Commodities · resolved market
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27651d9f3426ef2a4f907aa78f2ed69cdb22f2570d5c05d85f6f998b5b5a4524
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $310,914
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $327,799
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $310,914 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 238 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 72c | 27,805$20,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,773.03 | 930 | 40.3%375 W · 555 L | -67.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8f…d61bbacked No | 79c | 12,984$10,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,708.59 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 69cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked Yes | 4c | 8,993$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.85 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -10.0wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 1c | 8,300$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.5 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cee…22ffbacked Yes | 15c | 8,055$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.16 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3f…43dcbacked Yes | 58c | 7,707$4,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,487.09 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdefb…bd88backed Yes | 12c | 5,399$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.7 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 64c | 5,357$3,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,906.94 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9d…413ebacked Yes | 32c | 3,992$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 78c | 3,932$3,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.02 | 121 | 26.4%32 W · 89 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8361…8e6dbacked Yes | 5c | 3,017$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.7 | 58 | 0%0 W · 58 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b7…8999backed Yes | 36c | 2,821$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.55 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Yes | 5c | 2,710$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.7 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13b6…c633backed Yes | 1c | 2,641$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 75 | 2.7%2 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 26c | 2,587$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.67 | 63 | 20.6%13 W · 50 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 23c | 2,475$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.67 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1087…013bbacked Yes | 9c | 2,472$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8936…d010backed No | 48c | 2,290$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.84 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x402b…26d1backed Yes | 24c | 2,181$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.03 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7491…ada0backed No | 26c | 2,122$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,578.04 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +6.5wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xac38…c565backed Yes | 8c | 2,091$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…ab1ebacked Yes | 12c | 2,039$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7eebbacked Yes | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 6c | 2,000$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 95 | 6.3%6 W · 89 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed No | 58c | 1,988$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.35 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 49cpaid | +184.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 1,943$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.05 | 1,024 | 9.1%93 W · 931 L | -25.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf903…e051backed Yes | 5c | 1,883$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.42 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -83.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2f…fb79backed No | 23c | 1,863$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5898…211cbacked Yes | 5c | 1,758$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.66 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 1c | 1,683$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…1284backed No | 77c | 1,654$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.08 | 15 | 93.3%14 W · 1 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 69cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x357d…8c4fbacked No | 27c | 1,646$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.81 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3713…f934backed No | 21c | 1,611$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +547.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 3c | 1,592$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.26 | 293 | 4.1%12 W · 281 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…73a5backed Yes | 19c | 1,578$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…9138backed No | 66c | 1,553$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.57 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4867…89c2backed Yes | 18c | 1,518$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.63 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fee…fb0ebacked Yes | 27c | 1,470$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.81 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb84…5685backed Yes | 13c | 1,451$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3a…f5dbbacked Yes | 7c | 1,429$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.13 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c79…1d00backed No | 24c | 1,415$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.88 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x272c…7f07backed Yes | 8c | 1,392$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.86 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +137.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda71…9351backed Yes | 29c | 1,305$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.72 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -77%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce60…6705backed Yes | 3c | 1,280$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.49 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 42cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe955…3b03backed No | 23c | 1,246$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 24cpaid | +181.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe35a…e615backed No | 61c | 1,208$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.12 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…540cbacked Yes | 10c | 1,192$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.72 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b3…9989backed Yes | 2c | 1,191$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 68 | 4.4%3 W · 65 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +123.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 1,178$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 222 | 1.4%3 W · 219 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b76…bf1dbacked Yes | 37c | 1,163$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.64 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c88…187bbacked Yes | 77c | 1,150$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f7…6ee8backed Yes | 53c | 1,123$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x087e…51c5backed No | 71c | 1,102$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.37 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.49per pick | 37cpaid | +186.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked Yes | 78c | 1,003$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.37 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -10.1wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -55%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xba99…2a27backed No | 69c | 999.99$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 22c | 990.36$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.51 | 241 | 26.1%63 W · 178 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf77…bf6abacked Yes | 6c | 972.06$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 18c | 948.51$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.97 | 212 | 28.8%61 W · 151 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddf…5c37backed Yes | 3c | 897.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 124 | 6.5%8 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbce…0194backed No | 78c | 830.16$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.13 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Yes | 7c | 812.52$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 60c | 797.18$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.09 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed Yes | 8c | 793.8$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.31 | 188 | 4.3%8 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3c…4732backed Yes | 2c | 791.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x000d…8c9bbacked Yes | 5c | 788.86$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.15 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed Yes | 59c | 753.51$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.12 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…85b5backed Yes | 2c | 750$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd898…aaf1backed Yes | 17c | 749.53$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.42 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…5dbebacked Yes | 22c | 733.06$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…816ebacked Yes | 69c | 645$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.75 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 23c | 640.27$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.14 | 353 | 34%120 W · 233 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…8086backed No | 21c | 616.25$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.84 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 15cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b57…37aabacked Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5a…e3e4backed Yes | 77c | 550$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 78cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6822…2e97backed Yes | 79c | 546.76$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eca…357ebacked Yes | 6c | 536.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd9…97a7backed No | 23c | 530.02$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.02 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +140.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x842b…b366backed No | 45c | 524.19$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.91 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab20…5c57backed Yes | 13c | 508$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59db…c353backed No | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…fa0bbacked Yes | 10c | 478.92$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce8…767bbacked Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed Yes | 25c | 467$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.17 | 345 | 34.5%119 W · 226 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ab…1645backed No | 54c | 458.97$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24c7…82c5backed Yes | 5c | 450$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…604ebacked Yes | 51c | 449.23$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.76 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -5.3wins | -0.44per pick | 53cpaid | -89%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8a02…97f0backed Yes | 34c | 447.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9d…ada7backed Yes | 32c | 447.35$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4566…f265backed Yes | 22c | 447.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…6dffbacked Yes | 40c | 445$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa446…754ebacked Yes | 23c | 429.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c7…74e2backed Yes | 24c | 421.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.24per pick | 45cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x941e…9775backed Yes | 48c | 421$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.24 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -8.1wins | -0.20per pick | 59cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 7c | 416.59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 232 | 4.3%10 W · 222 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 9c | 413.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.33 | 121 | 2.5%3 W · 118 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…ca78backed Yes | 17c | 412.4$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.06 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed No | 27c | 400$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.3 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes | 5c | 400$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 69 | 2.9%2 W · 67 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…59b4backed Yes | 12c | 400$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39e4…f92bbacked Yes | 14c | 400$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?this page
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $210 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.