Commodities · resolved market
Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,800-$6,200 in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7130b2c99bee81af658adafb4a6235f21575f568e3ae2a850af742afa50c2d85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $280,073
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $257,268
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $280,073 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf257…1950backed Yes | 0c | 6,970$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x767b…cebbbacked Yes | 9c | 3,761$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c1…825fbacked Yes | 11c | 3,579$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.13 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ea…0b53backed Yes | 12c | 3,305$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.04 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.37per pick | 23cpaid | +152.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x73b0…1bb5backed Yes | 7c | 3,292$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d83…f54cbacked Yes | 7c | 3,248$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5544…c1cabacked Yes | 10c | 3,027$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadd6…d9ecbacked Yes | 10c | 2,991$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe222…b4cbbacked Yes | 14c | 2,906$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.11 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd188…0116backed Yes | 7c | 2,688$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…433ebacked Yes | 9c | 2,527$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x914d…b0fabacked Yes | 9c | 2,487$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fc…2adbbacked Yes | 10c | 2,389$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3380…0338backed Yes | 7c | 2,353$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…448cbacked Yes | 10c | 2,195$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…10bdbacked Yes | 8c | 2,134$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee55…7f3cbacked Yes | 9c | 2,072$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7239…d757backed Yes | 10c | 1,997$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbf…654dbacked Yes | 9c | 1,838$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4df…91acbacked Yes | 10c | 1,692$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…65eebacked Yes | 13c | 1,570$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 9c | 1,541$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.39 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…4ed5backed Yes | 11c | 1,541$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 9c | 1,524$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.66 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 10c | 1,517$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.49 | 264 | 13.3%35 W · 229 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b5…0939backed Yes | 10c | 1,458$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 8c | 1,293$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.36 | 67 | 10.4%7 W · 60 L | -7.1wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…7818backed Yes | 10c | 1,283$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe437…98dcbacked Yes | 10c | 1,217$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72bb…5926backed Yes | 7c | 1,215$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…02dabacked Yes | 7c | 1,195$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f3…a0c5backed Yes | 9c | 1,189$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7822…fe85backed Yes | 7c | 1,177$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b7…68a2backed Yes | 10c | 1,174$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.04 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +12.3wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +131.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…6c16backed Yes | 9c | 1,122$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…63bebacked Yes | 10c | 1,075$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.93 | 155 | 56.1%87 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ba…dce0backed Yes | 9c | 1,075$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 1,069$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 293 | 4.1%12 W · 281 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 10c | 1,063$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.18 | 138 | 58%80 W · 58 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7f…2a14backed Yes | 9c | 1,059$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b6…0d78backed Yes | 7c | 1,047$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6552…d8efbacked Yes | 9c | 1,038$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0e…b47ebacked Yes | 9c | 1,037$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9beb…4ed6backed Yes | 7c | 1,022$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee1c…b68ebacked Yes | 9c | 995$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30b5…821fbacked Yes | 9c | 980$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6371…1523backed Yes | 12c | 947.35$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c3…7f0bbacked Yes | 12c | 945.7$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c2…1f7abacked Yes | 9c | 937$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20b3…7774backed Yes | 10c | 933$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa29d…1061backed Yes | 9c | 885$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f71…c48abacked Yes | 7c | 857$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c72…1680backed Yes | 7c | 854$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89cb…0574backed Yes | 7c | 843$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeceb…011ebacked Yes | 8c | 822$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…0072backed Yes | 10c | 821$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xded9…26b6backed Yes | 10c | 814$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…c633backed Yes | 8c | 812$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf29…bd92backed Yes | 13c | 799.76$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c46…ce39backed Yes | 7c | 767$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4726…69d2backed Yes | 9c | 763$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b22…68e3backed Yes | 9c | 732.26$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.53 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked Yes | 10c | 729.64$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.28 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -10.1wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -55%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…b944backed Yes | 14c | 728.65$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x923e…ab45backed Yes | 5c | 722.48$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…e185backed Yes | 7c | 722$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc364…bdb9backed Yes | 7c | 710$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f54…adfebacked Yes | 6c | 697.8$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bed…8608backed Yes | 10c | 640$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02d1…7d27backed Yes | 9c | 638.23$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.8 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd9a…07acbacked Yes | 10c | 634$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65f6…e558backed Yes | 9c | 632$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 4c | 630.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4759…ec88backed Yes | 11c | 619.75$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.64 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82f2…f61dbacked Yes | 10c | 580$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 9c | 578.61$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.31 | 116 | 15.5%18 W · 98 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04f4…a19cbacked Yes | 10c | 573$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75b3…9917backed Yes | 10c | 568$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc396…91c0backed Yes | 9c | 566$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9add…f7e1backed Yes | 9c | 562$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x943a…69fabacked Yes | 9c | 533$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…4763backed Yes | 8c | 520$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.36 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +191.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…333ebacked Yes | 11c | 507.86$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328c…cbbcbacked Yes | 11c | 505.69$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.59 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x348e…5196backed Yes | 9c | 504$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510a…df54backed Yes | 7c | 502$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 12c | 500.75$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.14 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b8…c667backed Yes | 10c | 496$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…30a8backed Yes | 12c | 479.72$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.05 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b83…8ec0backed Yes | 10c | 464$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00ac…78ecbacked Yes | 9c | 443$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeec…a303backed Yes | 10c | 408.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac13…6506backed Yes | 11c | 371.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -7.1wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcf85…d62ebacked Yes | 11c | 333.44$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.13 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd3…1c90backed Yes | 11c | 325.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb8…a7edbacked Yes | 8c | 319.53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9e…190bbacked Yes | 9c | 308.69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb288…0c44backed Yes | 9c | 304.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…be19backed Yes | 9c | 301.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +161.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc6be…43c9backed Yes | 7c | 300.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,800-$6,200 in June?this page
- Will Gold (GC) settle at $3,800-$4,200 in June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,200-$4,600 in June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,600-$5,000 in June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,000-$5,400 in June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,400-$5,800 in June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) settle at >$6,200 in June?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.