Jets, Kraken
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$96,596
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$101,652

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,596 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4103…9b9ebacked Jets41c8,688$3,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,120.8228842%121 W · 167 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Jets60c8,500$5,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,384.961,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf10a…b2d1backed Kraken40c6,564$2,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,655.756940.6%28 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Kraken39c4,883$1,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,904.2586649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Kraken41c4,722$1,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,935.959251.1%47 W · 45 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Kraken58c4,486$2,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,605.3632331.3%101 W · 222 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c8d…d880backed Jets60c4,174$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,673.832254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Kraken47c3,854$1,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,798.7492848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c3a…0a11backed Jets60c3,683$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,483.331275%9 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7709…5852backed Kraken47c3,194$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5005334%18 W · 35 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fc8…39efbacked Kraken40c3,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.967352.1%38 W · 35 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b41…e0d3backed Jets63c2,703$1,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.1124457.4%140 W · 104 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5147…c45cbacked Jets60c2,501$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Kraken70c2,336$1,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,626.9127958.8%164 W · 115 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Kraken41c2,090$863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862.681,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb2b8…b745backed Jets57c2,055$1,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883.652347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Jets45c1,834$819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.093,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Kraken49c1,750$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.831,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Kraken37c1,749$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.291,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Jets44c1,741$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969.8837254.3%202 W · 170 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9e9…0501backed Jets62c1,500$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5701471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+47%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x18ca…9bf2backed Kraken38c1,498$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.241428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-41.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Jets62c1,450$894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.9966951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35aa…94bcbacked Jets61c1,425$869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.872147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Kraken38c1,394$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.3122842.5%97 W · 131 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Jets60c1,337$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.0919438.1%74 W · 120 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Kraken43c1,291$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.6314844.6%66 W · 82 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8cf…2318backed Kraken43c1,125$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.75633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed Kraken40c1,028$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.27054.3%38 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Kraken2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Jets59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Jets58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42020751.2%106 W · 101 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Kraken42c999.99$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.9949351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Kraken37c999.97$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.9997651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked Kraken43c930$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.98536.5%31 W · 54 L-11.4wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-29.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x87cf…25a4backed Jets59c847.46$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.461154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Jets31c819$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.5358467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Jets42c709.26$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.2621620.4%44 W · 172 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe206…38cebacked Jets60c666.67$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.678959.6%53 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa1…591abacked Kraken41c591.36$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.462240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5d2…317bbacked Kraken40c565$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22615663.5%99 W · 57 L+17.0wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+22.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Kraken37c533.33$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.3372444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe25b…0f1bbacked Jets58c500$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2101855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kraken38c482$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.161,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d80…219abacked Jets61c329.19$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.19862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa61d…22f6backed Kraken38c297$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.9630549.2%150 W · 155 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79b2…4874backed Kraken66c295.02$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.712948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-21.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Jets62c242.06$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.061,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x732b…85f4backed Kraken47c221.38$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.266050%30 W · 30 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x63df…de50backed Jets62c219.58$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.44580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed Jets60c207.68$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.7173157.5%420 W · 311 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Jets63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7481846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe81a…20b2backed Jets63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-45.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x500b…aec0backed Kraken39c197.95$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick52cpaid-69%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe862…7d6bbacked Jets58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.419955.6%55 W · 44 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Jets59c169.32$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4221255.7%118 W · 94 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4878…5566backed Jets59c169.32$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.42250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Jets61c162.7$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.71,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e1c…06c9backed Jets27c148.15$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.155940.7%24 W · 35 L-6.5wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-26.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x98b4…5d76backed Jets51c140$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.330155.1%166 W · 135 L+17.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Jets51c138.76$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.4711157.7%64 W · 47 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6022…e516backed Kraken41c133.76$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.84425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c2…dc4fbacked Kraken39c132.03$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4930%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x82c6…2e59backed Jets64c131.59$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.371643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf46…3c69backed Kraken39c131$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.09333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaae…59f6backed Kraken41c129.63$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.1540%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde37…3624backed Jets56c120$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.81080%8 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x78e5…704ebacked Kraken39c116.58$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.2720%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7200…40f7backed Jets60c113.33$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2563…b813backed Kraken41c112.54$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.141533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-39.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0212…5e5bbacked Jets36c112.44$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.441637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x706d…0f3cbacked Kraken41c110.98$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.51942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-25.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe155…3b5fbacked Kraken41c109.1$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.732040%8 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-26.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xac44…2468backed Jets60c105.48$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.191752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Kraken38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3835154.1%190 W · 161 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Jets62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3850857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b69…e32abacked Jets58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427651.3%39 W · 37 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1ded…466fbacked Jets60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404143.9%18 W · 23 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb895…ffe4backed Jets60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x792b…0775backed Jets63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3720861.5%128 W · 80 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe08d…d5d4backed Jets63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374161%25 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Kraken40c99.88$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4054418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x037e…e009backed Jets41c97.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.561030%3 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick54cpaid-39.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x537d…bde1backed Jets60c95.93$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.371580%12 W · 3 L+3.8wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+48.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb369…3d39backed Kraken39c95.28$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.16425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-40.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x950d…d965backed Kraken41c95$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.952152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1e1…cc42backed Jets60c93.12$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.251650%8 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5eb…0ac2backed Jets60c86.42$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.573100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+49.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x34ae…0402backed Jets60c86$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d22…9d0cbacked Kraken41c85.29$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.972250%11 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf065…20abbacked Jets61c85$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.152360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x97bc…fda0backed Jets63c84.73$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.35580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+64.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x02fe…e8b4backed Kraken41c84.17$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.512157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1a7…f359backed Jets63c84.14$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.135100%5 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+77.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x75a0…45fdbacked Jets63c83.97$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.07333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Jets58c83.43$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.0429748.8%145 W · 152 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f2b…0520backed Jets63c82.67$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.59666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ec1…3099backed Jets63c82.05$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.364100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xebba…4de7backed Jets63c80.86$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.92475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf3c…2e2dbacked Jets60c80.73$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.29650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.