Commodities · resolved market
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,200-$4,600 in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa19142e40da92f4110d29f63475ed9689f1471f8963c87e3220a989cdb356d45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,282
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,760
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,282 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f04…d82ebacked Yes | 12c | 2,749$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.1 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +73%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff9b…0245backed Yes | 23c | 2,171$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 22c | 2,097$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.8 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 17c | 1,914$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.4 | 353 | 34%120 W · 233 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b24…2440backed Yes | 12c | 1,909$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 14c | 1,325$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.48 | 67 | 10.4%7 W · 60 L | -7.1wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 12c | 1,251$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.64 | 1,032 | 9.3%96 W · 936 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 13c | 1,081$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.97 | 264 | 13.3%35 W · 229 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328c…cbbcbacked Yes | 13c | 1,050$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.44 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b3…4484backed Yes | 41c | 1,048$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.12 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 13c | 909.51$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.77 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb10e…6259backed Yes | 10c | 894.75$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.53 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da9…d940backed Yes | 20c | 820$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.9 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.27per pick | 28cpaid | +106.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb085…36a1backed Yes | 7c | 803.13$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +132.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 33c | 754.15$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.44 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 18c | 640$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.6 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 8c | 637.01$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.05 | 116 | 15.5%18 W · 98 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc97b…47e5backed Yes | 45c | 624.76$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.75 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df7…afb0backed Yes | 11c | 600.52$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.42 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54df…ce90backed Yes | 10c | 600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc70…d51fbacked Yes | 17c | 595.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeda5…e16dbacked Yes | 25c | 510.51$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.3 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | +11.5wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x943f…92a3backed Yes | 11c | 508.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…333ebacked Yes | 10c | 502.41$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Yes | 45c | 498.81$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.66 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb4…b997backed Yes | 9c | 474.62$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.01 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f09…f1c3backed Yes | 13c | 448.83$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.97 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +132.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26b7…68a2backed Yes | 11c | 443.88$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.34 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +12.3wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +131.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6a…e86dbacked No | 68c | 422.41$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.49 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdfda…ad34backed Yes | 5c | 408.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9996…bda1backed Yes | 52c | 386.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 14c | 368.59$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.6 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4759…ec88backed Yes | 11c | 352.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…fa96backed Yes | 61c | 326.72$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes | 47c | 317.99$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.45 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 35c | 311.94$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.6 | 206 | 24.8%51 W · 155 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 70c | 306$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.05 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9706…8613backed Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da5…9c11backed Yes | 7c | 294.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -79%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked Yes | 46c | 294.79$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.33 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -10.1wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -55%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 60c | 287.76$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.56 | 212 | 28.8%61 W · 151 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b5c…c056backed Yes | 11c | 266.59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +7.5wins | +0.19per pick | 32cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…18c6backed Yes | 13c | 257.49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.21 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | +114.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 16c | 250.51$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.19 | 198 | 7.1%14 W · 184 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb96…65d7backed Yes | 48c | 246.88$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e34…8314backed Yes | 42c | 232.94$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ab…c267backed Yes | 49c | 224$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Yes | 17c | 223$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.98 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 72c | 219.79$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +144.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 12c | 217.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.78 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 57c | 215$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.54 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21a3…9e97backed Yes | 46c | 215$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.7 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8658…0d47backed Yes | 14c | 214.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87d7…fdbfbacked Yes | 19c | 212.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d4…81ddbacked Yes | 25c | 203.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…be19backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +161.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc7…f5f4backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9618…0265backed Yes | 9c | 200$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 15c | 194$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc7…6176backed Yes | 10c | 179.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eef…2974backed Yes | 13c | 176.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 64c | 175.66$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.83 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 61c | 165$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.74 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b5…4e3dbacked Yes | 13c | 158.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x115b…68efbacked Yes | 13c | 157.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a78…7deabacked No | 64c | 152.61$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…9f3abacked Yes | 8c | 152.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f54…adfebacked No | 76c | 150$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c6…b50bbacked Yes | 10c | 148.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9761…ed2bbacked Yes | 14c | 143.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Yes | 45c | 142.77$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.57 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5a…4c29backed No | 63c | 133.73$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.99 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 61c | 130.71$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.59 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a86…5448backed Yes | 17c | 130$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffef…dabfbacked Yes | 45c | 129.48$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.65 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -46%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77da…2fd2backed Yes | 15c | 121.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc5…610ebacked Yes | 15c | 119.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x499d…65ecbacked Yes | 20c | 118.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +56%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce6…16a3backed Yes | 10c | 117.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebd…1b73backed Yes | 45c | 96.44$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf85…d62ebacked Yes | 21c | 94.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc307…8a38backed Yes | 17c | 89.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2718…a46cbacked Yes | 29c | 87.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7311…2e0cbacked Yes | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bf…45bdbacked Yes | 19c | 78.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +13.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes | 27c | 75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 233 | 23.6%55 W · 178 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3088…2391backed Yes | 45c | 73$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 53c | 72.87$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.98 | 185 | 40.5%75 W · 110 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x657d…7fc5backed Yes | 18c | 67.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5db…9e01backed Yes | 44c | 67.07$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 54c | 64.93$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 55c | 64.07$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.89 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9780…445fbacked Yes | 26c | 57.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed Yes | 18c | 56.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 1,286 | 24.2%311 W · 975 L | -58.4wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -45%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…e95ebacked Yes | 49c | 55.48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.22 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x683b…c863backed No | 55c | 54.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +114.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa36b…f273backed Yes | 44c | 54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 44c | 52.87$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x856d…aa02backed Yes | 39c | 51.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,200-$4,600 in June?this page
- Will Gold (GC) settle at $3,800-$4,200 in June?Yes won
- Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,600-$5,000 in June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,000-$5,400 in June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,400-$5,800 in June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,800-$6,200 in June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?No won
- Will Gold (GC) settle at >$6,200 in June?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.