TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe2ab…fc79

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
76
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NHL, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 53 out of 100; worst Champions League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2025, EDT4456.8%25 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+300%+$119.85
Pistons vs. Mavericksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$135.27
Rockets vs. Heatbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+50.6%+$82.41
76ers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$85.94
Bucks vs. Lakersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$76.5
Bulls vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$120.86
Nets vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$31.54
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.5
Cavaliers vs. Kingsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$69.41
Wizards vs. Jazzbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$79.6
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.45
Pistons vs. Heatbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$55.21
Mavericks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT+25%+$25.95
Rockets vs. Magicbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$97.43
Cavaliers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$127.4
Hawks vs. Hornetsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$22.17
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.07
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$171.4
Wizards vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$81.42
Raptors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$10.95
Thunder vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.97
Raptors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.12
Hawks vs. Netsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.64
76ers vs. Mavericksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$108.55
Bulls vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$24.23
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2025, EDT2458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lightning vs. Starsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$84.97
Avalanche vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$108.8
Avalanche vs. Maple Leafsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.34
Utah vs. Oilersbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.12
Kraken vs. Blackhawksbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$47.83
Ducks vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$36.72
Blues vs. Predatorsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$81.97
Flames vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$103.64
Red Wings vs. Capitalsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$73.12
Flyers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2025, EDT+37%+$31.48
Jets vs. Krakenbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$31.42
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT+152.5%+$115.46
Blue Jackets vs. Rangersbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$41.93
Maple Leafs vs. Avalanchebacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EST-100%-$13.6
Senators vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2025, EST-100%-$67.96
Kings vs. Lightningbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST-100%-$42.25
Devils vs. Flyersbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2025, EST-100%-$71.35
Jets vs. Avalanchebacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST+104.1%+$46.59
Hurricanes vs. Starsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST+108.3%+$71.34
Capitals vs. Senatorsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST+96.1%+$51.66
Kraken vs. Sabresbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST+127.3%+$13.07
Blackhawks vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST+58.7%+$6.33
Canucks vs. Hurricanesbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$10.64
Panthers vs. Utahbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2025, EST+78.6%+$10.69
All 24 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 12, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Braves vs. Metsbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.84
Twins vs. Yankeesbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.96
Marlins vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$24.45
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win La Liga?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$14.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$13.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 9, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Vikings vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win on 2025-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$64.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.