TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xac13…6506

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
130
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst Commodities at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3815.8%6 W · 32 L-7.1wins-0.19per pick34cpaid-54.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Commodities — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (GC) settle at >$6,200 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,800-$6,200 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Silver (SI) settle at >$115 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$332.93
Will Gold (GC) settle over $7,000 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,400 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Gold (GC) settle over $6,200 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.88
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$236.06
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Silver (SI) settle over $140 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$468Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$467.79
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $210 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$304.02
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Gold (GC) settle at >$5,100 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,975-$5,100 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Silver (SI) settle at >$85 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Will Silver (SI) settle over $90 on the final trading day of January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Silver (SI) settle over $100 on the final trading day of January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Silver (SI) settle over $95 on the final trading day of January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+185.7%+$37.14
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+60.6%+$12.11
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+163.2%+$29.83
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+104.1%+$20.82
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Iran strike on US military by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will the US strike Somalia next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.85
Will the US next strike Iran on January 15, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the US next strike Iran on January 14, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will the US strike Somalia next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+100%+$20
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+161.5%+$32.31
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+33.7%+$6.75
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+27%+$5.41
US strike on Syria by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+33.5%+$6.71
All 24 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick31cpaid-59.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Maduro mugshot released by January 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$16.24
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+265.3%+$53.06
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Will Powell say "Again" 10+ times during December press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during December press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+278.2%+$83.45
Will Powell say "Trump" during December press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during December press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+64.2%+$25.68
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Powell say "Tariff inflation" during December press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+85.2%+$17.04
All 8 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-29.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-60.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+40.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+80.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Celtics vs. Clippersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+56.3%+$11.25
Jazz vs. Warriorsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10.35
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+300%+$30
All 4 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+110.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick13cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+79.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Northern Illinois Huskies vs. Eastern Michigan Eaglesbacked Northern Illinois Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Buffalo Bullsbacked Kent State Golden Flashes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+87.6%+$17.51
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-30%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+66.7%+$13.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+35.1%+$7.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hobart International: Emma Raducanu vs Camila Osoriobacked Raducanu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+28.2%+$5.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+26.6%+$5.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.