NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Pistons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x424dc82c89e3c3ee11a665b48bb07819f0ea9422e49955353f7c570bc1a2458c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Pistons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,106,968
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,175,762
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,106,968 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 950 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x000f…fa77backed Thunder | 65c | 224,451$146,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77,611.22 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…68dcbacked Pistons | 37c | 139,338$51,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,518.34 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Pistons | 25c | 65,999$16,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,383.27 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3503…b8babacked Pistons | 35c | 62,494$21,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,872.86 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Thunder | 74c | 50,845$37,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,274.08 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Thunder | 57c | 17,911$10,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,758.92 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Pistons | 34c | 15,628$5,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,312.57 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Pistons | 35c | 13,000$4,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,550 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Thunder | 68c | 12,642$8,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,055.03 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Thunder | 66c | 12,155$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,155.15 | 68 | 73.5%50 W · 18 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Thunder | 74c | 10,273$7,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,686.12 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Thunder | 67c | 10,100$6,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,374.97 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Thunder | 66c | 10,000$6,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,450 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Pistons | 21c | 9,782$2,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,042.91 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Pistons | 33c | 8,502$2,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,767.55 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Pistons | 22c | 8,423$1,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,852.82 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Pistons | 37c | 8,030$2,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,971.21 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Pistons | 33c | 7,833$2,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,613.23 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Pistons | 33c | 7,798$2,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,559.49 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Pistons | 40c | 7,549$3,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,032.68 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd46a…5adbbacked Thunder | 66c | 7,156$4,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,426.35 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Pistons | 36c | 7,000$2,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,509.95 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Pistons | 35c | 6,831$2,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,377.7 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +10.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Thunder | 61c | 5,815$3,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,253.01 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce37…b17bbacked Pistons | 35c | 5,221$1,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,844.2 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Pistons | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Thunder | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Pistons | 38c | 4,957$1,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,883.64 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pistons | 36c | 4,313$1,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,552.6 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Pistons | 35c | 4,229$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.81 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0564…ce95backed Pistons | 36c | 4,138$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.23 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -7.5wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Thunder | 65c | 4,000$2,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Pistons | 35c | 3,995$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,413.06 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0560…d77dbacked Pistons | 36c | 3,860$1,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390.6 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pistons | 36c | 3,730$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,353.33 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Thunder | 66c | 3,500$2,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.54 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x644c…8f6bbacked Thunder | 54c | 3,426$1,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.77 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Pistons | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0712…f71bbacked Pistons | 37c | 2,938$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0317…6289backed Pistons | 20c | 2,869$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.83 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Pistons | 35c | 2,839$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.8 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Thunder | 71c | 2,826$1,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.65 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Pistons | 36c | 2,778$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Thunder | 68c | 2,514$1,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.53 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Thunder | 64c | 2,500$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Pistons | 36c | 2,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d80…219abacked Pistons | 25c | 2,113$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Pistons | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Pistons | 36c | 1,814$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Thunder | 65c | 1,798$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.24 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Thunder | 50c | 1,752$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.67 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Thunder | 66c | 1,724$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.83 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Pistons | 9c | 1,716$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.44 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Thunder | 54c | 1,671$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.73 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Pistons | 34c | 1,513$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.98 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ca…9bf2backed Thunder | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.35per pick | 51cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e9…0501backed Pistons | 36c | 1,499$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.62 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…8d05backed Pistons | 37c | 1,486$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Pistons | 34c | 1,460$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6b…12e7backed Pistons | 21c | 1,430$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Thunder | 64c | 1,425$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.46 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d5…fe48backed Thunder | 57c | 1,419$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.08 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Thunder | 65c | 1,404$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.5 | 98 | 68.4%67 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Pistons | 36c | 1,400$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 184 | 48.9%90 W · 94 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Pistons | 36c | 1,400$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.99 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked Pistons | 28c | 1,398$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.89 | 140 | 34.3%48 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87cf…25a4backed Thunder | 59c | 1,367$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.13 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Pistons | 36c | 1,323$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.11 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Pistons | 31c | 1,302$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.44 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Pistons | 10c | 1,250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3061…dd00backed Thunder | 53c | 1,207$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.35 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c3…4d61backed Thunder | 57c | 1,207$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.22 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Pistons | 36c | 1,202$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.81 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Pistons | 36c | 1,200$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Pistons | 34c | 1,199$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.01 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…0825backed Pistons | 36c | 1,197$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.92 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…f84bbacked Thunder | 67c | 1,187$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.66 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Thunder | 55c | 1,046$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.01 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Thunder | 63c | 1,035$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.88 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Pistons | 35c | 1,020$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.15 | 227 | 33%75 W · 152 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Thunder | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Thunder | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf09…651fbacked Pistons | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8269…e438backed Thunder | 64c | 999.99$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Pistons | 18c | 997.8$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.44 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Thunder | 63c | 979.02$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.13 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Thunder | 67c | 960.02$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.81 | 139 | 29.5%41 W · 98 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21bd…ae93backed Thunder | 80c | 926.13$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.13 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Thunder | 65c | 923.06$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.06 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Thunder | 66c | 921.15$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.13 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x311b…080dbacked Thunder | 66c | 905.92$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.01 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Thunder | 74c | 900$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 235 | 48.1%113 W · 122 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Thunder | 79c | 887.84$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.84 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Pistons | 33c | 884.08$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.75 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed Pistons | 36c | 833.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…28fabacked Thunder | 62c | 820.98$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.55 | 224 | 30.8%69 W · 155 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Pistons | 12c | 805.98$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.85 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Pistons | 35c | 800$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Pistons | 34c | 773.16$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.87 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a93…ecf9backed Thunder | 68c | 743.57$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.94 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.