NHL · resolved market
Kings vs. Flames: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10753f4d1f0736ac9df825dd47f9dd93b5a61c5ea57e9435d1372f44935a4924
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,174
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,119
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,174 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Over | 56c | 9,366$5,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,231.35 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Under | 45c | 5,893$2,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,241.28 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 44c | 5,402$2,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,025.27 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 55c | 2,480$1,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,361.51 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Under | 44c | 2,184$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.03 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 57c | 1,789$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.91 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e6…4a4dbacked Over | 56c | 1,627$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Under | 54c | 972.76$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.06 | 134 | 37.3%50 W · 84 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 49c | 915.68$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.12 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 55c | 869.16$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.83 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 56c | 746.39$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 56c | 700$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.2 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcf…a152backed Over | 57c | 691.23$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Under | 44c | 565$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.4 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb453…ab57backed Over | 56c | 417.72$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Under | 43c | 399.91$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.95 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Under | 44c | 386$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.16 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 56c | 296.59$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.09 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed Under | 44c | 259$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.04 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Under | 43c | 258.98$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.62 | 265 | 51.3%136 W · 129 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Under | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 358 | 29.3%105 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf32…95d3backed Under | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Under | 45c | 223$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.65 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 60c | 208.62$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.88 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed Under | 44c | 208$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.48 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Under | 45c | 184.96$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.73 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe44…c9d3backed Over | 57c | 176.63$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Under | 45c | 157$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.35 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed Under | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.36 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…c8a6backed Under | 44c | 131.82$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.82 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540f…92bebacked Under | 44c | 131$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.36 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Under | 44c | 131$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.36 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a0…f673backed Under | 44c | 131$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.36 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce3a…2477backed Under | 44c | 131$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.36 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Under | 44c | 124.49$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.71 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd82…4068backed Under | 44c | 106$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.36 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…705cbacked Under | 44c | 106$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.36 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Under | 44c | 106$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.36 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Under | 44c | 106$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.36 | 103 | 59.2%61 W · 42 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 427 | 50.8%217 W · 210 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Under | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 202 | 45%91 W · 111 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 337 | 45.7%154 W · 183 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Over | 25c | 80.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 75c | 75.2$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 55c | 75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 35c | 72.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3597…3e48backed Under | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19ee…446cbacked Over | 24c | 63.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Under | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccb8…6eeebacked Under | 54c | 55.79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.79 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 55c | 55.77$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Over | 55c | 54.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.11 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 44c | 52.12$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.19 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Over | 57c | 51.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.36 | 294 | 48.6%143 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -13.1wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Under | 51c | 48.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.72 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb223…3772backed Over | 57c | 48.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 62c | 48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Over | 45c | 47.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 44c | 39.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.39 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd281…d824backed Under | 47c | 35.42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 212 | 53.3%113 W · 99 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Under | 45c | 33.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under | 67c | 32.3$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x720b…f155backed Over | 63c | 31.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 66cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Over | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 222 | 55.9%124 W · 98 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 74c | 29.06$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Under | 44c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 189 | 49.2%93 W · 96 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x623a…5144backed Over | 56c | 28.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Over | 53c | 25.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x559b…4959backed Under | 53c | 25.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.8wins | +0.29per pick | 55cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Under | 60c | 24.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbe…1f4abacked Over | 57c | 24.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 49c | 23.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 164 | 43.3%71 W · 93 L | -15.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x28af…7de0backed Over | 56c | 20.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x775f…c82dbacked Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x241e…04cbbacked Over | 56c | 19.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 62 | 71%44 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10fe…9af6backed Over | 57c | 17.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Flames: O/U 5.5this page
- Kings vs. FlamesFlames won
- Kings vs. Flames: O/U 4.5Under won
- Kings vs. Flames: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)Flames won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.