Commodities · resolved market
Will Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f973c672acd8233f5b953a9eaece0c41d82b932354f14cca316c8c8adbc5430
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $267,426
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $243,129
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $267,426 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 11c | 10,574$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.98 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b3…9989backed Yes | 2c | 4,480$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.24 | 68 | 4.4%3 W · 65 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +123.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x254e…c47dbacked Yes | 10c | 3,845$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3764…c5ebbacked Yes | 2c | 3,645$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.67 | 294 | 36.1%106 W · 188 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x371d…b81dbacked Yes | 10c | 3,449$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 3,267$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.15 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dab…840bbacked Yes | 8c | 3,054$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 7c | 2,775$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.67 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8805…385ebacked Yes | 10c | 2,672$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…b9c4backed Yes | 11c | 2,627$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…7ad6backed Yes | 10c | 2,588$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd31b…3962backed Yes | 10c | 2,586$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8b…5afbbacked Yes | 10c | 2,558$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0516…76e8backed Yes | 11c | 2,471$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c7…e934backed Yes | 11c | 2,470$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 4c | 2,385$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.93 | 67 | 10.4%7 W · 60 L | -7.1wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 2,340$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 222 | 1.4%3 W · 219 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea4f…ca38backed Yes | 11c | 2,325$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d89…811bbacked Yes | 10c | 2,224$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd35…1b01backed Yes | 10c | 2,155$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf7…e62cbacked Yes | 11c | 2,048$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4b…1bb6backed Yes | 11c | 2,037$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65f6…e558backed Yes | 11c | 2,009$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b5c…c056backed Yes | 6c | 1,965$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.83 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +7.5wins | +0.19per pick | 32cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7532…c6fcbacked Yes | 5c | 1,946$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.99 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b9…552dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,935$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +554.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x536c…8f1fbacked Yes | 10c | 1,901$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1c…4fd7backed Yes | 11c | 1,715$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde1c…fb66backed Yes | 12c | 1,700$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2c…1065backed Yes | 10c | 1,581$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcb…99ccbacked Yes | 10c | 1,493$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea09…6c4cbacked Yes | 11c | 1,493$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x516f…a0e9backed Yes | 11c | 1,491$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8751…949ebacked Yes | 11c | 1,477$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13b6…c633backed Yes | 1c | 1,334$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 75 | 2.7%2 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe810…330fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,276$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…333ebacked Yes | 5c | 1,266$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce4…2abbbacked Yes | 10c | 1,231$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4759…ec88backed Yes | 11c | 1,225$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 1c | 1,199$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 198 | 7.1%14 W · 184 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26b7…68a2backed Yes | 6c | 1,180$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.9 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +12.3wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +131.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 7c | 1,074$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.28 | 264 | 13.3%35 W · 229 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc32f…f96cbacked Yes | 10c | 1,070$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54df…ce90backed Yes | 3c | 919.17$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x555b…a970backed Yes | 10c | 870$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63a9…c0fcbacked Yes | 10c | 867$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20b3…7774backed Yes | 10c | 821$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda5…e16dbacked Yes | 4c | 793.6$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.62 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | +11.5wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5641…cf2ebacked Yes | 10c | 731$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd2…9676backed Yes | 10c | 702$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13f…6157backed Yes | 10c | 698$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb085…36a1backed Yes | 7c | 697.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +132.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…1c82backed Yes | 11c | 686.36$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa548…1fd5backed Yes | 10c | 660$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8116…b2a8backed Yes | 3c | 639.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddf…ca83backed Yes | 8c | 638.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc06…c543backed Yes | 11c | 619$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 9c | 605.76$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.9 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6e…4bc0backed Yes | 5c | 563.65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 5cpaid | +856.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b4…6709backed Yes | 4c | 530.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +443.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc65b…7aabbacked Yes | 12c | 518.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…fa96backed Yes | 6c | 488.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 6c | 486.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 116 | 15.5%18 W · 98 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed Yes | 5c | 484.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 188 | 4.3%8 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 4c | 424.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 103 | 5.8%6 W · 97 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…7b74backed Yes | 4c | 375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +13.8wins | +0.24per pick | 23cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc6…3871backed Yes | 10c | 374$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x178f…771bbacked Yes | 10c | 371$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 4c | 365.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…305dbacked Yes | 3c | 365.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb0…94c6backed Yes | 10c | 346$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78c9…4ed0backed Yes | 10c | 337$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 6c | 307.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 206 | 24.8%51 W · 155 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f33…9eebbacked Yes | 7c | 304.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb36b…7804backed Yes | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328c…cbbcbacked Yes | 6c | 293.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6e…4f68backed Yes | 11c | 285$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x991a…600ebacked Yes | 9c | 265.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddf…5c37backed Yes | 4c | 261.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 124 | 6.5%8 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…18c6backed Yes | 5c | 257.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | +114.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ba…1d31backed Yes | 10c | 247$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f8…b9f6backed Yes | 7c | 230.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 8c | 214.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b6…22a1backed Yes | 10c | 211$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa75b…c6f9backed Yes | 10c | 208$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4df…91acbacked Yes | 10c | 203$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 6c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 232 | 4.3%10 W · 222 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cfe…0ca7backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…81f5backed Yes | 7c | 183.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52ab…24efbacked Yes | 10c | 175$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed Yes | 10c | 138.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 1,277 | 24.3%310 W · 967 L | -58.2wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6a…97bebacked Yes | 11c | 126.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9067…577abacked Yes | 10c | 124$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17f2…24adbacked Yes | 10c | 122$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38fc…527dbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ded…f61cbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 17c | 86.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 307 | 18.6%57 W · 250 L | -17.8wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed Yes | 14c | 78.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04be…30afbacked Yes | 21c | 71.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?this page
- Will Gold (GC) settle at $3,800-$4,200 in June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,200-$4,600 in June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,600-$5,000 in June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,000-$5,400 in June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,400-$5,800 in June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,800-$6,200 in June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) settle at >$6,200 in June?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.