Commodities · resolved market
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $210 by end of June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x077b60b7261e4a474def4863f80c432368debf93208bf3647b4e21b784e2a4aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $322,436
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $395,436
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $322,436 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 9c | 9,898$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.91 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf903…e051backed Yes | 9c | 6,485$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -83.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9d…413ebacked Yes | 8c | 4,126$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.3 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb12…f8f9backed Yes | 26c | 3,774$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…81eabacked Yes | 7c | 3,049$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…7b74backed Yes | 3c | 3,023$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.93 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +13.8wins | +0.24per pick | 23cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1615…8f2bbacked No | 76c | 2,872$2,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.39 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbada…d874backed Yes | 5c | 2,849$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.62 | 150 | 56%84 W · 66 L | +19.8wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaae1…9e37backed Yes | 16c | 2,825$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 2c | 2,638$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.73 | 293 | 4.1%12 W · 281 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdefb…bd88backed Yes | 4c | 2,475$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.27 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…5dbebacked Yes | 8c | 2,391$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad96…c44bbacked Yes | 4c | 2,238$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…dbcabacked No | 74c | 2,083$1,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.84 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90d1…f62abacked Yes | 4c | 1,983$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.88 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e81…9bdbbacked Yes | 2c | 1,960$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13b6…c633backed Yes | 1c | 1,915$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 75 | 2.7%2 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a89…ff1dbacked Yes | 9c | 1,812$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.77 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -92.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa2…7179backed Yes | 3c | 1,743$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x939e…bb6dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,694$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79c7…7709backed Yes | 4c | 1,624$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb3f…b0a9backed Yes | 4c | 1,618$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc804…d7eabacked Yes | 4c | 1,614$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 1,609$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.91 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1276…db5fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,536$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed Yes | 5c | 1,459$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.33 | 188 | 4.3%8 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…35c1backed Yes | 22c | 1,352$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x000d…8c9bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,236$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 1,200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 232 | 4.3%10 W · 222 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x402b…26d1backed Yes | 6c | 1,150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbe…bbdabacked Yes | 2c | 1,006$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13af…9d49backed Yes | 2c | 1,006$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4486…c55ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,005$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa707…ad14backed Yes | 2c | 1,005$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaad…c99ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6f…cb79backed Yes | 5c | 998$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3864…b016backed Yes | 2c | 990$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f4…2c78backed Yes | 2c | 990$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c5…edf9backed Yes | 2c | 960$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…cde3backed Yes | 2c | 960$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…886ebacked Yes | 2c | 960$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8df…0674backed Yes | 2c | 950$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…dafbbacked Yes | 22c | 945.03$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.33 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -6.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf7…12e5backed Yes | 3c | 878$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb980…73b0backed Yes | 7c | 855.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.54 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 9c | 728.77$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.93 | 63 | 20.6%13 W · 50 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e60…a2ddbacked Yes | 28c | 723.21$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8163…c1aebacked Yes | 28c | 714.93$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf24f…15b2backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 17cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c512backed Yes | 2c | 680$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70c7…e672backed Yes | 11c | 623.56$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc09…9b9abacked Yes | 6c | 600$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65c2…778ebacked Yes | 4c | 557$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…d168backed Yes | 5c | 557$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff16…7511backed No | 62c | 515.09$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.73 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeabf…97e5backed Yes | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda6…14fabacked Yes | 22c | 500$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.56 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ff…b9f3backed Yes | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 12cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd5…f2cfbacked No | 77c | 499.99$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…a649backed No | 77c | 470$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb84…5685backed Yes | 6c | 460.73$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x679a…7a49backed Yes | 22c | 460$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 5c | 449.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 121 | 2.5%3 W · 118 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6f…a587backed Yes | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec41…1134backed Yes | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fee…fb0ebacked Yes | 6c | 399.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd7…dff2backed Yes | 13c | 393.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.46 | 44 | 6.8%3 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -84.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 4c | 386.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 264 | 13.3%35 W · 229 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bba…6f81backed Yes | 6c | 386.18$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -6.4wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed No | 79c | 330$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.5 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 15c | 313$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.95 | 116 | 15.5%18 W · 98 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…ca63backed No | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 16c | 293.6$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.98 | 212 | 28.8%61 W · 151 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe96e…04ffbacked Yes | 9c | 222$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…816ebacked Yes | 19c | 194.8$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b2…c884backed Yes | 10c | 180$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 77c | 178.7$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.17 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea43…2825backed Yes | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Yes | 8c | 149.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56d7…ddafbacked Yes | 8c | 139.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc6…75bfbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f9c…c887backed Yes | 11c | 111$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f9a…f2ffbacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4013…4d70backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ff…1fa6backed Yes | 23c | 98.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…3af8backed Yes | 23c | 88.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac13…6506backed Yes | 27c | 75.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -7.1wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb29d…343abacked Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bb…d291backed Yes | 19c | 64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7c…02e6backed Yes | 23c | 47.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9be5…985ebacked No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 69cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $210 by end of June?this page
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.