TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe98d…8fe0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
186
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 58 out of 100; worst Commodities at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT4531.1%14 W · 31 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-7.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+926.2%+$162.46
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.12
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.5
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+203%+$67
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+106.9%+$31
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.25
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.18
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+198.4%+$60.57
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.48
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$37.94
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.08
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.95
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.4
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.44
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+120.5%+$81.43
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.65
Spread: Thunder (-12.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.45
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.83
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.63
Spread: Lakers (-4.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.56
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.34
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.37
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.4
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+62.3%+$8.44
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.42
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Ducks vs. Oilers backed Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.39
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.42
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+96.9%+$10.93
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+65%+$39.24
Sabres vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Stars vs. Wildbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+75.2%+$36.01
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)backed Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.02
Kings vs. Flamesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.1
Will the Edmonton Oilers make the NHL Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$2.93
Canucks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.4
Flames vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.01
Utah vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$12.4
Senators vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+112.7%+$21
Utah vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+100.5%+$10.23
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$12.9
All 20 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2015%3 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick30cpaid-49.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Commodities — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.96
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.19
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$221.92
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.06
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.52
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.63
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.57
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+130.5%+$36.8
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,450 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15.9
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$13.15
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$319.66
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$146.16
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,975-$5,100 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$11.1
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,850-$4,975 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$12.84
Will Silver (SI) settle over $100 on the final trading day of January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$97.36
Will Silver (SI) settle over $120 on the final trading day of January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$23.9
Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,000 on the final trading day of January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+362.4%+$105.81
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+215.8%+$66.45
All 20 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$22.5
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+81.2%+$8.45
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.4
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.2
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangersbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$19.17
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.34
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangersbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.3
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+115.5%+$13.4
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padresbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$18.8
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangersbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$12.5
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.78
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.58
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+80.8%+$8.35
Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.25
All 17 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.20per pick22cpaid+94.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$9.23
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$13.06
Will Iowa State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+127.8%+$22.31
Spread: Youngstown State Penguins (-7.5)backed Youngstown State Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11.75
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs. Marshall Thundering Herd: O/U 160.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20.76
Oregon State Beavers vs. Saint Mary's Gaels: O/U 141.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$135.83
UTSA Roadrunners vs. North Texas Mean Green: O/U 138.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10.68
Cleveland State Vikings vs. Wright State Raiders: O/U 158.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+66.4%+$73.71
Army Black Knights vs. Bucknell Bison: O/U 144.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$11.65
Alabama A&M Bulldogs vs. Alabama State Hornets: O/U 145.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$20.91
Providence Friars vs. Marquette Golden Eaglesbacked Providence Friars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$11.37
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. VCU Rams: O/U 152.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+270%+$42.75
Merrimack College Warriors vs. Marist Red Foxes: O/U 133.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+1,445.9%+$184.24
All 14 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST1361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+34.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the 2026 Big Game be the most viewed Big Game ever?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+225.2%+$40.06
Will Verizon/Visible run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$18.02
Will Allstate run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+48.5%+$15.65
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+50.7%+$46.15
Will Crypto.com run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$42.66
Will Progressive run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+25.7%+$11.93
Will Coca Cola run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$11.08
Will xAI or X run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$13.2
Spread: Seahawks (-5.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+93.8%+$75.65
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+52.4%+$48.13
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+96.2%+$185.56
Will Apple run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+355.3%+$211.36
Will Coinbase run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$195.65
All 13 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+198.4%+$54.59
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$14.2
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$24.78
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$19.3
Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finlandbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+136.8%+$67.14
Will Canada win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$125.86
Will the United States of America win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$25.6
Women's Final - USA vs. Canadabacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$44.91
Men's Quarterfinals - USA vs. Swedenbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+35.8%+$22.39
Men's Quarterfinals - Canada vs. Czechiabacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+32.6%+$24.58
Men's Group C - Germany vs. Denmarkbacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+26.4%+$4.09
All 11 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick3cpaid-35.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+479.9%+$100.1
Will the US strike Iraq next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.31
Will the US strike another country first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.88
Will the US strike Yemen next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40.59
Will the US strike Somalia next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$46.67
Will the US strike Iran next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$156.77
Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.85
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$33.43
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$24.82
All 9 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+76%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-33.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+53.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-51%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+133.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+133.6%+$14.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+117.2%+$15.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$23.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Citigroup (C) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$161.18
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.