NHL · resolved market
Penguins vs. Wild
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf990b1210ebb619f3a67dcf0ba07b99fffb816fe05cef02689e39f055006ec5c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Penguinsof Penguins, Wild
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $153,116
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $155,963
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,116 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16db…7c99backed Penguins | 44c | 71,355$31,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,958.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2c…b3fbbacked Wild | 56c | 71,355$39,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,958.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519f…2af7backed Penguins | 46c | 17,435$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,434.64 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa074…49c3backed Wild | 58c | 12,938$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Wild | 31c | 4,790$1,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492.04 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Penguins | 40c | 3,034$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,820.05 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1990…e954backed Wild | 22c | 2,661$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Penguins | 69c | 2,295$1,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.03 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Wild | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.84 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Wild | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 152 | 61.8%94 W · 58 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Penguins | 44c | 1,618$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.99 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Penguins | 43c | 1,541$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.32 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +11.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd12…7e35backed Wild | 57c | 1,509$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d01…27cbbacked Penguins | 45c | 1,504$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b6…2b6bbacked Wild | 56c | 1,503$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.68 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c40…5f2cbacked Penguins | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Wild | 29c | 1,476$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.04 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Penguins | 80c | 1,400$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Wild | 59c | 1,200$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.99 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.26per pick | 61cpaid | -45%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Penguins | 46c | 1,196$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.52 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Penguins | 42c | 1,081$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.86 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Penguins | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Wild | 58c | 952.72$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Penguins | 41c | 894.02$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.47 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Wild | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Wild | 9c | 886.36$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.98 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bf…c049backed Wild | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Penguins | 42c | 873.49$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.63 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Wild | 55c | 853.17$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.32 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4345…77fabacked Penguins | 71c | 833.32$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.21 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f1…7b07backed Wild | 56c | 800$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b72…a3e4backed Penguins | 44c | 800$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x055c…e4adbacked Wild | 58c | 610.45$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa10d…acc6backed Wild | 57c | 598.2$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.99 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fef…3589backed Penguins | 73c | 545.69$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.69 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Wild | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…15eabacked Wild | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e9…a868backed Wild | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Wild | 55c | 447.19$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.38 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x732b…85f4backed Penguins | 43c | 440.31$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.9 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Wild | 49c | 425.95$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.24 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Wild | 57c | 418.16$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.35 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Wild | 58c | 380.98$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Penguins | 43c | 364.64$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.85 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Wild | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Wild | 57c | 333.33$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 181 | 36.5%66 W · 115 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Wild | 25c | 327.27$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.17 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Wild | 54c | 325$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.5 | 156 | 63.5%99 W · 57 L | +17.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Wild | 15c | 319.31$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.29 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Penguins | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.06 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf489…d482backed Penguins | 44c | 297.12$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.29 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Penguins | 42c | 282.49$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.21 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b7…bde1backed Wild | 58c | 275.78$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.95 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbe…d6d5backed Penguins | 47c | 275.73$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2b…aab9backed Wild | 59c | 264.63$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.13 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Penguins | 63c | 260.55$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.12 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Wild | 59c | 252$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.68 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…80dabacked Wild | 57c | 241.54$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.68 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d44…b15ebacked Wild | 57c | 234$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.38 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x235c…8c1abacked Penguins | 45c | 223.58$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.85 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Wild | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a2…2e5fbacked Wild | 58c | 199.99$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3061…dd00backed Wild | 58c | 184.63$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.53 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Wild | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc3…b723backed Wild | 57c | 173$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.61 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ae…9463backed Penguins | 43c | 173$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.61 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 47cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfe…c153backed Penguins | 43c | 171$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.47 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb6…4eb9backed Wild | 57c | 171$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa769…f52dbacked Wild | 57c | 170$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.9 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf82…07b4backed Penguins | 43c | 170$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3240…18a4backed Wild | 57c | 168$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3621…849ebacked Penguins | 43c | 168$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Wild | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7524…2149backed Penguins | 46c | 163.08$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.74 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e58…5b3ebacked Penguins | 43c | 151$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.07 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe32…5e5dbacked Wild | 57c | 151$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.07 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Wild | 54c | 149.54$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.75 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed Penguins | 75c | 133.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9498…d2afbacked Wild | 60c | 125$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Penguins | 45c | 122.22$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.22 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8d…bf79backed Penguins | 45c | 120.69$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.38 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaefb…8d0bbacked Penguins | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb34e…c317backed Wild | 57c | 117.86$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.18 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Wild | 33c | 105.12$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.74 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75b6…8ad0backed Penguins | 41c | 101.95$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.15 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Wild | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Wild | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Wild | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…ec01backed Penguins | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b61…61b3backed Penguins | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Penguins | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b14…d18cbacked Penguins | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e09…a5b5backed Wild | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe421…d16ebacked Wild | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd46…4b28backed Wild | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…68b7backed Penguins | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Wild | 30c | 99.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 87 | 20.7%18 W · 69 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d9…36e6backed Wild | 56c | 99.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98b4…5d76backed Wild | 57c | 99.98$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.49 | 301 | 55.1%166 W · 135 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc682…7c9ebacked Wild | 56c | 96.05$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.79 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.