NHL · resolved market
Kings vs. Flames
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b85b5a5d20c8f1aab651b53aa2ee9bb9fa1fbaa29d3d6f0446d4430a0e54959
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flamesof Kings, Flames
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $929,501
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $994,994
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $929,501 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 678 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Flames | 40c | 346,418$140,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206,384.37 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Kings | 60c | 68,702$40,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,968.97 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed8…4388backed Kings | 61c | 38,662$23,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,583.89 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Kings | 60c | 38,582$23,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,149.42 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Kings | 56c | 36,338$20,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,367.3 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…ffdbbacked Kings | 59c | 29,200$17,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,228 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Flames | 78c | 28,522$22,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,313.36 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Flames | 39c | 27,537$10,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,797.42 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6165…db3cbacked Kings | 60c | 25,000$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Kings | 59c | 22,265$13,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,234.26 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Kings | 60c | 19,620$11,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,787 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Kings | 59c | 18,888$11,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,143.92 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…1862backed Kings | 59c | 18,252$10,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,768.5 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -6.6wins | -0.31per pick | 55cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Kings | 61c | 17,450$10,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,615.79 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeedf…71e6backed Kings | 0c | 16,024$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kings | 44c | 15,688$6,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,862.25 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Kings | 59c | 15,663$9,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,241 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Kings | 60c | 12,199$7,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,293.82 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Flames | 44c | 11,523$5,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,465.96 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Flames | 46c | 11,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,900 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Flames | 40c | 10,263$4,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,163.48 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Kings | 30c | 9,830$2,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,949.46 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Flames | 52c | 9,037$4,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,369.19 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Kings | 59c | 8,980$5,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,284.33 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd74…888dbacked Flames | 46c | 8,500$3,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,590 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Kings | 61c | 8,200$5,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,001.88 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Kings | 57c | 8,000$4,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,559.93 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Kings | 19c | 7,405$1,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,392.58 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Kings | 37c | 7,319$2,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,683.28 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Kings | 57c | 7,003$3,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,995.08 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Kings | 54c | 6,849$3,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,698.67 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Kings | 61c | 6,578$4,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,012.68 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x559b…4959backed Kings | 60c | 6,328$3,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,796.8 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.8wins | +0.29per pick | 55cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Kings | 60c | 6,224$3,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,734.4 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Kings | 62c | 6,200$3,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,844 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Kings | 58c | 6,043$3,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,502.99 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…2e78backed Kings | 60c | 5,964$3,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,577.63 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc332…59a9backed Kings | 57c | 5,698$3,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,274.97 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Flames | 40c | 5,333$2,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,189.25 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed Kings | 58c | 5,118$2,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,968.27 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed Kings | 53c | 5,076$2,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,690.16 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Flames | 42c | 5,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,919.93 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d1…288ebacked Kings | 59c | 4,880$2,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,879.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Flames | 39c | 4,860$1,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,964.6 | 186 | 41.9%78 W · 108 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Kings | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed Flames | 42c | 4,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,320 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Flames | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,279.95 | 204 | 50%102 W · 102 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Kings | 58c | 3,833$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,220.03 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…1520backed Kings | 39c | 3,508$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374.82 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked Kings | 60c | 3,333$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Flames | 39c | 3,264$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,990.74 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Flames | 41c | 3,230$1,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,906.53 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Flames | 52c | 3,186$1,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520.04 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Flames | 42c | 3,173$1,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,829.97 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Flames | 40c | 3,134$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,874.55 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Kings | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Kings | 59c | 2,896$1,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,708.64 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0daa…c9dabacked Kings | 59c | 2,833$1,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674.94 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Kings | 58c | 2,811$1,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.03 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Kings | 63c | 2,795$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 340 | 40.3%137 W · 203 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…345cbacked Kings | 59c | 2,644$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c2…640fbacked Kings | 51c | 2,500$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7245…f1c3backed Kings | 59c | 2,500$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,475 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Kings | 61c | 2,459$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Kings | 33c | 2,430$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.35 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Kings | 57c | 2,392$1,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,357.9 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Flames | 42c | 2,300$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.97 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Kings | 9c | 2,229$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.67 | 134 | 37.3%50 W · 84 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Kings | 58c | 2,222$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,294.83 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43f2…09a5backed Kings | 48c | 2,125$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.94 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 66cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdc…9da2backed Kings | 56c | 2,000$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked Flames | 40c | 2,000$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Kings | 57c | 1,988$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.28 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…e0fbbacked Flames | 39c | 1,945$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.97 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Flames | 43c | 1,878$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.79 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Kings | 25c | 1,857$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.33 | 270 | 37.4%101 W · 169 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b52…568ebacked Kings | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…aedfbacked Kings | 56c | 1,700$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Kings | 52c | 1,699$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…9a1fbacked Flames | 43c | 1,698$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.67 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Flames | 42c | 1,665$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.67 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Kings | 58c | 1,614$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.11 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Flames | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.99 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +210.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Kings | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.97 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Flames | 40c | 1,469$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.19 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d5…b0b8backed Kings | 17c | 1,389$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.95 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Flames | 40c | 1,388$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.4 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Kings | 59c | 1,338$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.8 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…8feebacked Kings | 56c | 1,275$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.83 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Kings | 27c | 1,245$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.52 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Kings | 60c | 1,230$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.34 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb4…d260backed Kings | 43c | 1,200$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Kings | 59c | 1,179$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.01 | 294 | 48.6%143 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd75…c044backed Kings | 58c | 1,173$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.05 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Kings | 60c | 1,172$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.2 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Flames | 45c | 1,118$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.05 | 173 | 53.8%93 W · 80 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Kings | 62c | 1,113$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Flames | 41c | 1,103$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.67 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Kings | 58c | 1,102$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.88 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x809d…a45dbacked Flames | 43c | 1,100$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Flamesthis page
- Kings vs. Flames: O/U 4.5Under won
- Kings vs. Flames: O/U 5.5Under won
- Kings vs. Flames: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)Flames won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.