TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb34e…c317

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
82
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: MLB, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT5046%23 W · 27 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.01
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$96.91
Wizards vs. Trail Blazersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.14
Raptors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT+31.4%+$56.59
Pistons vs. Pelicansbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$43.42
Thunder vs. Bucksbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$18.02
Hornets vs. Clippersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$76.69
Raptors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$24.83
Hawks vs. Netsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$61.94
76ers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$115.12
Pelicans vs. Spursbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$92.67
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$36.77
Thunder vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$135.96
Cavaliers vs. Grizzliesbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$22.83
Kings vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$12.37
Nets vs. Bullsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$101.95
Clippers vs. Heatbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$85.5
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$78.1
Lakers vs. Netsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.73
76ers vs. Hawksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.96
Wizards vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$61.65
Pistons vs. Trail Blazersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$46.58
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$69.43
Pistons vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EST+49.3%+$56.51
Wizards vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EST-100%-$151.43
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2025, EDT1947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Rangersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$74.91
Blackhawks vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$31.55
Capitals vs. Sharksbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$15.69
Golden Knights vs. Penguinsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$74.1
Kings vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.11
Blue Jackets vs. Rangersbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$50.28
Penguins vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$67.18
Blues vs. Kingsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EST-100%-$75.76
Maple Leafs vs. Avalanchebacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EST-100%-$47.46
Sabres vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST+40.8%+$32.43
Senators vs. Blackhawksbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST+44.9%+$17.1
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$65.03
Kings vs. Red Wingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2025, EST-100%-$64.22
Canadiens vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST+85.2%+$41.06
Panthers vs. Kingsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$47.4
Jets vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$44.14
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST+132.6%+$65.28
Rangers vs. Utahbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST+96.1%+$36.31
Kraken vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$13.73
All 19 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+106.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Orioles vs. Philliesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$36.48
Nationals vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$30.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Notre Dame vs. Penn Statebacked Notre Dame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST+96.1%+$13.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Jaguars (-3.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.93
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.