Commodities · resolved market
Will Silver (SI) settle at >$85 in January?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94c3fa2604f95370b01043a04f1efe2515a6aa945cb778ef03367eff80d5fad5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $256,035
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $241,389
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $256,035 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d12…eabfbacked Yes | 1c | 54,771$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Yes | 2c | 19,108$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.56 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8081…95cabacked Yes | 1c | 8,316$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.8 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f3…0a98backed Yes | 1c | 6,828$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.05 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 6,553$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.04 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7488…4959backed Yes | 1c | 6,259$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 12cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1312…a7cbbacked Yes | 0c | 6,189$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes | 23c | 3,259$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.58 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +167.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed No | 36c | 2,228$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,432.67 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa963…e9adbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x047c…a41ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,893$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b0…203bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,833$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc548…e66cbacked Yes | 32c | 1,659$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.28 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b77…b3f2backed Yes | 72c | 1,618$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 14c | 1,596$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.15 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b4…3c5abacked Yes | 2c | 1,529$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.02 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7612…4a43backed Yes | 12c | 1,335$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeec9…f879backed Yes | 43c | 1,325$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf44c…6d6cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,272$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 35c | 1,180$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.27 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6636…bf37backed No | 64c | 1,019$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.04 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 42c | 777.43$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.16 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…28bdbacked No | 3c | 742.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.24 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 27cpaid | +366.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 55c | 710.97$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.02 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4f…6232backed Yes | 57c | 687.17$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.28 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x047c…a5abbacked Yes | 36c | 637.78$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 72c | 601.9$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.61 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdff…65a9backed Yes | 50c | 572.01$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 29c | 556.2$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.7 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24cb…1f0cbacked Yes | 9c | 550$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb9…afbbbacked Yes | 9c | 550$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d50…436fbacked Yes | 9c | 550$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb260…715abacked Yes | 35c | 540.46$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.51 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb3…b498backed No | 71c | 456.78$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.99 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f18…171dbacked Yes | 46c | 455.13$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.51 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18ee…5d95backed Yes | 24c | 454.6$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed No | 4c | 424.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.15 | 56 | 17.9%10 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed Yes | 76c | 423.26$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.92 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 3c | 406.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.55 | 93 | 12.9%12 W · 81 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc101…e6d1backed Yes | 73c | 405.44$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 6c | 396.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 165 | 16.4%27 W · 138 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f30…9897backed Yes | 70c | 365.83$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 77c | 362.25$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.17 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba0…97bfbacked No | 50c | 355.68$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.06 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8622…cdc9backed No | 12c | 352.1$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +315.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6335…ca2bbacked No | 4c | 346.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.22 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +186%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…e8dabacked No | 64c | 318.18$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.06 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac13…6506backed Yes | 45c | 313.55$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -7.1wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1a…4221backed No | 7c | 293.02$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.19 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…be19backed No | 47c | 279.59$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.38 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +161.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 62c | 264.73$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.15 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2616…8d3cbacked Yes | 60c | 259.18$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.69 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3576…09debacked No | 24c | 240.88$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.25 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4396…f0e1backed Yes | 28c | 240$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…6ba9backed No | 8c | 231.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.81 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b2…0478backed Yes | 43c | 230.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c2…55d6backed No | 20c | 212$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.66 | 37 | 81.1%30 W · 7 L | +9.0wins | +0.24per pick | 57cpaid | +62%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x99da…ab9ebacked No | 7c | 209.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +648.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe78f…218ebacked Yes | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb12e…8c6cbacked No | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95bd…b9bebacked No | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.5 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed No | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7124…70c1backed No | 56c | 199.99$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec85…8ba8backed Yes | 58c | 182.05$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.36 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…63febacked No | 18c | 169.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +182.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41d1…939cbacked Yes | 37c | 166.8$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.99 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 39cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb4…b997backed No | 71c | 156.46$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 63c | 147.9$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.74 | 138 | 58%80 W · 58 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 56c | 136.61$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.68 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a7…46c4backed No | 9c | 130.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +462%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f92…15d2backed No | 68c | 120$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.2 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.33per pick | 44cpaid | +115.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 52c | 117.96$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.47 | 1,048 | 34.5%362 W · 686 L | -94.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…a2d5backed Yes | 44c | 114.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeec7…b634backed No | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.11 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02aa…c515backed Yes | 31c | 110$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb641…fc39backed No | 14c | 109.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.59 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…b048backed No | 14c | 109.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.59 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3a…3658backed No | 32c | 107.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9d…e31bbacked No | 29c | 104.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.44 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.47per pick | 20cpaid | +221.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x034e…8048backed Yes | 24c | 102.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…5ceabacked No | 32c | 101.84$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.81 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb7…c068backed No | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…6cc4backed No | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb2…264cbacked No | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58a5…d54cbacked No | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x576f…5254backed No | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed7…7d71backed Yes | 42c | 92.58$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9551…8c45backed Yes | 57c | 90$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.35 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked No | 65c | 89.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +87.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 47c | 89.41$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.37 | 67 | 19.4%13 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc135…a01abacked Yes | 24c | 87.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -49%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aaf…2e8dbacked No | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.33 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x323b…6ed9backed No | 78c | 82$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…e864backed No | 53c | 77.02$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864f…3ae7backed Yes | 78c | 76.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 56c | 76.4$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +41%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 56c | 76.08$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.41 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4189…0c8fbacked Yes | 38c | 75.53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 63c | 75.27$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.81 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 71c | 72.53$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.22 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Silver (SI) settle at >$85 in January?this page
- Will Silver (SI) settle at $70-$72.5 in January?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle at $72.5-$75 in January?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle at $75-$77.5 in January?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle at $77.5-$80 in January?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) settle at $80-$82.5 in January?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle at $82.5-$85 in January?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle at <$70 in January?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.