NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Bulls
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x416c652461a94ff84c497da973d697e15a3deb599c4ab737c5c31e108ba24d6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bullsof Lakers, Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $663,745
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $747,343
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $663,745 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 845 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Bulls | 40c | 85,644$34,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,474.44 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Bulls | 8c | 32,349$2,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,892.71 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…ae0fbacked Bulls | 45c | 21,388$9,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,830.4 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Lakers | 72c | 19,204$13,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,861.57 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Lakers | 56c | 15,223$8,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,549.05 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Bulls | 50c | 12,855$6,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,392.72 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Lakers | 64c | 12,241$7,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,854.46 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Lakers | 65c | 9,965$6,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,509.21 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Bulls | 39c | 8,569$3,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,270.09 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…6bf5backed Bulls | 18c | 8,400$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,912 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0dacbacked Lakers | 62c | 8,065$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000.21 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Lakers | 62c | 7,491$4,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,639.8 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Lakers | 59c | 7,393$4,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,360.95 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Lakers | 59c | 7,360$4,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,375.24 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2379…9ac8backed Lakers | 55c | 7,016$3,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,852.88 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ba…dfbbbacked Bulls | 42c | 6,935$2,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,037.5 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Lakers | 62c | 6,800$4,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200.7 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Bulls | 11c | 6,505$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,777.63 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Lakers | 63c | 6,210$3,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,932.3 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Lakers | 64c | 6,093$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,899.52 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Bulls | 61c | 5,823$3,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,293.82 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Bulls | 38c | 5,650$2,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,503 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Lakers | 50c | 5,406$2,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,698.65 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Lakers | 68c | 3,940$2,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,661.84 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Bulls | 40c | 3,692$1,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,227.38 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Bulls | 40c | 3,459$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,074.22 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ee…bf85backed Bulls | 11c | 3,216$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,875.64 | 200 | 31%62 W · 138 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…32aebacked Lakers | 64c | 3,125$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Bulls | 8c | 2,974$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,722.76 | 140 | 40%56 W · 84 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Lakers | 62c | 2,705$1,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,677.14 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Lakers | 62c | 2,620$1,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,624.4 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Bulls | 39c | 2,564$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,563.99 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Bulls | 7c | 2,533$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,363.47 | 367 | 47.7%175 W · 192 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Lakers | 61c | 2,365$1,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,451.3 | 165 | 63.6%105 W · 60 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Bulls | 39c | 2,294$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,394.79 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce7…fd4abacked Lakers | 76c | 2,251$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700.08 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Lakers | 57c | 2,222$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.41 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed Lakers | 68c | 2,095$1,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,426.16 | 300 | 61.7%185 W · 115 L | +23.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2c…ba05backed Lakers | 62c | 2,003$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.86 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x343c…741dbacked Bulls | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.32per pick | 56cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Bulls | 40c | 1,997$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196.31 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Bulls | 42c | 1,969$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.25 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Lakers | 62c | 1,900$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178 | 229 | 55.9%128 W · 101 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Lakers | 59c | 1,900$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.96 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc123…50afbacked Bulls | 42c | 1,699$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Lakers | 60c | 1,666$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53f4…8c52backed Lakers | 62c | 1,604$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Bulls | 54c | 1,600$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.19 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Bulls | 36c | 1,512$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.27 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Bulls | 38c | 1,387$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.94 | 104 | 28.8%30 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Bulls | 2c | 1,380$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.49 | 143 | 4.9%7 W · 136 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Bulls | 2c | 1,278$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.8 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Lakers | 67c | 1,243$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.75 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Lakers | 59c | 1,236$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.91 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Bulls | 43c | 1,200$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.6 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Bulls | 39c | 1,196$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.78 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe139…07e5backed Bulls | 39c | 1,021$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Lakers | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.2 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Bulls | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Lakers | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Lakers | 61c | 997$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.17 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Bulls | 39c | 959.72$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.57 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Bulls | 39c | 935.57$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.8 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Bulls | 41c | 900.7$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.41 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x698f…ae41backed Lakers | 43c | 847.99$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.79 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Bulls | 34c | 780.25$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.46 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…9e23backed Lakers | 50c | 748.72$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 28cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Bulls | 38c | 733.15$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.55 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Bulls | 30c | 720$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Bulls | 39c | 716.03$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.67 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…591abacked Bulls | 44c | 711.09$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.34 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Bulls | 6c | 704.84$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.64 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Lakers | 51c | 690$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.9 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Bulls | 42c | 680$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.65 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb34d…ef8bbacked Lakers | 60c | 646$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.6 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Lakers | 63c | 634.92$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x433b…58debacked Lakers | 53c | 618.19$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.64 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3072…86b6backed Bulls | 38c | 616.84$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.61 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Bulls | 45c | 611.21$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.99 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Bulls | 41c | 609.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.8 | 183 | 54.1%99 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…35b1backed Lakers | 62c | 595.16$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed Lakers | 77c | 591.51$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.46 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Bulls | 46c | 502.02$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.12 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0712…f71bbacked Lakers | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Bulls | 50c | 438.11$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.11 | 269 | 34.9%94 W · 175 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Bulls | 9c | 416.21$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.34 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Lakers | 62c | 403.23$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 563 | 48.5%273 W · 290 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Lakers | 60c | 400$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…51d3backed Bulls | 41c | 394.97$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.62 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Lakers | 61c | 393.99$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.69 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5679…d458backed Bulls | 52c | 385.04$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.04 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc633…b4e7backed Bulls | 39c | 370.74$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.15 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2447…b512backed Lakers | 59c | 365$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe02e…88d5backed Bulls | 40c | 360.71$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.64 | 94 | 53.2%50 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…d18bbacked Lakers | 61c | 331$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.91 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a4…df18backed Bulls | 8c | 320$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +212.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Lakers | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Lakers | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f72…4d8ebacked Lakers | 56c | 314.69$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.9 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Bulls | 23c | 310$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.