NHL · resolved market
Maple Leafs vs. Avalanche
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a367565cb66708e51a09f277998a32a0c9e62b3f3c9ac7629b28d65e25f1d6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Avalancheof Maple Leafs, Avalanche
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,616
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,832
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,616 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 2,346$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.29 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Avalanche | 59c | 2,299$1,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.24 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeca…edaabacked Maple Leafs | 41c | 2,185$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8d…216cbacked Maple Leafs | 76c | 2,092$1,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,596.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Avalanche | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.95 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Avalanche | 30c | 1,559$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.58 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9718…fa5dbacked Avalanche | 58c | 1,499$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.58 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 61cpaid | +35%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb703…6f88backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 1,499$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.58 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Maple Leafs | 65c | 1,240$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8d…4adbbacked Avalanche | 58c | 1,234$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.41 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97d5…d0d7backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 1,234$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Avalanche | 34c | 1,233$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.45 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd773…a709backed Avalanche | 59c | 1,214$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +141%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf32b…1e55backed Avalanche | 61c | 1,134$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.57 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 36cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Maple Leafs | 41c | 1,114$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.2 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Avalanche | 59c | 935.92$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.92 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 876.89$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7206…90d9backed Avalanche | 59c | 855.93$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.93 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x201f…1bbdbacked Avalanche | 58c | 850$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fcc…ef85backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 850$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bf…c049backed Avalanche | 36c | 837.44$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.44 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40d…8ee3backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 747.7$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.03 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…1e5dbacked Avalanche | 58c | 747.7$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.03 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 47cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Maple Leafs | 9c | 685.87$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.39 | 216 | 20.4%44 W · 172 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 500$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.75 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Avalanche | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Maple Leafs | 62c | 492.86$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fef…3589backed Maple Leafs | 65c | 463.85$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1837…c705backed Maple Leafs | 77c | 387.1$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Avalanche | 58c | 357.6$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.19 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Maple Leafs | 40c | 344.36$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.75 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Avalanche | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Maple Leafs | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 265 | 47.5%126 W · 139 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Maple Leafs | 41c | 299.99$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Maple Leafs | 42c | 299.97$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.99 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Avalanche | 57c | 252.87$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.73 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Maple Leafs | 55c | 207.66$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.43 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Maple Leafs | 41c | 203.48$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.43 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Avalanche | 58c | 193.19$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.14 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Avalanche | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 212 | 55.7%118 W · 94 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42a2…2e5fbacked Avalanche | 58c | 175$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44bd…6e0cbacked Maple Leafs | 44c | 173$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.12 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1161…5abbbacked Avalanche | 56c | 173$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.12 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd888…4192backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 172$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.24 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x070e…ab83backed Avalanche | 58c | 172$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.24 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x824e…a9b6backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 171.67$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.1 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Avalanche | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Maple Leafs | 41c | 155.68$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.83 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe0…b35abacked Maple Leafs | 42c | 152$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb97b…929dbacked Avalanche | 58c | 152$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.84 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x159a…e9c2backed Avalanche | 58c | 151$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.42 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7b…a0a0backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 151$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.42 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef50…bdcabacked Maple Leafs | 42c | 145$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9199…21c9backed Avalanche | 58c | 145$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…b47bbacked Avalanche | 58c | 140$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb703…98b9backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 140$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e20…fd40backed Avalanche | 30c | 138.92$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.93 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Avalanche | 58c | 137.52$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.07 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf07…a373backed Avalanche | 58c | 137$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57ff…0b31backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 137$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98b4…5d76backed Avalanche | 52c | 133.69$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.78 | 301 | 55.1%166 W · 135 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5a…3352backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 129$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa738…a08abacked Avalanche | 58c | 129$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5161…771ebacked Avalanche | 59c | 128.78$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd141…dfffbacked Maple Leafs | 42c | 122.62$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf59d…cde0backed Avalanche | 58c | 122$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +71%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfad1…0bf8backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 122$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55fa…88b8backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 119.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 118.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1f…0227backed Avalanche | 59c | 116.25$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.66 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85bc…5c35backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 116$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.72 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb34e…c317backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 113$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.46 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6e…2e6dbacked Avalanche | 59c | 108.32$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.41 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Maple Leafs | 42c | 107.14$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 380 | 40.5%154 W · 226 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6f…7396backed Avalanche | 58c | 107$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe862…7c6cbacked Maple Leafs | 42c | 107$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf862…e2babacked Avalanche | 59c | 106.25$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.56 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Maple Leafs | 78c | 104.91$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.88 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Avalanche | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Avalanche | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Avalanche | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 285 | 42.1%120 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…8c56backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -5.2wins | -0.37per pick | 44cpaid | -88.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…b7e2backed Avalanche | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4a…0450backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Maple Leafs | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b0…aefebacked Avalanche | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0b…4a13backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked Avalanche | 58c | 99.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Maple Leafs | 39c | 98.72$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Avalanche | 61c | 98.72$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 96 | 65.6%63 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3217…2dcebacked Avalanche | 59c | 98.19$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.26 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4773…e9d0backed Avalanche | 58c | 95$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x616a…6705backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7f…be71backed Avalanche | 58c | 95$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c19…06a7backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b23…e7ccbacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 92.53$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.45 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +38%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x94f8…e851backed Maple Leafs | 76c | 90.13$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x291f…dc62backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 90.05$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.82 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.