Commodities · resolved market
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb6db11fa76323814a73cd76cdaa459f502078166bf5810e6de1b013af7334f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $523,820
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $540,419
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $523,820 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 358 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 76c | 48,546$37,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,470.14 | 938 | 40.2%377 W · 561 L | -69.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8f…d61bbacked No | 77c | 17,809$13,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,179.47 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 69cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x343b…fda0backed Yes | 19c | 13,815$2,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,585.45 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8361…8e6dbacked Yes | 15c | 13,309$2,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,014.04 | 58 | 0%0 W · 58 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc5…e175backed No | 75c | 12,018$8,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,049.04 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked Yes | 4c | 11,583$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.57 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -10.0wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 1c | 8,299$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.49 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3f…43dcbacked Yes | 48c | 8,237$3,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,955.4 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95b3…9989backed Yes | 3c | 7,859$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.83 | 68 | 4.4%3 W · 65 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +123.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 19c | 7,730$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440.21 | 63 | 20.6%13 W · 50 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdefb…bd88backed Yes | 10c | 7,577$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.84 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 74c | 6,768$5,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,735.23 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…ab1ebacked Yes | 7c | 6,295$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b97…bc9cbacked No | 51c | 5,727$2,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,811.17 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.45per pick | 38cpaid | +276.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 5,679$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.9 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 4,729$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 222 | 1.4%3 W · 219 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6127…d746backed No | 75c | 4,589$3,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9d…413ebacked Yes | 25c | 4,525$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf903…e051backed Yes | 5c | 4,098$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.9 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -83.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b7…8999backed Yes | 46c | 3,523$1,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,616.88 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c57…d17fbacked Yes | 31c | 3,419$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.54 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37af…db00backed Yes | 41c | 3,410$1,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7689…af2abacked Yes | 17c | 3,272$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.05 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 76c | 3,200$2,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd5…f2cfbacked No | 68c | 3,100$2,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.62 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed No | 51c | 2,882$1,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398.33 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 32c | 2,728$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.44 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…914ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,667$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +154.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed No | 53c | 2,534$1,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.68 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 27c | 2,482$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.25 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf366…15adbacked Yes | 1c | 2,393$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8163…c1aebacked Yes | 27c | 2,119$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Yes | 3c | 2,100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…bd51backed No | 58c | 2,072$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.06 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96ea…66f5backed Yes | 5c | 2,070$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa61e…0abdbacked Yes | 43c | 2,000$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 36cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab59…9c0ebacked Yes | 11c | 2,000$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed No | 78c | 1,976$1,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.76 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc40e…ebf5backed Yes | 46c | 1,932$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.79 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -7.6wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 59c | 1,903$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.63 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4566…f265backed Yes | 16c | 1,873$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 1c | 1,847$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cee…22ffbacked Yes | 13c | 1,780$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…73a5backed Yes | 11c | 1,775$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1344…5f88backed Yes | 41c | 1,741$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…50a2backed Yes | 46c | 1,741$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.46 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…0023backed Yes | 31c | 1,701$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.26 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…dafbbacked Yes | 43c | 1,662$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.08 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -6.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 8c | 1,652$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.35 | 232 | 4.3%10 W · 222 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d5…7a9fbacked No | 57c | 1,630$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.33 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 49cpaid | +101.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d85…a385backed Yes | 51c | 1,606$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.73 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…9652backed Yes | 41c | 1,600$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.07 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed Yes | 7c | 1,543$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.54 | 188 | 4.3%8 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…816ebacked Yes | 29c | 1,535$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.4 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…ca78backed Yes | 25c | 1,510$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.3 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…6cc4backed No | 53c | 1,494$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.9 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe98d…8fe0backed Yes | 15c | 1,471$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.92 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7491…ada0backed No | 44c | 1,420$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.11 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +6.5wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed No | 77c | 1,323$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.97 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 49cpaid | +184.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f7…6ee8backed Yes | 40c | 1,265$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13b6…c633backed Yes | 1c | 1,242$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 75 | 2.7%2 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c79…1d00backed No | 59c | 1,232$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.63 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe35a…e615backed No | 73c | 1,200$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95bd…b9bebacked No | 57c | 1,195$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.83 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ced…3e15backed Yes | 13c | 1,194$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbaa…a58abacked Yes | 39c | 1,179$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x279b…e05bbacked Yes | 10c | 1,168$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b2…0478backed Yes | 21c | 1,166$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 65c | 1,165$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.72 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3a…f5dbbacked Yes | 4c | 1,155$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x000d…8c9bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,091$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.15 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23ed…256cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,086$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a95…6a9dbacked Yes | 48c | 1,085$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcde7…18d4backed Yes | 42c | 1,059$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.73 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…9138backed No | 72c | 1,029$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.24 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38ad…80f6backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +112.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7eebbacked Yes | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 7c | 1,000$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.6 | 121 | 2.5%3 W · 118 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae0…7c57backed Yes | 14c | 1,000$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.12 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f54…e9e9backed Yes | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -5.3wins | -0.29per pick | 35cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2a…aab2backed No | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x036c…2cebbacked Yes | 7c | 999.96$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99e1…65c8backed Yes | 3c | 980$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 4c | 979.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 293 | 4.1%12 W · 281 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac6…66b2backed No | 57c | 949.99$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…5ceabacked No | 54c | 914.1$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.65 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed2e…41f7backed Yes | 8c | 903.36$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.27 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0262…a9d2backed No | 75c | 893.86$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.07 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 68cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0538…c828backed No | 62c | 879.2$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 25c | 878.43$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.05 | 308 | 39.6%122 W · 186 L | -17.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 74c | 874.28$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.46 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 17c | 871.8$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.02 | 212 | 28.8%61 W · 151 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb12e…8c6cbacked No | 54c | 857.18$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.96 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…5dbebacked Yes | 16c | 856.55$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5358…41febacked Yes | 43c | 831.5$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed No | 58c | 807.77$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.05 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e7b…bcbcbacked Yes | 46c | 804.45$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.38 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb84…5685backed Yes | 25c | 788.2$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d6…f810backed No | 80c | 787.16$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca5b…f1fbbacked Yes | 34c | 780$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.55 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?this page
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $210 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.