Commodities · resolved market
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7917e7d6769c541fb3002db0e61c898d4a1fee139f50fbcfdf71fd7b78fcb22
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $270,709
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $277,686
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $270,709 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a9d…413ebacked Yes | 13c | 11,618$1,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,551.93 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb19…f776backed Yes | 0c | 10,501$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8361…8e6dbacked Yes | 8c | 7,505$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.82 | 58 | 0%0 W · 58 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 1c | 6,900$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.5 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x343b…fda0backed Yes | 12c | 6,014$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.16 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7689…af2abacked Yes | 10c | 5,423$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.3 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked Yes | 3c | 4,064$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.37 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -10.0wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcc97…13c0backed Yes | 9c | 3,782$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf366…15adbacked Yes | 1c | 3,405$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.79 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a59…a364backed Yes | 12c | 2,856$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf903…e051backed Yes | 4c | 2,422$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -83.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 14c | 2,333$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.98 | 63 | 20.6%13 W · 50 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 3c | 2,100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 293 | 4.1%12 W · 281 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3a…f5dbbacked Yes | 2c | 2,064$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 2,029$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.57 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6be0…0c71backed Yes | 17c | 1,947$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…73a5backed Yes | 11c | 1,806$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 8c | 1,742$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.96 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d85…a385backed Yes | 34c | 1,740$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed Yes | 6c | 1,702$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.42 | 188 | 4.3%8 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdefb…bd88backed Yes | 9c | 1,693$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.42 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…5dbebacked Yes | 10c | 1,643$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 13c | 1,603$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.73 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd898…aaf1backed Yes | 8c | 1,500$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.79 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cee…22ffbacked Yes | 10c | 1,453$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.04 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab20…5c57backed Yes | 15c | 1,373$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf24f…15b2backed Yes | 15c | 1,340$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 17cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8163…c1aebacked Yes | 32c | 1,250$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb84…5685backed Yes | 3c | 1,088$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x000d…8c9bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,058$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4422…47f4backed Yes | 2c | 1,039$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4566…f265backed Yes | 15c | 1,014$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 7c | 991.02$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 232 | 4.3%10 W · 222 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…bebdbacked Yes | 10c | 956.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…ab1ebacked Yes | 4c | 931.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 7c | 913.87$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.28 | 121 | 2.5%3 W · 118 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…ca78backed Yes | 12c | 900$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac38…c565backed Yes | 15c | 869.32$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 2c | 861.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 11c | 835.75$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.4 | 308 | 39.6%122 W · 186 L | -17.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 76c | 752.88$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.52 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90d1…f62abacked Yes | 11c | 735.71$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.1 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x648c…09c6backed No | 68c | 699.99$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe98d…8fe0backed Yes | 10c | 691.83$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.52 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 3c | 680$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 95 | 6.3%6 W · 89 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…7b74backed Yes | 3c | 666.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +13.8wins | +0.24per pick | 23cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x90b2…0478backed Yes | 16c | 638.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3e…1598backed Yes | 32c | 620.31$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.8wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d4…34dbbacked Yes | 26c | 618.24$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 3c | 600$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2797…d36fbacked Yes | 17c | 592.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x679a…7a49backed Yes | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d6…ebefbacked Yes | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x036c…2cebbacked Yes | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x272c…7f07backed Yes | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +137.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73c7…b175backed No | 69c | 499.98$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce2…de3dbacked Yes | 14c | 491.78$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59db…c353backed No | 70c | 482.26$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70c7…e672backed Yes | 12c | 468.89$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fee…fb0ebacked Yes | 12c | 464.66$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.7 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed No | 67c | 422.99$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.59 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 12c | 355.92$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.48 | 116 | 15.5%18 W · 98 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…816ebacked Yes | 10c | 350$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7171…7af9backed Yes | 5c | 345$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa446…754ebacked Yes | 11c | 327.11$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.98 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x357d…8c4fbacked Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b90…4ebabacked Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc09…9b9abacked Yes | 10c | 300$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c22…76fabacked Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 25c | 293.15$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.44 | 353 | 34%120 W · 233 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 74c | 287.8$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.56 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…5ceabacked No | 73c | 276.29$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.12 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed46…2036backed Yes | 18c | 271.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 14c | 270.27$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.34 | 138 | 58%80 W · 58 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60e8…4001backed Yes | 19c | 261.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe326…4f10backed Yes | 11c | 252.22$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f9c…c887backed Yes | 14c | 250.1$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.02 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd7…dff2backed Yes | 13c | 248.83$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.35 | 44 | 6.8%3 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -84.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3948…8700backed Yes | 24c | 245.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.97 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf969…7ce8backed Yes | 14c | 242.86$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97c2…55d6backed No | 75c | 232$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 37 | 81.1%30 W · 7 L | +9.0wins | +0.24per pick | 57cpaid | +62%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5b76…bf1dbacked Yes | 13c | 224.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8936…d010backed No | 73c | 214.25$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.14 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…1645backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 6c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 91 | 2.2%2 W · 89 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb8…1fe9backed Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked Yes | 19c | 196.24$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.69 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…0023backed Yes | 18c | 191.18$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.41 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc6…75bfbacked Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaae1…9e37backed Yes | 17c | 178.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8003…9e14backed Yes | 16c | 174.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffe…8956backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…1d61backed No | 68c | 160$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.8 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 12c | 158.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 264 | 13.3%35 W · 229 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87bc…ff29backed Yes | 19c | 157.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 14c | 142.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 212 | 28.8%61 W · 151 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 13c | 136.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 210 | 15.7%33 W · 177 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35df…ef20backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc40e…ebf5backed Yes | 13c | 131.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -7.6wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf1…63c8backed Yes | 34c | 130$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?this page
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $210 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.