Commodities · resolved market
Will Gold (GC) settle at >$6,200 in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d4227c3c4f79de22bbf5b10301d3e99733151de11a2af04ee5d4fe9147fdb94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $348,878
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $258,107
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $348,878 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x907d…20c4backed Yes | 0c | 42,218$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.22 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x340c…1007backed Yes | 0c | 41,554$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0873…09e8backed Yes | 0c | 13,443$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…5beabacked Yes | 9c | 9,963$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.29 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95b3…9989backed Yes | 5c | 7,109$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.5 | 68 | 4.4%3 W · 65 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +123.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc294…9869backed Yes | 29c | 6,025$1,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,717.25 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 75c | 4,572$3,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.62 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c1…825fbacked Yes | 9c | 4,200$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.01 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b3…28a1backed Yes | 4c | 3,972$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.73 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d1…7d27backed Yes | 23c | 3,719$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.93 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 18c | 3,336$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.6 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7295…a044backed Yes | 20c | 2,959$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.23 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…65eebacked Yes | 28c | 2,905$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a85…6b68backed Yes | 23c | 2,586$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.29 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc6…7306backed Yes | 2c | 2,500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 3c | 2,427$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.71 | 293 | 4.1%12 W · 281 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9beb…4ed6backed Yes | 7c | 2,349$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc504…8728backed Yes | 7c | 2,207$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked Yes | 17c | 2,041$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.29 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -10.0wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ca…4ac0backed No | 79c | 2,030$1,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.8 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeceb…011ebacked Yes | 7c | 1,975$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89cb…0574backed Yes | 7c | 1,969$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…45a0backed Yes | 7c | 1,943$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c46…ce39backed Yes | 7c | 1,897$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…c633backed Yes | 7c | 1,852$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 20c | 1,761$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.21 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 1,758$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.14 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4396…f0e1backed Yes | 28c | 1,740$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…dafbbacked Yes | 25c | 1,730$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.82 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -6.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc364…bdb9backed Yes | 7c | 1,669$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 18c | 1,630$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.63 | 264 | 13.3%35 W · 229 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b6…3961backed Yes | 27c | 1,595$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.1 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 73c | 1,536$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.55 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x431d…b7a6backed No | 69c | 1,494$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f33…9eebbacked Yes | 24c | 1,478$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bb…2b4dbacked Yes | 20c | 1,450$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…67ccbacked Yes | 19c | 1,430$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.86 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 50cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x578f…f112backed No | 76c | 1,342$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.86 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d83…f54cbacked Yes | 7c | 1,200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b7…68a2backed Yes | 21c | 1,194$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.26 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +12.3wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +131.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa740…1b55backed Yes | 9c | 1,167$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x328c…cbbcbacked Yes | 20c | 1,151$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.18 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ade…0402backed Yes | 7c | 1,114$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf8…f4a2backed Yes | 7c | 1,075$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf34d…e864backed Yes | 7c | 1,028$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 12c | 994$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.59 | 116 | 15.5%18 W · 98 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56b5…0939backed Yes | 15c | 974.77$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c2…55d6backed No | 72c | 942.91$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.36 | 37 | 81.1%30 W · 7 L | +9.0wins | +0.24per pick | 57cpaid | +62%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 23c | 920.75$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.77 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf734…dcbdbacked Yes | 7c | 881$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…7ac6backed Yes | 7c | 877$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…23e4backed Yes | 7c | 863$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…4ed5backed Yes | 20c | 858.84$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73b0…1bb5backed Yes | 7c | 844$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a0…02c7backed Yes | 7c | 826$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95bd…b9bebacked No | 79c | 812.8$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.4 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38cf…c713backed No | 56c | 799.91$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64cd…4294backed Yes | 7c | 772$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb264…cf1abacked Yes | 7c | 768$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked Yes | 19c | 750.69$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.34 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -10.1wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -55%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…d2a1backed No | 80c | 736.94$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.21 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 76cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec4…cfc8backed No | 59c | 716.73$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.89 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +5.3wins | +0.16per pick | 63cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe070…769fbacked Yes | 10c | 705.08$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3896…ece6backed Yes | 9c | 700$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9220…9b14backed Yes | 8c | 696$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2e6dbacked Yes | 8c | 669$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…5ceabacked No | 75c | 655.38$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.93 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc790…126abacked Yes | 8c | 651$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…bd51backed No | 70c | 640.21$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.21 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b6…8637backed Yes | 8c | 615$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48a1…b9e9backed Yes | 7c | 615$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf288…590fbacked Yes | 7c | 599$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 7c | 582.85$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.47 | 212 | 28.8%61 W · 151 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b22…68e3backed Yes | 20c | 554.27$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.53 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c6…b50bbacked Yes | 18c | 546.97$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.45 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Yes | 13c | 538.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.36 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed Yes | 7c | 530.18$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.77 | 188 | 4.3%8 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40c…f607backed Yes | 14c | 526.88$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x358c…123bbacked Yes | 8c | 519$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 18c | 505.31$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.66 | 67 | 10.4%7 W · 60 L | -7.1wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6335…ca2bbacked No | 71c | 503.8$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.13 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +186%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…0e2ebacked No | 78c | 500$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3196…3e8ebacked Yes | 27c | 486.16$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.79 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3576…09debacked No | 80c | 479.84$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.33 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba4…6fc4backed Yes | 23c | 457.47$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.22 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +131.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff7d…a51fbacked Yes | 8c | 455$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681e…5394backed Yes | 5c | 442.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf29…bd92backed Yes | 23c | 405.14$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.66 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f04…d82ebacked No | 66c | 402.04$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.69 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +73%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ae…2b33backed Yes | 13c | 400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.4 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb8…1fe9backed Yes | 17c | 400$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.75 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c4…1e6abacked Yes | 7c | 395$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa53b…4021backed Yes | 16c | 378.2$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.62 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +34.9wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdeec…a303backed Yes | 37c | 366.55$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 5c | 362.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…333ebacked Yes | 17c | 357.54$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.63 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab5…f570backed Yes | 10c | 347$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.81 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -5.8wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -70%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 6c | 344.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 95 | 6.3%6 W · 89 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x398e…3752backed Yes | 39c | 329.49$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb8…a7edbacked Yes | 12c | 321.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gold (GC) settle at >$6,200 in June?this page
- Will Gold (GC) settle at $3,800-$4,200 in June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,200-$4,600 in June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,600-$5,000 in June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,000-$5,400 in June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,400-$5,800 in June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,800-$6,200 in June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.