TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe0b2…b7fe

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
100
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Weather, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 56 out of 100; worst Boxing at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST3253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+36.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alan Dershowitz be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+37%+$21.03
US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+58.7%+$22.2
Will Alec Baldwin be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$21.82
Will Kirsten Gillibrand be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$15.51
Will Tom Hanks be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+436.9%+$81.38
Will Jamie Dimon be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$47.6
Will Henry Kissinger be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+134.6%+$34.79
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+389.1%+$93.22
Will Justin Trudeau be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+129.8%+$23.76
Will Alan Dershowitz be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+27.7%+$11.2
Will David Copperfield be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+33.9%+$14.87
Will Kevin Spacey be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+36.2%+$10.4
Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+104.1%+$26.16
Will Piers Morgan be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$12.25
Will Sean Combs be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+567.4%+$62.2
Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+57.7%+$38.61
Will Reid Hoffman be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$39.35
Will Al Gore be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$29.79
Will Ehud Barak be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+50.9%+$7.99
Will David Koch be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$97.14
Will Ellen Degeneres be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+259%+$58.2
Will Larry Page be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$15.93
Will Hillary Clinton be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+64.3%+$57.61
Will Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$16.63
Will Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$25.3
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.8
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+40.8%+$5.8
Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.6
Will Zelenskyy meet with Netanyahu in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.8
Will Trump and Zelenskyy’s handshake last 2–6 seconds?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$11.76
Will Donald Trump say "Thousand," "Million," or "Billion" 10+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+93.8%+$19.36
Will Donald Trump say "NATO" 3+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+116.2%+$16.96
Will Donald Trump say "Biden" 3+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$57.86
Will Donald Trump say "suit" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+30.4%+$9.33
Will Donald Trump say "Biden's war" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+56.9%+$7.25
Will Donald Trump say "dictator" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$27.85
Will Donald Trump say "Donbas" or "Crimea" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+60%+$7.5
Will Donald Trump say "Venezuela" or "boat" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$21.59
Will Donald Trump say "hell" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+71.4%+$25
Will Donald Trump say "Tomahawk" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$12.56
Will Donald Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 10+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$16.79
Will Donald Trump say "two weeks" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+329.5%+$49.06
Will Donald Trump say "Putin" 3+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$14.41
Will Donald Trump say "beautiful" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$12.52
Will Donald Trump say "referendum" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will Donald Trump say "Mar-a-Lago" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$35.5
Will Donald Trump say "eighth war" or "eight wars" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+82.6%+$9.05
All 22 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2025, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Hornetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$320
Hawks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$245
Pistons vs. Pelicansbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$232.82
Trail Blazers vs. 76ersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$485Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+84.7%+$410.84
Warriors vs. Pistonsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2025, EST+117.4%+$236.93
Clippers vs. Spursbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$324.98
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST-100%-$600
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$762Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST+29.9%+$227.52
All 8 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-43.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+39.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jackets vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$392Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$392.08
Utah vs. Canucksbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$353.57
Golden Knights vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$323.04
Hurricanes vs. Red Wingsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$896Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST+51.5%+$461.45
All 4 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Boxing — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+131.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-53.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+98.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike McCoy be fired by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+26.6%+$4.2
Bills vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$382Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+170.3%+$650.14
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick9cpaid+205.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$418Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+510.3%+$2,131.91
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) settle at >$85 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+44.9%+$6.2
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+39.1%+$14.05
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Notre Dame vs. Georgiabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$691Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST-100%-$691.01
Ohio State vs. Oregonbacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$397Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+74.1%+$294.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $800B and $900B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liam Rosenior be the next Chelsea manager?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$22.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Royce White be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.44
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.