TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Pelicans

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pistonsof Pistons, Pelicans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$419,782
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$456,636

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $419,782 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 880 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7ef4…292cbacked Pistons72c155,000$111,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,400580%4 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick74cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b26…26cfbacked Pelicans28c154,985$43,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,395.810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…128ebacked Pistons75c16,931$12,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,290.21145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-38.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Pistons76c10,000$7,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,45029858.7%175 W · 123 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Pelicans1c8,275$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.48783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93ca…d65ebacked Pistons74c7,343$5,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,909.2525865.5%169 W · 89 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Pelicans31c7,061$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,159.751,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6dd…bf2bbacked Pelicans27c7,052$1,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,934.534628.3%13 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Pelicans24c6,291$1,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,516.591,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Pelicans22c5,980$1,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,287.233931.9%108 W · 231 L-28.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Pelicans1c5,289$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.651,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Pelicans30c5,130$1,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,540.371,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Pelicans29c5,087$1,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,475.361978.6%17 W · 180 L0.0wins0.00per pick9cpaid-73.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Pistons72c4,728$3,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,344.2677745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…3e11backed Pelicans20c4,660$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.9322049.1%108 W · 112 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Pelicans1c4,200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5065218.4%120 W · 532 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Pelicans28c3,990$1,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,098.8237734%128 W · 249 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Pelicans29c3,961$1,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,148.8276249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25f2…edf8backed Pelicans26c3,943$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,025.1810643.4%46 W · 60 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Pelicans31c3,200$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99262351.4%320 W · 303 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Pelicans2c3,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6095848.7%467 W · 491 L+24.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Pelicans33c2,636$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869.9236748.2%177 W · 190 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Pelicans30c2,464$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.2216844%74 W · 94 L-11.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Pelicans28c2,135$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.0949849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Pelicans1c2,100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedd7…0356backed Pistons72c2,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.3wins+0.37per pick52cpaid+73.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed Pelicans29c2,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.9729747.5%141 W · 156 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d57…d7ffbacked Pelicans28c1,998$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.43728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick56cpaid-58.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1187…cb53backed Pelicans27c1,794$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.389836.7%36 W · 62 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Pelicans28c1,645$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.4261835.4%219 W · 399 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Pistons68c1,594$1,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.21,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Pelicans1c1,580$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.915502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pistons67c1,502$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.743,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Pistons71c1,500$1,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.7573051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Pelicans5c1,448$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.6456945.3%258 W · 311 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Pelicans25c1,446$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.2461345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Pistons74c1,387$1,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.6228347.7%135 W · 148 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Pelicans28c1,343$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.111,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fe0…d994backed Pelicans26c1,326$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.8337448.7%182 W · 192 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4059…23dabacked Pelicans2c1,304$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.011234.9%6 W · 117 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick7cpaid+19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Pelicans28c1,144$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.465,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Pistons68c1,035$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.0861851.6%319 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x248c…d914backed Pistons70c1,003$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.6916563.6%105 W · 60 L+12.0wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Pelicans8c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8078445.8%359 W · 425 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Pelicans28c1,000$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.6745743.3%198 W · 259 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce37…b17bbacked Pistons72c1,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2802540%10 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d8…9a77backed Pelicans2c1,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510454.8%57 W · 47 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27d2…a66cbacked Pistons71c947.38$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.7421450%107 W · 107 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13de…0f8cbacked Pelicans31c876.9$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.841631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-20.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Pelicans29c844.99$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.6485542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Pistons74c813.36$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.3629643.2%128 W · 168 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c6a…2219backed Pelicans28c810.71$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2271136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Pelicans1c803.01$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.017502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0b2…b7febacked Pistons71c802.82$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.82850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe206…38cebacked Pistons69c799.49$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.523554.5%128 W · 107 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd0…53b4backed Pelicans29c783.14$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.11742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-41.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x504f…4e2dbacked Pistons73c739.73$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.73850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xce29…b71bbacked Pistons71c706.73$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.731361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18f6…b00bbacked Pistons71c704.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.2312752.8%67 W · 60 L-9.5wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-14.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe3d0…8c14backed Pistons74c640.02$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.021241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Pelicans30c600$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18051037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Pistons72c558.73$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.7393036.5%339 W · 591 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Pistons73c547.95$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.9512759.8%76 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc0c…e263backed Pelicans30c544.33$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.34551.1%23 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa47a…fd11backed Pistons71c541.93$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.535261.5%32 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Pelicans27c539.24$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.7887647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd85f…cb09backed Pelicans28c535.71$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked Pistons72c500$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14030351.8%157 W · 146 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd271…d5abbacked Pelicans30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x00a1…5043backed Pistons71c492.96$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.96250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Pelicans30c451.43$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.4333752.5%177 W · 160 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Pistons68c441.18$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.181,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Pistons71c424.6$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.630648.7%149 W · 157 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224b…d105backed Pistons71c421.75$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.357169%49 W · 22 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Pelicans29c404.97$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.4420153.7%108 W · 93 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa37d…9526backed Pistons70c398.8$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.641457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Pistons77c395.36$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.5488053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x36f6…a632backed Pistons71c386.96$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.221540%6 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-33%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb5d2…317bbacked Pelicans30c384.98$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.4918354.1%99 W · 84 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x69ac…261fbacked Pelicans30c366.12$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.846129.5%18 W · 43 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Pelicans24c366$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.8473647.3%348 W · 388 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b4…2a97backed Pelicans28c359.99$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.830%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x11d0…6ed6backed Pelicans29c352.14$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.124854.2%26 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x898b…8d76backed Pistons72c350$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9817943.6%78 W · 101 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x191f…80dabacked Pelicans29c345.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.234146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Pelicans30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10089353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84db…b24ebacked Pelicans30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016129.8%48 W · 113 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Pelicans25c321.57$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.3920047%94 W · 106 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Pistons72c320.01$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.734532.8%113 W · 232 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe08d…d5d4backed Pelicans39c319$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.53268.8%22 W · 10 L+5.1wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+27.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf04f…a8c4backed Pelicans28c313.5$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.722733%75 W · 152 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf442…ccf8backed Pelicans31c303.52$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.098142%34 W · 47 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Pistons70c300$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Pistons72c300$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8425536.9%94 W · 161 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadbe…bc55backed Pistons71c299.99$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8650453.8%271 W · 233 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Pistons72c299.94$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.9872341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Pistons73c273.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.9713959%82 W · 57 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Pistons73c273.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.9712659.5%75 W · 51 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fa6…b8a9backed Pelicans29c271.48$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.732227.3%6 W · 16 L-4.6wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-44.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd0b0…276fbacked Pelicans31c270.97$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+42.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.