Commodities · resolved market
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42906a6d7941e5a8a92cdb9d413a84c198e5fcb110bda21341f1dadaefc78908
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $389,495
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $422,149
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $389,495 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf366…15adbacked Yes | 25c | 111,912$28,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,329.83 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…3363backed No | 53c | 20,549$10,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,615.31 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 0c | 15,909$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.57 | 222 | 1.4%3 W · 219 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…0998backed No | 75c | 10,309$7,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,576.41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92bb…1afbbacked Yes | 0c | 10,014$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 77c | 5,481$4,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.56 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbada…d874backed No | 38c | 3,960$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,460.68 | 150 | 56%84 W · 66 L | +19.8wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xacfe…2801backed No | 49c | 3,873$1,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,988.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13b6…c633backed Yes | 1c | 3,776$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 75 | 2.7%2 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb980…73b0backed No | 79c | 3,619$2,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.22 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…914ebacked No | 72c | 3,512$2,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.69 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +154.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf903…e051backed Yes | 7c | 3,470$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -83.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 1c | 3,437$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.58 | 273 | 22%60 W · 213 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad96…c44bbacked Yes | 3c | 2,914$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…5dbebacked Yes | 7c | 2,799$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a29…f8b5backed Yes | 4c | 2,742$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 2,320$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.09 | 1,024 | 9.1%93 W · 931 L | -25.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9d…413ebacked Yes | 6c | 2,192$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x530c…89f1backed Yes | 6c | 2,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -75%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x831a…d532backed No | 78c | 1,975$1,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fc…8743backed Yes | 1c | 1,729$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…cfd0backed Yes | 1c | 1,685$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb145…4a26backed Yes | 3c | 1,660$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad44…981abacked Yes | 2c | 1,654$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5da4…70e5backed Yes | 2c | 1,616$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…7b74backed Yes | 3c | 1,604$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.7 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +13.8wins | +0.24per pick | 23cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x19d5…a03dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,596$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c25…d933backed Yes | 11c | 1,549$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 2c | 1,257$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 293 | 4.1%12 W · 281 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd7…dff2backed Yes | 7c | 1,231$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.49 | 44 | 6.8%3 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -84.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c57…d17fbacked Yes | 10c | 1,194$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.14 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed No | 22c | 1,184$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.67 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x000d…8c9bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,108$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c512backed No | 49c | 1,070$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.51 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 998.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 232 | 4.3%10 W · 222 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x601f…76adbacked Yes | 1c | 959.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8361…8e6dbacked Yes | 1c | 926.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 58 | 0%0 W · 58 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…35c1backed Yes | 22c | 916.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 6c | 864.17$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.21 | 56 | 17.9%10 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e6f…c1efbacked Yes | 1c | 830$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34b0…3c56backed No | 31c | 750$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.5 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.18per pick | 20cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…c8d6backed No | 31c | 750$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d6d…c988backed No | 31c | 750$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 20cpaid | +111.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9401…ad7fbacked No | 31c | 750$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.46per pick | 20cpaid | +218.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f9c…c887backed Yes | 7c | 687.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed Yes | 4c | 600$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 188 | 4.3%8 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x156a…dd4bbacked Yes | 8c | 537$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.96 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x231e…9297backed Yes | 6c | 515.85$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 33cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 4c | 425$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 264 | 13.3%35 W · 229 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc09…9b9abacked Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x025d…3f0cbacked No | 79c | 375.09$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.96 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 72cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea43…2825backed Yes | 6c | 320$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70c7…e672backed Yes | 9c | 318.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaae1…9e37backed Yes | 7c | 287.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f55…e9a4backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6851…1ea5backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad64…c614backed No | 58c | 240$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x738e…cc2cbacked No | 57c | 240$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0048…d4a5backed Yes | 6c | 234.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf609…e68bbacked No | 79c | 202$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.59 | 108 | 66.7%72 W · 36 L | +15.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…a446backed Yes | 7c | 200.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fee…fb0ebacked Yes | 7c | 190$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc185…7020backed No | 40c | 177.89$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.99 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 23c | 160$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.79 | 218 | 15.6%34 W · 184 L | -37.8wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…cefbbacked No | 23c | 136.76$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.44 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc6…75bfbacked Yes | 7c | 133.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b76…bf1dbacked Yes | 8c | 126.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb9…ec36backed No | 80c | 124.74$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac13…6506backed Yes | 27c | 74.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -7.1wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 23c | 70.05$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.66 | 241 | 26.1%63 W · 178 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f2…359dbacked No | 23c | 64.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +336.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 65c | 54.17$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 95 | 44.2%42 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf80…24c6backed No | 23c | 49.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +336.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab63…1551backed No | 23c | 49.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +336.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…701bbacked No | 39c | 38.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa5…7621backed No | 80c | 32.31$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa683…6692backed No | 77c | 14.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June?this page
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $210 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.