TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Commodities · resolved market

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$270,709
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$277,686

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $270,709 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Commodities
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6a9d…413ebacked Yes13c11,618$1,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,551.93170%0 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfb19…f776backed Yes0c10,501$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8361…8e6dbacked Yes8c7,505$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.82580%0 W · 58 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x07d4…8991backed Yes1c6,900$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.5590%0 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x343b…fda0backed Yes12c6,014$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.161225%3 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick14cpaid+48.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7689…af2abacked Yes10c5,423$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.340%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c9a…553bbacked Yes3c4,064$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.377131%22 W · 49 L-10.0wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-46.3%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xcc97…13c0backed Yes9c3,782$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.55250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf366…15adbacked Yes1c3,405$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.79616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick10cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a59…a364backed Yes12c2,856$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3481513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick20cpaid-74.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf903…e051backed Yes4c2,422$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91195.3%1 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick15cpaid-83.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes14c2,333$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.986320.6%13 W · 50 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-48.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x250c…2774backed Yes3c2,100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632934.1%12 W · 281 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-30.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c3a…f5dbbacked Yes2c2,064$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.412020%4 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-64.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes3c2,029$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.571,0309.2%95 W · 935 L-25.0wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-55.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6be0…0c71backed Yes17c1,947$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcdd…73a5backed Yes11c1,806$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003522.9%8 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-43.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes8c1,742$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.965635.7%20 W · 36 L+6.2wins+0.11per pick25cpaid-10.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2d85…a385backed Yes34c1,740$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.2240%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1355…a695backed Yes6c1,702$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.421884.3%8 W · 180 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-41.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdefb…bd88backed Yes9c1,693$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.421513.3%2 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14b0…5dbebacked Yes10c1,643$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17290%0 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xff7c…b233backed Yes13c1,603$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.7332023.4%75 W · 245 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd898…aaf1backed Yes8c1,500$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.792429.2%7 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cee…22ffbacked Yes10c1,453$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.0460%0 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab20…5c57backed Yes15c1,373$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20060%0 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf24f…15b2backed Yes15c1,340$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick17cpaid+94.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8163…c1aebacked Yes32c1,250$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick31cpaid-37.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb84…5685backed Yes3c1,088$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382015%3 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-50.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x000d…8c9bbacked Yes3c1,058$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1580%0 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4422…47f4backed Yes2c1,039$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4566…f265backed Yes15c1,014$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1513414.7%5 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick12cpaid-44.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes7c991.02$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.82324.3%10 W · 222 L-0.7wins0.00per pick5cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd38b…bebdbacked Yes10c956.15$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x36f4…ab1ebacked Yes4c931.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick20cpaid-1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3085…7568backed Yes7c913.87$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.281212.5%3 W · 118 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-63.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4970…ca78backed Yes12c900$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1121020%2 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-61.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac38…c565backed Yes15c869.32$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.9430%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes2c861.89$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.27378.1%3 W · 34 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick5cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes11c835.75$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.430839.6%122 W · 186 L-17.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-28.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x777f…a1bbbacked No76c752.88$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.5230238.1%115 W · 187 L+11.1wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-13%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x90d1…f62abacked Yes11c735.71$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.1310%0 W · 31 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x648c…09c6backed No68c699.99$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2241369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+21.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe98d…8fe0backed Yes10c691.83$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.522015%3 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick30cpaid-49.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x66a1…80d9backed Yes3c680$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.58956.3%6 W · 89 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick10cpaid+21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8030…7b74backed Yes3c666.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205747.4%27 W · 30 L+13.8wins+0.24per pick23cpaid+54.6%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x90b2…0478backed Yes16c638.97$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100825%2 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-36.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3e…1598backed Yes32c620.31$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20080%0 W · 8 L-3.8wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xf6d4…34dbbacked Yes26c618.24$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.09250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed Yes3c600$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9813131.3%41 W · 90 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2797…d36fbacked Yes17c592.66$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002119%4 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick31cpaid-55.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x679a…7a49backed Yes31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15560%0 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd3d6…ebefbacked Yes19c500$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951428.6%4 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick21cpaid+82.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x036c…2cebbacked Yes5c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x272c…7f07backed Yes5c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253138.7%12 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick29cpaid+137.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x73c7…b175backed No69c499.98$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.992100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ce2…de3dbacked Yes14c491.78$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-41.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59db…c353backed No70c482.26$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.98475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+54.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70c7…e672backed Yes12c468.89$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57120%0 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1fee…fb0ebacked Yes12c464.66$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.770%0 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed No67c422.99$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.592766.7%18 W · 9 L+4.6wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+37.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes12c355.92$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4811615.5%18 W · 98 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick11cpaid+38.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8929…816ebacked Yes10c350$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.52825%7 W · 21 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-50.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7171…7af9backed Yes5c345$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.85120%0 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa446…754ebacked Yes11c327.11$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.983225%8 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-46.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x357d…8c4fbacked Yes33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick27cpaid+28.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b90…4ebabacked Yes10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc09…9b9abacked Yes10c300$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29270%0 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c22…76fabacked Yes9c300$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27170%0 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes25c293.15$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.4435334%120 W · 233 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c26…6e31backed No74c287.8$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.567945.6%36 W · 43 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1719…5ceabacked No73c276.29$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.124856.3%27 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-3.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xed46…2036backed Yes18c271.8$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes14c270.27$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3413858%80 W · 58 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x60e8…4001backed Yes19c261.93$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe326…4f10backed Yes11c252.22$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-66.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f9c…c887backed Yes14c250.1$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.02933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbcd7…dff2backed Yes13c248.83$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.35446.8%3 W · 41 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick15cpaid-84.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3948…8700backed Yes24c245.9$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.971513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick25cpaid-73.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf969…7ce8backed Yes14c242.86$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344425%11 W · 33 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x97c2…55d6backed No75c232$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583781.1%30 W · 7 L+9.0wins+0.24per pick57cpaid+62%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x5b76…bf1dbacked Yes13c224.03$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.67137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick17cpaid-74.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8936…d010backed No73c214.25$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.147150.7%36 W · 35 L+7.6wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6fa1…1645backed Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1060%0 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes6c200$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11912.2%2 W · 89 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-72.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb8…1fe9backed Yes17c200$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344346.5%20 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb50…7bfcbacked Yes19c196.24$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.694643.5%20 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9196…0023backed Yes18c191.18$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.41616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick46cpaid-75.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8bc6…75bfbacked Yes11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201513.3%2 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick14cpaid-62.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaae1…9e37backed Yes17c178.23$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick16cpaid-26.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8003…9e14backed Yes16c174.69$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3530%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ffe…8956backed Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xef34…1d61backed No68c160$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.83764.9%24 W · 13 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+29.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes12c158.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5326413.3%35 W · 229 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87bc…ff29backed Yes19c157.9$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3040%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes14c142.84$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0321228.8%61 W · 151 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc71b…e265backed Yes13c136.29$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0421015.7%33 W · 177 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35df…ef20backed Yes15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.22per pick49cpaid-51.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc40e…ebf5backed Yes13c131.25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173735.1%13 W · 24 L-7.6wins-0.20per pick56cpaid-39.8%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xcaf1…63c8backed Yes34c130$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-52.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.