CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports (BO5) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84f00093db84135ba3c505907b7b0770aad92475fea1db84e329dc593d164de9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FUT Esportsof Astralis, FUT Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,697,970
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,915,534
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,697,970 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 840 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1a5c…a375backed Astralis | 31c | 822,564$252,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252,196.84 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed FUT Esports | 69c | 645,391$444,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200,403.32 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63a5…8e33backed Astralis | 45c | 432,510$193,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193,366.65 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d1…6b2cbacked Astralis | 0c | 338,512$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.04 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed FUT Esports | 57c | 192,192$109,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82,561.25 | 144 | 41.7%60 W · 84 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked FUT Esports | 56c | 100,000$55,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,199.95 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Astralis | 33c | 99,821$32,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,763.13 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked FUT Esports | 55c | 90,200$49,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,232.99 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +8.6wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Astralis | 18c | 85,416$15,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,647.04 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6e…5cfdbacked FUT Esports | 77c | 79,733$61,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,947.37 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed FUT Esports | 56c | 55,000$30,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,200 | 258 | 42.2%109 W · 149 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…509bbacked Astralis | 36c | 48,852$17,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,407.03 | 197 | 57.4%113 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked FUT Esports | 70c | 45,021$31,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,459.79 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed FUT Esports | 57c | 44,533$25,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,105.02 | 755 | 50.6%382 W · 373 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6adc…bebabacked Astralis | 23c | 40,658$9,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,280.9 | 136 | 33.1%45 W · 91 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed FUT Esports | 55c | 40,000$22,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,999.97 | 330 | 43.3%143 W · 187 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Astralis | 19c | 31,784$6,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,007.47 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Astralis | 8c | 31,358$2,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,481.47 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed2…d00bbacked Astralis | 14c | 30,125$4,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,306.7 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Astralis | 42c | 29,343$12,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,327.98 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Astralis | 26c | 27,761$7,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,288.29 | 653 | 51.9%339 W · 314 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Astralis | 44c | 25,316$11,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,201.54 | 182 | 43.4%79 W · 103 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Astralis | 43c | 25,268$10,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,865.25 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked FUT Esports | 78c | 25,000$19,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,549.99 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +28.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked FUT Esports | 76c | 24,989$18,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 327 | 52.3%171 W · 156 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9c…34d9backed FUT Esports | 58c | 24,721$14,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,382.63 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked FUT Esports | 76c | 23,647$17,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,651.69 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…2965backed FUT Esports | 56c | 23,500$13,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,340 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x886e…afd6backed FUT Esports | 56c | 23,193$12,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,204.72 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…3d4cbacked Astralis | 45c | 22,541$10,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,071.2 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Astralis | 45c | 21,621$9,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,668.3 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Astralis | 45c | 21,497$9,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,669.9 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed FUT Esports | 56c | 20,944$11,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,275.7 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Astralis | 22c | 20,602$4,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,482.24 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed FUT Esports | 57c | 20,000$11,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,599.99 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed FUT Esports | 56c | 18,968$10,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,324.51 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked FUT Esports | 56c | 17,759$9,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,814.05 | 362 | 40.3%146 W · 216 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6902…b4cabacked FUT Esports | 58c | 16,807$9,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,058.9 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4189backed FUT Esports | 58c | 14,922$8,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,254.65 | 334 | 52.1%174 W · 160 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…a924backed FUT Esports | 55c | 14,827$8,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,672.28 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed FUT Esports | 79c | 14,740$11,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,162.95 | 195 | 54.9%107 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…1c32backed Astralis | 2c | 12,975$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.89 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Astralis | 16c | 12,249$1,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,983.21 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d11…99cabacked FUT Esports | 72c | 12,096$8,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,339.39 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked FUT Esports | 56c | 10,802$6,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,738.59 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…cb97backed Astralis | 18c | 10,627$1,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,918.21 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed Astralis | 22c | 10,483$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300.48 | 324 | 25.3%82 W · 242 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…57c7backed FUT Esports | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,300 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…b3bbbacked Astralis | 19c | 9,727$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,829.89 | 291 | 27.5%80 W · 211 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Astralis | 30c | 9,646$2,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,857.63 | 2,092 | 41.6%871 W · 1,221 L | -50.