TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Pelicans

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rocketsof Rockets, Pelicans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$205,951
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$224,043

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $205,951 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 497 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6e82…752cbacked Pelicans38c10,159$3,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,859.291,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Pelicans2c6,016$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.168783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Rockets62c5,746$3,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,183.671,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x913a…4689backed Rockets60c4,880$2,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,952633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-50.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf56d…bbadbacked Pelicans40c4,876$1,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,950.5320%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3b1…6f55backed Pelicans41c4,664$1,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,912.220238.6%78 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Rockets61c4,422$2,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,724.7696447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e56…dee1backed Rockets59c4,023$2,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,648.377038.6%27 W · 43 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5444…26b1backed Rockets62c3,800$2,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4622352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Pelicans39c3,572$1,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.3147848.1%230 W · 248 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69f3…db29backed Pelicans0c3,200$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11419.8%4 W · 37 L-0.2wins0.00per pick10cpaid-81.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88db…3843backed Rockets63c3,118$1,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,153.6417546.3%81 W · 94 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x873c…ac48backed Pelicans37c3,100$1,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14725833.7%87 W · 171 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Pelicans0c3,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x649c…6e4fbacked Pelicans2c2,852$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.992015%3 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-66.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b6a…3eedbacked Pelicans5c2,812$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.327735.4%98 W · 179 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Pelicans25c2,743$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.6770640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc560…1fc1backed Pelicans38c2,632$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.1860%0 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0712…f71bbacked Pelicans38c2,631$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.769247.8%44 W · 48 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa112…d215backed Pelicans39c2,500$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9753435.3%12 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Rockets57c2,425$1,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,048.4166744.5%297 W · 370 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Rockets75c2,317$1,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.865,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Pelicans48c2,246$1,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.1447656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Rockets60c2,105$1,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849.4850245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Pelicans1c2,102$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5234425.6%88 W · 256 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91ee…bf85backed Pelicans4c2,100$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9420031%62 W · 138 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick22cpaid+52.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x91b0…f0b6backed Pelicans2c2,068$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.168337.3%31 W · 52 L-0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-31.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0e0…68a8backed Rockets62c2,043$1,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$776.396750.7%34 W · 33 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed Rockets47c1,934$919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.6129747.5%141 W · 156 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x938c…d5e5backed Pelicans41c1,886$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776.7615237.5%57 W · 95 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb26…94ddbacked Pelicans7c1,700$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010018%18 W · 82 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick15cpaid+30.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Pelicans1c1,467$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.151,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Pelicans1c1,371$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.787502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Pelicans38c1,300$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.9833945.1%153 W · 186 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x39dc…8d05backed Pelicans39c1,291$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014051.4%72 W · 68 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Pelicans1c1,202$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.145502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ecb…f73abacked Pelicans38c1,167$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.441040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Pelicans1c1,111$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1134524.3%84 W · 261 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Pelicans35c1,098$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.4547229.4%139 W · 333 L-33.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Pelicans2c1,000$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.437627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Rockets59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41046342.5%197 W · 266 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51dd…2f92backed Rockets63c999.86$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.9519944.7%89 W · 110 L-15.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Rockets62c957.14$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.711,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Pelicans21c917.99$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.633931.9%108 W · 231 L-28.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Rockets63c910.99$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.9888053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x42e0…0578backed Rockets62c904.68$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.7820553.7%110 W · 95 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Rockets62c900$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3391,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Pelicans21c785.07$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.9434532.8%113 W · 232 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4531…b46abacked Rockets62c771.35$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.111154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick36cpaid+79%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x335f…55c8backed Rockets62c770.97$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.97955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5170…1169backed Pelicans39c770.49$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.49333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-54.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x766c…e484backed Pelicans39c769.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.17540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-40.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Pelicans38c769.35$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.3561345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f59…152cbacked Rockets62c769.35$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.351154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2e0…14adbacked Rockets60c712.02$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.811957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Pelicans7c689.42$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5037011.4%42 W · 328 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Rockets62c645.16$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.1612759.8%76 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Pelicans40c600$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Rockets62c565$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.757760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Rockets62c536.81$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.9920153.7%108 W · 93 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Pelicans44c515.91$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.0470951.3%364 W · 345 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb215…b819backed Pelicans39c512.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026124.1%63 W · 198 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pelicans27c500$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1353,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa67…0ef4backed Pelicans4c500$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.88016.3%13 W · 67 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-27.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf7e…0fbfbacked Pelicans39c500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1951540%6 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Rockets62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1901,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe85d…15eabacked Rockets61c499.99$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1952755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2209…823ebacked Rockets62c496.77$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.771369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Rockets62c483.87$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.8738942.9%167 W · 222 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Rockets57c480.01$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.920851.4%107 W · 101 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb4e…ab3cbacked Pelicans39c469.23$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb928…5fd7backed Pelicans38c452.73$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.047451.4%38 W · 36 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x28b6…4eddbacked Rockets60c419.71$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.589038.9%35 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Pelicans48c418.75$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20126934.9%94 W · 175 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Pelicans35c403.17$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.8585542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadbe…bc55backed Rockets62c400$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15250453.8%271 W · 233 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c3b…a7e9backed Pelicans38c400$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1521030%3 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-29.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x390a…bfb0backed Rockets63c400$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-39.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Pelicans41c399.99$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16368642.1%289 W · 397 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Rockets62c399.99$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.61,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b9…db23backed Rockets63c380.95$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.95580%4 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.39per pick41cpaid+97.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd14b…1e20backed Pelicans39c376.92$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff5e…72f9backed Rockets63c371.02$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.28560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Rockets63c349.21$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.2156348.5%273 W · 290 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa27b…5d5cbacked Rockets49c346.67$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17620447.1%96 W · 108 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6929…0e4bbacked Pelicans56c346.52$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.636253.2%33 W · 29 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x03cb…4bf9backed Pelicans58c344.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026640.2%107 W · 159 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Rockets62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5893036.5%339 W · 591 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Rockets62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5813959%82 W · 57 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Rockets62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5812659.5%75 W · 51 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Rockets63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.4633638.1%128 W · 208 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Rockets63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.461,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61af…aa01backed Rockets62c312$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.5638464.3%247 W · 137 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Rockets43c300$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1711,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fca…a099backed Pelicans5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15387.9%3 W · 35 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick11cpaid-83.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb123…0a15backed Rockets62c300$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1139944.4%44 W · 55 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x400b…3160backed Rockets60c300$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.91936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick30cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2150…7afcbacked Rockets60c293.66$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.88250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed Rockets49c278.27$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.0339843.5%173 W · 225 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e7f…1bd6backed Pelicans40c265.73$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.295846.6%27 W · 31 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.