NFL · resolved market
Chargers vs. Chiefs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84759b103d45357f27592b16e25462167ca1e3aefb80aa29a39cab4429320fd9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chiefsof Chargers, Chiefs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $777,863
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $794,734
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $777,863 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 466 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Chargers | 26c | 87,951$22,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,969.42 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Chargers | 42c | 48,026$20,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,331.76 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -7.9wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -45%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Chargers | 32c | 41,069$13,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,341.87 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Chiefs | 68c | 38,449$26,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,398.22 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa19a…2f33backed Chiefs | 68c | 25,000$16,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,100 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Chargers | 37c | 23,744$8,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,681.54 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0e…78ddbacked Chiefs | 66c | 20,451$13,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,953.29 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Chargers | 32c | 19,864$6,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,356.38 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dda…8b1ebacked Chiefs | 68c | 19,160$12,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,220.54 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Chargers | 34c | 17,711$5,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,976.16 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Chargers | 29c | 13,663$4,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,024 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Chargers | 11c | 11,670$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.67 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb775…2205backed Chiefs | 63c | 11,597$7,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,296.47 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e0…fe50backed Chiefs | 66c | 11,121$7,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,808.18 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…5d34backed Chiefs | 75c | 10,585$7,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,646.35 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 61cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…6af8backed Chiefs | 59c | 10,507$6,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,273.06 | 125 | 70.4%88 W · 37 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Chargers | 23c | 10,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 106 | 24.5%26 W · 80 L | -12.6wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Chargers | 29c | 7,358$2,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,126.53 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5445…58f0backed Chargers | 40c | 6,416$2,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550.5 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f09…02b6backed Chiefs | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Chargers | 34c | 5,983$2,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,063.67 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Chargers | 39c | 5,372$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120.27 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc64d…a1c9backed Chargers | 30c | 5,127$1,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.4 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…3665backed Chiefs | 78c | 5,109$3,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.88 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Chargers | 32c | 5,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Chargers | 6c | 4,911$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.75 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53d2…0c3fbacked Chargers | 33c | 4,820$1,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,566.66 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf05…70dabacked Chiefs | 66c | 4,523$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,522.84 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +12.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Chargers | 33c | 4,500$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…f03bbacked Chiefs | 68c | 4,412$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,411.76 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe663…6462backed Chiefs | 73c | 4,394$3,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.18 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Chargers | 31c | 4,373$1,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377.29 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6b…1262backed Chiefs | 68c | 4,368$2,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378.26 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Chiefs | 65c | 4,000$2,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385 | 330 | 47.9%158 W · 172 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeba8…2b00backed Chiefs | 74c | 3,976$2,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.43 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c1…1b90backed Chargers | 16c | 3,663$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.14 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5d…7e9ebacked Chiefs | 70c | 3,492$2,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.01 | 21 | 90.5%19 W · 2 L | +4.7wins | +0.22per pick | 68cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Chiefs | 77c | 3,333$2,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.42 | 162 | 59.9%97 W · 65 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4741…6cf0backed Chargers | 33c | 3,030$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Chargers | 33c | 3,001$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.18 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Chargers | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e2…25f7backed Chargers | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…66d8backed Chiefs | 54c | 2,960$1,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375.61 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Chargers | 33c | 2,936$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.4 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x744b…6132backed Chargers | 33c | 2,916$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.05 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Chargers | 31c | 2,829$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Chargers | 34c | 2,500$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8823…4c34backed Chiefs | 65c | 2,440$1,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.82 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Chargers | 34c | 2,377$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.84 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Chargers | 32c | 2,277$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.57 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b9…cf5ebacked Chargers | 32c | 2,247$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.16 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5e…c869backed Chargers | 35c | 2,218$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.3 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb31…dc5cbacked Chiefs | 78c | 2,180$1,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.64 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Chiefs | 67c | 2,180$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.75 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Chiefs | 68c | 2,148$1,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.36 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed Chiefs | 67c | 2,072$1,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.72 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e1…69a4backed Chiefs | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -9.2wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x03e3…08e0backed Chiefs | 66c | 2,000$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.95 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed Chargers | 32c | 1,972$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.82 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…f42dbacked Chiefs | 68c | 1,912$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.63 | 207 | 33.8%70 W · 137 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Chargers | 32c | 1,895$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.37 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e90…2097backed Chargers | 32c | 1,757$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.39 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Chargers | 34c | 1,756$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.06 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Chiefs | 66c | 1,724$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.05 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c80…a608backed Chargers | 38c | 1,603$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.28 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Chargers | 10c | 1,600$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 285 | 56.5%161 W · 124 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…558cbacked Chiefs | 76c | 1,589$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.26 | 162 | 75.3%122 W · 40 L | +17.3wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Chiefs | 70c | 1,586$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.31 | 128 | 42.2%54 W · 74 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed Chiefs | 68c | 1,447$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.93 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Chargers | 10c | 1,441$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.07 | 143 | 44.1%63 W · 80 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x581c…7f94backed Chiefs | 66c | 1,411$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.73 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed Chargers | 25c | 1,400$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.99 | 211 | 51.2%108 W · 103 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe327…ec05backed Chiefs | 70c | 1,250$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.03 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db4…487abacked Chiefs | 61c | 1,234$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.44 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd2…d60fbacked Chiefs | 69c | 1,207$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.25 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b23…8278backed Chiefs | 69c | 1,200$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Chargers | 25c | 1,189$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.53 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Chargers | 32c | 1,094$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Chargers | 34c | 1,034$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.33 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfa…a0dabacked Chargers | 12c | 1,017$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +5.4wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +111.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x25de…794bbacked Chiefs | 66c | 1,008$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.59 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Chiefs | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Chiefs | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.2 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Chiefs | 71c | 1,000$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.2 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7691…dfc0backed Chiefs | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc7…3a04backed Chiefs | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0e…113dbacked Chiefs | 65c | 999.99$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 23 | 91.3%21 W · 2 L | +6.0wins | +0.26per pick | 65cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xce10…902bbacked Chiefs | 66c | 990.91$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.91 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb3…f525backed Chargers | 32c | 953.13$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed7c…da06backed Chargers | 33c | 950$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.5 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Chargers | 22c | 932.39$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.07 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Chiefs | 75c | 931.36$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.64 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Chiefs | 76c | 919.62$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.62 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…5124backed Chargers | 25c | 915.58$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.81 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeea7…c4d0backed Chiefs | 68c | 895.03$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.41 | 45 | 71.1%32 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d30…ec0dbacked Chargers | 12c | 888.98$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.74 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15f6…e98fbacked Chargers | 25c | 844.29$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.56 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Chiefs | 66c | 832.23$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.23 | 127 | 60.6%77 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…d120backed Chiefs | 69c | 820$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.4 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…24dcbacked Chiefs | 69c | 755$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.05 | 205 | 57.6%118 W · 87 L | +16.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.