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb12b…5a89backed FUT Esports | 76c | 9,093$6,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,222.07 | 61 | 68.9%42 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed FUT Esports | 56c | 8,762$4,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,855.46 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Astralis | 12c | 8,582$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.39 | 1,649 | 46.9%774 W · 875 L | -28.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…3015backed FUT Esports | 56c | 8,495$4,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,737.62 | 85 | 63.5%54 W · 31 L | +9.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +35%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6e…fa6fbacked FUT Esports | 60c | 8,133$4,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,253.33 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Astralis | 9c | 8,133$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.66 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4377…b67fbacked Astralis | 20c | 8,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed FUT Esports | 76c | 7,716$5,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,848.74 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Astralis | 17c | 7,101$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.35 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Astralis | 22c | 7,025$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530.13 | 293 | 47.1%138 W · 155 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed FUT Esports | 75c | 7,000$5,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,736 | 646 | 52.8%341 W · 305 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed FUT Esports | 56c | 6,815$3,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,998.69 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked FUT Esports | 71c | 6,285$4,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,852.7 | 173 | 57.2%99 W · 74 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked FUT Esports | 54c | 6,225$3,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,845.43 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked FUT Esports | 56c | 6,000$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,640 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Astralis | 6c | 5,910$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.16 | 815 | 44.4%362 W · 453 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Astralis | 45c | 5,802$2,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,610.9 | 285 | 38.2%109 W · 176 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Astralis | 45c | 5,674$2,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,553.46 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…4653backed Astralis | 44c | 5,514$2,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,426.02 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Astralis | 44c | 5,500$2,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,420 | 352 | 36.4%128 W · 224 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0698…b91dbacked Astralis | 45c | 5,386$2,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,423.29 | 156 | 37.2%58 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed Astralis | 40c | 5,236$2,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,118.89 | 298 | 58.4%174 W · 124 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba0…97bfbacked Astralis | 12c | 5,195$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f49…463abacked FUT Esports | 63c | 5,150$3,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,902.79 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Astralis | 31c | 5,118$1,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,578.98 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8258…bfbcbacked Astralis | 41c | 5,115$2,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,097.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked FUT Esports | 56c | 5,100$2,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,244 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…1e77backed FUT Esports | 60c | 5,073$3,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,033.91 | 111 | 66.7%74 W · 37 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed FUT Esports | 77c | 5,000$3,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 371 | 57.7%214 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Astralis | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 287 | 38%109 W · 178 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…54c9backed Astralis | 18c | 4,791$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.38 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…cfd7backed FUT Esports | 73c | 4,669$3,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.14 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcf…056bbacked FUT Esports | 56c | 4,638$2,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040.63 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x686f…ccb1backed FUT Esports | 58c | 4,581$2,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,903.19 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Astralis | 19c | 4,375$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.25 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Astralis | 14c | 4,339$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.03 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41dc…9c3dbacked Astralis | 9c | 4,202$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.16 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Astralis | 38c | 4,094$1,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,555.69 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…ba33backed Astralis | 22c | 4,086$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.47 | 168 | 47%79 W · 89 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Astralis | 40c | 4,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 720 | 46.1%332 W · 388 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…7776backed Astralis | 22c | 3,994$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98a5…d074backed Astralis | 1c | 3,991$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.26 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Astralis | 14c | 3,850$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.41 | 1,041 | 39.9%415 W · 626 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7044…2eb6backed Astralis | 42c | 3,825$1,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,616.77 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f2…b422backed FUT Esports | 58c | 3,808$2,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.26 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked FUT Esports | 56c | 3,805$2,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,674.21 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c0…19a3backed FUT Esports | 77c | 3,666$2,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.18 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked FUT Esports | 76c | 3,639$2,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.73 | 253 | 61.3%155 W · 98 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc9…7552backed FUT Esports | 57c | 3,492$1,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,501.38 | 167 | 49.1%82 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked FUT Esports | 56c | 3,477$1,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.94 | 193 | 46.1%89 W · 104 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports (BO5) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 1 WinnerFUT Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 2 WinnerFUT Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 3 WinnerAstralis won
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 4 WinnerFUT Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)FUT Esports won
- Map Handicap: FUT (-2.5) vs Astralis (+2.5)Astralis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.