NFL · resolved market
Broncos vs. Bengals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc55c68bf3a087e4d72b4d9821994685aa29e241ce2ccdd270503f29c85552f91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bengalsof Broncos, Bengals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,002,575
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,306,268
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,002,575 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 824 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xad3e…4422backed Bengals | 59c | 252,999$150,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102,829.77 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…6af8backed Bengals | 65c | 147,671$95,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,945.91 | 125 | 70.4%88 W · 37 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2317…c891backed Bengals | 72c | 126,210$91,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,722.85 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Broncos | 37c | 112,972$41,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,291.56 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Broncos | 0c | 105,240$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.24 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Broncos | 30c | 105,096$31,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,707.84 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0e…78ddbacked Broncos | 37c | 80,000$29,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,599.86 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Broncos | 27c | 74,996$20,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,239.28 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf2…41b7backed Bengals | 77c | 51,836$40,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,782.97 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Broncos | 42c | 42,806$17,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,832.39 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3e…b656backed Bengals | 64c | 41,783$26,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,008.59 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc64d…a1c9backed Bengals | 76c | 39,599$30,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,578.77 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Broncos | 41c | 37,463$15,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,440.41 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94dc…c779backed Bengals | 64c | 33,402$21,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,077.87 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3061…dd00backed Bengals | 65c | 28,628$18,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,106.89 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…f1f5backed Bengals | 63c | 25,871$16,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,570.85 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Broncos | 36c | 23,999$8,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,679.82 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Broncos | 34c | 23,757$8,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,105.2 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…a0bdbacked Broncos | 37c | 19,838$7,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,318.01 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Broncos | 36c | 18,938$6,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,817.7 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Broncos | 29c | 16,702$4,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,924.38 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f9…2aa8backed Bengals | 69c | 15,965$11,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,920.31 | 290 | 59.7%173 W · 117 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc822…c185backed Bengals | 78c | 15,007$11,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,272.74 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Broncos | 35c | 11,907$4,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,224.7 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Bengals | 63c | 11,878$7,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,395.03 | 106 | 39.6%42 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed Broncos | 37c | 11,245$4,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,137 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fd…a7dabacked Broncos | 39c | 11,093$4,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,326.28 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +39%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Broncos | 40c | 10,918$4,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,371.4 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -7.9wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -45%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb511…01dabacked Bengals | 66c | 9,480$6,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,213.2 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed Broncos | 37c | 8,498$3,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,144.16 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6eee…02fcbacked Bengals | 63c | 8,487$5,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,140.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Broncos | 24c | 8,226$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9e…74aebacked Broncos | 33c | 7,628$2,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,521.32 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Bengals | 61c | 7,565$4,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,915.68 | 176 | 9.1%16 W · 160 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Broncos | 38c | 7,271$2,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,744.98 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Broncos | 38c | 7,000$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,640 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Broncos | 33c | 6,788$2,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,273.11 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4b…4a75backed Broncos | 37c | 5,571$2,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,071 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d5…38bfbacked Broncos | 38c | 5,429$2,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,063 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c93…a26dbacked Broncos | 38c | 5,305$2,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,016.04 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x961f…98f8backed Broncos | 38c | 5,253$1,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,996 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9e…7928backed Broncos | 37c | 5,072$1,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,876.51 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…ad02backed Bengals | 63c | 5,068$3,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,875.06 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Bengals | 62c | 5,000$3,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890.32 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Bengals | 65c | 4,787$3,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,653.91 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd065…93e8backed Bengals | 63c | 4,762$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,761.9 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Broncos | 37c | 4,650$1,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720.73 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Broncos | 16c | 4,476$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.38 | 82 | 18.3%15 W · 67 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Bengals | 63c | 4,387$2,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,623.21 | 198 | 64.6%128 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Bengals | 64c | 4,167$2,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,518.94 | 247 | 38.1%94 W · 153 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Broncos | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720 | 111 | 39.6%44 W · 67 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Bengals | 62c | 4,000$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.97 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Broncos | 5c | 3,887$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.82 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2f…aaf8backed Broncos | 38c | 3,618$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Broncos | 36c | 3,560$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.65 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79a1…5801backed Bengals | 64c | 3,369$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.16 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +9.6wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Broncos | 40c | 3,115$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245.73 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd86…36b3backed Broncos | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -6.8wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4851…16dbbacked Broncos | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Broncos | 5c | 2,800$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.04 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Broncos | 37c | 2,703$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…f42dbacked Bengals | 63c | 2,633$1,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.3 | 207 | 33.8%70 W · 137 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4741…6cf0backed Broncos | 38c | 2,632$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Bengals | 77c | 2,608$2,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.99 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6e…b233backed Broncos | 38c | 2,545$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.16 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Broncos | 37c | 2,465$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.28 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a01…3785backed Bengals | 63c | 2,298$1,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a4…75c1backed Bengals | 61c | 2,210$1,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.61 | 186 | 58.1%108 W · 78 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…f03bbacked Bengals | 63c | 2,160$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.06 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x964b…167abacked Bengals | 66c | 2,131$1,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.43 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Bengals | 61c | 2,114$1,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.99 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Bengals | 68c | 2,056$1,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.22 | 128 | 42.2%54 W · 74 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Broncos | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Broncos | 36c | 1,881$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.2 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ba…dfbbbacked Bengals | 63c | 1,713$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.68 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04a…824ebacked Bengals | 61c | 1,702$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.29 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Broncos | 40c | 1,674$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.75 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Broncos | 29c | 1,593$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.19 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Broncos | 35c | 1,588$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.38 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Bengals | 71c | 1,500$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked Bengals | 63c | 1,381$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.28 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed Bengals | 59c | 1,380$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.07 | 211 | 51.2%108 W · 103 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…c870backed Bengals | 60c | 1,374$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.66 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac34…b0fcbacked Broncos | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06a8…5df3backed Broncos | 38c | 1,304$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.58 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Broncos | 38c | 1,300$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…d18cbacked Broncos | 40c | 1,290$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.35 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -5.5wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6153…0e04backed Bengals | 66c | 1,252$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.67 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3275…e7fcbacked Broncos | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Broncos | 39c | 1,227$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.39 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Bengals | 65c | 1,201$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.75 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd234…43fcbacked Broncos | 20c | 1,200$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Broncos | 38c | 1,198$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.16 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Bengals | 62c | 1,150$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.96 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Broncos | 54c | 1,100$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Broncos | 21c | 1,079$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a39…5077backed Bengals | 75c | 1,047$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.11 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Broncos | 36c | 1,044$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e0…fe50backed Broncos | 49c | 1,020$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.47 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac1…45dbbacked Bengals | 65c | 1,001$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.74 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.