NHL · resolved market
Capitals vs. Ducks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03c136fd848bcc4fe290aaf4a05c7ed1a5e4d584d9823ca3f6893258270adf2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Capitalsof Capitals, Ducks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $111,866
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $127,583
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,866 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Ducks | 36c | 21,130$7,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,693.11 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…7c98backed Ducks | 36c | 10,018$3,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,606.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e58…aaafbacked Capitals | 64c | 9,975$6,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,591.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Capitals | 64c | 7,601$4,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,736.68 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Capitals | 69c | 7,029$4,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,180.82 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Capitals | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,849.98 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9156…8876backed Ducks | 35c | 4,950$1,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,732.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2680…7fb0backed Capitals | 65c | 4,630$3,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Capitals | 64c | 4,001$2,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,443.5 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2170…8e8abacked Capitals | 52c | 3,524$1,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,692.56 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x207a…6fecbacked Capitals | 66c | 3,136$2,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.47 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35aa…94bcbacked Capitals | 64c | 2,864$1,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.06 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Ducks | 22c | 2,687$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.31 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Capitals | 65c | 2,475$1,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.28 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Capitals | 79c | 2,406$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.25 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Capitals | 48c | 2,071$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.65 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Ducks | 53c | 1,800$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.26per pick | 61cpaid | -45%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…3bd3backed Capitals | 65c | 1,534$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.09 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 65cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Ducks | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Ducks | 32c | 1,450$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.08 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Capitals | 68c | 1,392$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.52 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Capitals | 63c | 1,195$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.11 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd456…5755backed Capitals | 63c | 1,173$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba4…dd66backed Ducks | 37c | 1,173$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.94 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Ducks | 38c | 1,138$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.64 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Capitals | 61c | 968.64$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.39 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Capitals | 63c | 875$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.75 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2b…525abacked Ducks | 29c | 802.47$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.06 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x471f…f60abacked Capitals | 63c | 750$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.5 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 71cpaid | +27%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Capitals | 64c | 731.24$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.25 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Capitals | 63c | 715$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.55 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Capitals | 62c | 653.98$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.53 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Ducks | 32c | 614.98$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.25 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1375…480abacked Capitals | 63c | 572.7$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.19 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Ducks | 34c | 554.5$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.53 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7e…31d7backed Ducks | 36c | 545$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.58 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Capitals | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Ducks | 34c | 399.98$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.99 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Capitals | 64c | 390.63$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.63 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…03b7backed Capitals | 64c | 340$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.4 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d2…fcf1backed Ducks | 36c | 340$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.4 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Ducks | 40c | 332.5$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc75…4db4backed Capitals | 65c | 320.37$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Capitals | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Ducks | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Capitals | 65c | 294$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.15 | 244 | 57.4%140 W · 104 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…b4e5backed Capitals | 64c | 283$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.88 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…f2afbacked Capitals | 64c | 275.08$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.03 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Ducks | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfe…c153backed Ducks | 36c | 270$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02f9…ec50backed Capitals | 64c | 270$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.2 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Ducks | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5d…37cdbacked Capitals | 65c | 262$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.7 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x455c…1c25backed Capitals | 63c | 259.03$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Capitals | 66c | 250$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc3…b723backed Ducks | 36c | 249$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.64 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…1a9dbacked Capitals | 64c | 239$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.04 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81c…c43abacked Ducks | 36c | 239$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.04 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6800…5cf5backed Capitals | 64c | 237$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.32 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e1…3348backed Ducks | 36c | 237$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.32 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce86…cbcbbacked Ducks | 37c | 219$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.03 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa731…dd3dbacked Capitals | 63c | 219$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.03 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +29%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b85…f51cbacked Capitals | 63c | 211$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.07 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 49cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Capitals | 63c | 199.99$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1417…26dabacked Capitals | 64c | 198.34$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.34 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d0…2498backed Ducks | 37c | 193$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.41 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -44%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ae…9463backed Capitals | 63c | 193$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.41 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 47cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Capitals | 66c | 181.82$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.82 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x235c…8c1abacked Capitals | 66c | 156.64$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.66 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11be…803cbacked Ducks | 37c | 154.05$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd50a…0eb1backed Capitals | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0735…da59backed Ducks | 38c | 153.61$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.37 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -5.1wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xee06…80bdbacked Capitals | 64c | 152.47$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.89 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Capitals | 66c | 150.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…3477backed Capitals | 64c | 144$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.84 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83d8…9a77backed Capitals | 63c | 139.98$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.19 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c51…1a0dbacked Ducks | 35c | 139$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2e…2e7bbacked Capitals | 63c | 135$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75c8…270ebacked Ducks | 37c | 135$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1c…d6bebacked Ducks | 36c | 135$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Ducks | 32c | 134.94$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.68 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Capitals | 66c | 126.62$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.05 | 212 | 55.7%118 W · 94 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Capitals | 64c | 125$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4142…4fb0backed Ducks | 38c | 122.87$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ec…01b6backed Capitals | 66c | 121.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.21 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.20per pick | 61cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x261c…6b74backed Ducks | 38c | 121$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.98 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde37…3624backed Capitals | 65c | 120$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac92…67efbacked Ducks | 18c | 119.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc4…8c38backed Capitals | 63c | 119.44$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 95 | 67.4%64 W · 31 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36f6…a632backed Ducks | 37c | 114.95$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.53 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.31per pick | 47cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x424a…55cfbacked Capitals | 64c | 106.25$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489f…aadfbacked Ducks | 37c | 105.76$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.13 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d44…b15ebacked Capitals | 64c | 100.16$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.32 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Capitals | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Ducks | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 285 | 42.1%120 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ded…466fbacked Capitals | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccd5…e758backed Capitals | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8587…f229backed Ducks | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Capitals | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Ducks | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.