TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Kings vs. Golden Knights

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kingsof Kings, Golden Knights
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$64,866
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$68,059

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,866 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x40e3…0787backed Golden Knights12c9,161$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,070.1232331.3%101 W · 222 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeab5…63a1backed Golden Knights5c5,339$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.463839.5%15 W · 23 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick30cpaid+26.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Golden Knights63c4,770$3,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,005.0133652.1%175 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x821d…0a01backed Kings37c4,196$1,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,643.2621652.3%113 W · 103 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Golden Knights17c3,395$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.781,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Golden Knights15c2,959$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45021620.4%44 W · 172 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x171f…95fbbacked Golden Knights1c2,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121050%5 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Golden Knights62c2,000$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,24024546.1%113 W · 132 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Kings72c1,958$1,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.533,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Golden Knights57c1,927$1,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,097.2527958.8%164 W · 115 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1187…cb53backed Kings36c1,894$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,21211533%38 W · 77 L-9.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-21.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x40b3…6159backed Golden Knights58c1,630$943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942.88870.5%62 W · 26 L+9.2wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+16.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Golden Knights31c1,500$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.941340%165 W · 248 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Kings38c1,462$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.581,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c40…5f2cbacked Golden Knights63c1,200$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+21.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9b6…2b6bbacked Kings37c1,197$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.11050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Golden Knights15c1,101$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.2984051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kings39c964.02$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.691,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Kings35c892.58$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.189459.6%56 W · 38 L+11.1wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+20.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1fef…3589backed Kings72c768.54$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.19742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick67cpaid-41.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Kings37c759.22$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.3111145.9%51 W · 60 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Kings37c702.7$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.718136.5%66 W · 115 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Golden Knights61c621.2$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.91,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Golden Knights61c599.97$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.9866951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Kings36c596.45$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.7349351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Golden Knights9c544.35$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5291334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Golden Knights63c539.68$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34012955.8%72 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Golden Knights64c500$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Kings37c486.49$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.4914844.6%66 W · 82 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Kings51c463.78$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.2513754%74 W · 63 L+9.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Kings37c388.94$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.6437738.7%146 W · 231 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc103…81e8backed Golden Knights39c336.56$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1311145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Golden Knights64c327.32$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.485164.7%33 W · 18 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd0cd…c8c7backed Golden Knights65c300.8$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.52450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Golden Knights66c300$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19837254.3%202 W · 170 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Kings38c300$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18672444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Kings34c300$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1981,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…8c56backed Golden Knights40c274.2$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.68147.1%1 W · 13 L-5.2wins-0.37per pick44cpaid-88.5%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x0fbe…d6d5backed Kings39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.41540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe11…0d27backed Golden Knights8c222$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85bc…5c35backed Kings38c212.92$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.011457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6294…2958backed Kings37c205.76$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.631560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+21.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfaa2…93ccbacked Kings64c201.36$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.497634.2%26 W · 50 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-26.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6b9a…8f02backed Kings37c189.03$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.931963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+29%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3217…2dcebacked Golden Knights64c179.78$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.061770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+38.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4022…46b6backed Golden Knights64c178.42$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.191553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b6a…672bbacked Golden Knights64c173.67$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.151866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+37.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa320…8232backed Kings75c169.07$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.612161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x997f…ee78backed Golden Knights61c167$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x845a…b63dbacked Kings39c167$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.873100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+100.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Kings35c164.36$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.8322842.5%97 W · 131 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Golden Knights62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Golden Knights62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2d4…90c1backed Kings61c160$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.41752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1462…51efbacked Golden Knights39c160$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.41338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a24…20a6backed Golden Knights62c157$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe01b…2d8fbacked Kings38c157$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.34683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick49cpaid+72.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5509…b402backed Kings64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.25540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+79.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5161…771ebacked Kings37c153.76$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.871947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf862…e2babacked Golden Knights64c153.56$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.282653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bca…16bfbacked Kings38c152.63$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.633661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdede…149ebacked Golden Knights63c152.38$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xce19…08a6backed Kings37c151.73$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.592759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x855a…0985backed Golden Knights64c143.01$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.861850%9 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7a1…ad7bbacked Kings77c140.41$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.64957.1%28 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Golden Knights13c139.66$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1644848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4792…db6cbacked Kings37c134.81$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.93366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+42.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac52…1208backed Kings37c134.35$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.64450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd10a…91e9backed Golden Knights65c130$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.526059.6%155 W · 105 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ce…7b13backed Kings38c130$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.6850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8982…3578backed Golden Knights62c130$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc21…5020backed Kings37c126.49$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.69560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fec…70f9backed Golden Knights15c110.96$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174425%11 W · 33 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Golden Knights62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6235154.1%190 W · 161 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79b2…4874backed Golden Knights67c100$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-21.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked Golden Knights63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6327643.5%120 W · 156 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Kings70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe2d9…36e6backed Golden Knights63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Golden Knights61c99.98$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.9950857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa74f…394fbacked Golden Knights64c83.58$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.86540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d34…1a59backed Golden Knights64c81.55$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.1930%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x73dd…134bbacked Kings37c79.03$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.79450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+30.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0e…682bbacked Golden Knights64c77.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.65862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…be67backed Golden Knights64c74.09$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.421637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa51d…fcb3backed Golden Knights64c73.84$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.26616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.41per pick58cpaid-74%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb34e…c317backed Golden Knights64c73.61$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.111947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x908f…d651backed Kings37c71.78$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.22785.7%6 W · 1 L+3.2wins+0.46per pick40cpaid+128.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb162…28cfbacked Golden Knights64c70.92$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.39728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-39.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e63…7e29backed Golden Knights63c69.99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.965345%294 W · 359 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7897…ea9abacked Kings37c67.59$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.582166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+28.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked Kings76c64$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3623462%145 W · 89 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Kings34c62.12$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67b8…2449backed Kings65c61.54$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5410255.9%57 W · 45 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b4c…62c4backed Golden Knights64c60.03$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.42333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick63cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Golden Knights64c58.89$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.6941757.3%239 W · 178 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Kings38c56.97$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.3229748.8%145 W · 152 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x674b…4040backed Golden Knights65c56.34$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.62475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+79.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2112…0befbacked Golden Knights66c55.42$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.44366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdba…aa96backed Kings57c54.39$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.391145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-28.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0843…85dfbacked Golden Knights64c54.15$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.71546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.