TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xeea7…c4d0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
80
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: College Football, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 58 out of 100; worst Movies at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2025, EST4571.1%32 W · 13 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+11.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Eagles score 19 or more points in Super Bowl LIX?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$383Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+33.3%+$127.56
Bills vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST+88.7%+$133.02
Will Josh Allen score a Touchdown in the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST+37%+$369.86
Will the Eagles and Commanders combine for 48 or more points?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Saquon Barkley score a Touchdown in the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST+44.9%+$44.93
Ravens vs. Billsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Josh Allen score a touchdown?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+89.4%+$89.35
Rams vs. Eaglesbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will the Eagles beat the Rams by 7 or more points?backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+112.8%+$112.77
Will Saquon Barkley score a touchdown?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+56.3%+$28.13
Vikings vs. Ramsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Packers vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST+40.8%+$40.85
Chargers vs. Texansbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Vikings vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+72.4%+$72.41
Bengals vs. Steelersbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+78.6%+$39.29
Lions vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$35
Falcons vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST+53.8%+$26.92
Packers vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+75.4%+$37.72
Cardinals vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+33.3%+$50
Broncos vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+58.7%+$88.1
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+37%+$55.48
Seahawks vs. Bearsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST+47.1%+$70.59
Ravens vs. Texansbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST+40.8%+$61.27
Chiefs vs. Steelersbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST+69.5%+$104.24
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2025, EST1764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EST+49.3%+$101.69
Knicks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST+61.3%+$30.65
Rockets vs. Pelicansbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST+63.9%+$68.64
Kings vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Nuggets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$492Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST+63.9%+$314.87
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST+47.1%+$23.53
Rockets vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Heat vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST+40.8%+$408.45
Magic vs. Raptorsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Hornets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST+40.8%+$40.85
Bucks vs. Raptorsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2025, EST+50.8%+$50.79
Trail Blazers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+81.8%+$40.91
Knicks vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST+53.8%+$26.92
Celtics vs. Timberwolvesbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST+53.8%+$16.15
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST-100%-$100
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST-100%-$150
All 17 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2025, EST988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.26per pick63cpaid+41%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
College Football — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+92%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flyers vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST+66.7%+$70.47
Hurricanes vs. Starsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST+117.4%+$58.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+138.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100.16
Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+377.1%+$2,715.69
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 5, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open: Sinner vs. Medvedevbacked Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2024, EDT+38.9%+$19.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona vs. Kansas Statebacked Arizona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Demi Moore win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.