TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Hurricanes vs. Stars

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hurricanesof Hurricanes, Stars
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$106,487
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$110,688

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,487 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 256 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1b5e…83f8backed Hurricanes47c40,304$18,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,387.137758.4%45 W · 32 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Stars53c15,000$7,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,9509459.6%56 W · 38 L+11.1wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+20.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Stars53c11,802$6,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,255.0635545.4%161 W · 194 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0b8…b5e1backed Stars53c6,540$3,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,466.220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Stars24c4,430$1,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,048.2892848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4512…75f6backed Hurricanes47c4,008$1,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,124.36333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x821d…0a01backed Stars54c3,783$2,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,042.9221652.3%113 W · 103 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Stars54c3,006$1,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,636.271,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1c9…96d9backed Hurricanes48c2,954$1,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,549.931428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-42.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9a30…1067backed Hurricanes47c2,540$1,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,346.19475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+63.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Stars54c2,500$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,349.9331849.4%157 W · 161 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97c1…5369backed Stars55c1,850$1,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,017.691080%8 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+59.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xccf2…dde1backed Hurricanes45c1,850$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,017.693100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+100.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d2a…ca37backed Stars55c1,837$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.1615261.8%94 W · 58 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Stars28c1,768$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.821,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca1b…f3adbacked Hurricanes45c1,367$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafd6…77adbacked Stars55c1,367$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2b2…66d8backed Stars56c1,154$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.642356.5%13 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Stars52c1,075$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.2525340.7%103 W · 150 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Hurricanes46c1,015$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.29955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Stars54c999.99$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.9954349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a72…3c27backed Stars55c888.89$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.891266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+39.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3420…1856backed Hurricanes45c888.89$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.89666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Stars53c785.29$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.211,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Stars27c760.28$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.281,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Hurricanes73c744.97$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.763650%18 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Stars53c702$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.0629847%140 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Hurricanes46c609.98$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.3975155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Hurricanes69c599.81$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.463,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa171…cc91backed Hurricanes45c548.18$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdde2…f115backed Stars55c548.18$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Hurricanes60c507.65$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.1731334.8%109 W · 204 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Stars55c500$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2751,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c67…bb39backed Stars30c500$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.54742.6%20 W · 27 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-20.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Stars54c499.99$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27050049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Hurricanes45c433.8$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.9772444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked Stars52c429$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.2113756.2%77 W · 60 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Stars53c421.98$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.9579251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Stars54c412.39$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.6919438.1%74 W · 120 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e4d…07cbbacked Stars55c345.03$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.771471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+38.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x786a…74d1backed Hurricanes45c345.03$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.77944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b0b…f9d6backed Stars55c300$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1653145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Stars53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15912245.9%56 W · 66 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b68…4c35backed Hurricanes47c287.34$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.34333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-29.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43d4…f19ebacked Stars55c278$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Stars52c274$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.3841851.4%215 W · 203 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb9c…d01bbacked Stars55c272.73$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504951%25 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30b9…9b83backed Hurricanes52c258.09$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.882653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Stars55c250$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.381,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc573…e1d4backed Hurricanes47c244.68$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.68450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1a0…20a1backed Stars54c240$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.6862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39eb…7240backed Stars55c235$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.37425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x89d0…ee28backed Hurricanes46c230$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.2728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-34.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Stars10c227.45$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.77450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed09…de44backed Hurricanes45c225$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.75450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79e8…6ef1backed Hurricanes45c223$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8ff…150dbacked Stars55c222.27$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.25450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6650…d38ebacked Hurricanes46c218$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.721752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeca3…ac1bbacked Stars53c212.68$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+20.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9e…f969backed Hurricanes47c212.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39a8…f170backed Stars54c211.36$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11511644%51 W · 65 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x87a0…4e12backed Hurricanes48c208.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.31757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x413f…8d13backed Hurricanes46c202.17$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd95…1df3backed Stars56c200.71$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15c9…e725backed Stars24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485322.6%12 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-36.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Hurricanes77c199.02$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1291334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe697…8202backed Hurricanes46c186.96$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa992…8f7ebacked Stars56c186.09$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Stars52c164$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.2247249.2%232 W · 240 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57cf…c7f5backed Stars54c155.14$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.0320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Hurricanes46c152.17$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.1724945.8%114 W · 135 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeeee…ccb7backed Hurricanes46c150$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815160.8%31 W · 20 L+7.5wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+32.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Hurricanes42c150$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.59553.7%51 W · 44 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4169…eab3backed Hurricanes48c141.75$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.412556%14 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+17.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe2ab…fc79backed Hurricanes48c137.19$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.342458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7700…7711backed Hurricanes50c134.64$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Hurricanes44c131.85$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.8497651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99b4…8239backed Hurricanes47c130.51$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.171361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+26%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8287…4684backed Hurricanes48c129.59$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.391346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b14…d17cbacked Stars53c129.06$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.89944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeba7…f213backed Hurricanes48c127.52$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.312352.2%12 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2fb…783fbacked Stars54c127.4$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.682133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.7wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x885a…0b49backed Stars54c126.82$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.481070%7 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+34%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9489…0c10backed Stars54c124.72$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.351560%9 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf07…3ef3backed Hurricanes48c122.57$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.741136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc682…7c9ebacked Stars54c122.09$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.532055%11 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x537d…bde1backed Stars54c117.19$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.281580%12 W · 3 L+3.8wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+48.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3dd7…103fbacked Stars54c115.7$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3ab…ec05backed Stars54c115.21$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.211070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+42.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x25e0…c6c4backed Stars54c114.59$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.881553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf862…e2babacked Stars54c114.25$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.442653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x98fd…fbb2backed Stars55c113$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.151442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf426…152fbacked Hurricanes48c110.73$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.581060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+25.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x161c…a9dbbacked Stars55c109.09$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeea7…c4d0backed Hurricanes46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.72100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+92%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b22…ac45backed Hurricanes46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+67.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99e4…b659backed Hurricanes47c108.6$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.661250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x219e…3be0backed Stars56c108.29$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.6420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb581…23a6backed Hurricanes46c105.98$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.232100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+80.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11d0…6ed6backed Hurricanes48c104.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.391533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-34.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.