TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Commodities · resolved market

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$401,441
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$471,505

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $401,441 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Commodities
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x92bb…1afbbacked Yes0c13,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1360%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x907d…20c4backed Yes0c11,610$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.61230%0 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes3c8,498$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.655617.9%10 W · 46 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick13cpaid+36.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb145…4a26backed Yes4c7,309$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.0730%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x435d…3942backed Yes3c5,201$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61b7…f51bbacked Yes3c5,200$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9abd…e06ebacked Yes3c5,100$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b2b…f23cbacked Yes3c5,023$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.6910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x530c…89f1backed Yes4c5,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200205%1 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick4cpaid-75%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5358…41febacked Yes5c4,100$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-59.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4566…f265backed Yes6c4,083$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503414.7%5 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick12cpaid-44.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a59…a364backed Yes6c3,694$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.281513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick20cpaid-74.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67fb…788fbacked Yes3c3,503$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes4c3,212$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.926320.6%13 W · 50 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-48.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf99…00ecbacked Yes10c3,151$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9356…ae30backed Yes3c3,013$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14b0…5dbebacked Yes6c3,009$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.990%0 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8030…7b74backed Yes3c2,821$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.465747.4%27 W · 30 L+13.8wins+0.24per pick23cpaid+54.6%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes1c2,680$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.612221.4%3 W · 219 L-0.4wins0.00per pick2cpaid+28.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd00e…fb86backed Yes4c2,666$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001010%1 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick20cpaid-87.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a9d…413ebacked Yes5c2,621$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.83170%0 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes4c2,591$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.782324.3%10 W · 222 L-0.7wins0.00per pick5cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc4c…7722backed Yes7c2,526$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.7230%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab59…9c0ebacked Yes5c2,432$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.21414.3%2 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick8cpaid-29.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b11…ddbcbacked Yes7c2,295$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.8120%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes5c2,165$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.421,0249.1%93 W · 931 L-25.7wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-55.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf903…e051backed Yes7c2,114$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140195.3%1 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick15cpaid-83.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f33…914ebacked No3c2,000$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9401844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+154.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x463d…77b8backed Yes3c1,987$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcd7…dff2backed Yes7c1,799$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.17446.8%3 W · 41 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick15cpaid-84.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x70c7…e672backed Yes9c1,776$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.48120%0 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f99…1b00backed Yes3c1,765$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.89250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick14cpaid+100%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d02…abfabacked Yes6c1,724$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.99425%1 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick8cpaid+273.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f55…e9a4backed Yes6c1,719$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100150%0 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x07c9…4fa3backed Yes5c1,550$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7650%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1355…a695backed Yes3c1,379$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.141884.3%8 W · 180 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-41.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c25…d933backed Yes5c1,250$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601010%1 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4422…47f4backed Yes2c1,206$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a89…ff1dbacked Yes9c1,164$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100244.2%1 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick8cpaid-92.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe962…deefbacked Yes1c1,020$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa772…49e6backed Yes2c1,010$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90b2…0478backed Yes4c1,006$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40825%2 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-36.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6be…d297backed Yes2c1,002$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes2c1,000$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2311615.5%18 W · 98 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick11cpaid+38.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3797…8be6backed Yes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…0747backed Yes1c990$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e54…3590backed Yes2c990$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x225b…35c1backed Yes20c986.96$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20040%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcc4…970bbacked Yes2c980$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5430%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec6f…9349backed Yes2c980$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x000d…8c9bbacked Yes2c955.54$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4580%0 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fd4…69aabacked Yes3c803.95$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6170%0 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3085…7568backed Yes2c800$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.651212.5%3 W · 118 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-63.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5de7…540cbacked Yes3c750$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.456038.3%23 W · 37 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-26.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes2c734.85$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6493040.3%375 W · 555 L-67.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-31.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes6c726.89$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0826413.3%35 W · 229 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e48…4525backed Yes8c660.47$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90d1…f62abacked Yes3c660$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.82310%0 W · 31 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb84…5685backed Yes6c648.28$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372015%3 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-50.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8361…8e6dbacked Yes3c639.76$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.73580%0 W · 58 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4aa4…81eabacked Yes8c611.01$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e66…41e7backed Yes3c601.57$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.94290%0 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc09…9b9abacked Yes4c587.83$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.99270%0 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9b2…c884backed Yes6c552.81$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.78911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes3c504.35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.82912.2%2 W · 89 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-72.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ec7…7d60backed Yes3c502.4$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f5e…4b26backed Yes5c500$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick8cpaid-57.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66a1…80d9backed Yes2c440.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.38956.3%6 W · 89 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick10cpaid+21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7171…7af9backed Yes3c418.41$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.63120%0 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6602…7047backed Yes5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-58.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d15…c454backed No79c373.89$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.52977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick70cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cff…327bbacked Yes7c310$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0048…d4a5backed Yes7c182.32$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-77.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdb…75dbbacked Yes6c178.78$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick9cpaid+319.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c4f…81ccbacked Yes17c176.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.37156.7%1 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick12cpaid-83.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38fa…d9cabacked Yes7c156.44$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.571216.7%2 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick8cpaid+86.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8537…eb5ebacked Yes13c80.04$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4120%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac13…6506backed Yes26c77.69$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203815.8%6 W · 32 L-7.1wins-0.19per pick34cpaid-54.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8975…ffe6backed No80c37.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.56872.1%49 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.