CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: FUT (-2.5) vs Astralis (+2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71656fbb05472800322d931955a132d17eb3128863288241b8c283a4e755153c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astralisof FUT Esports, Astralis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,378
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,900
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,378 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7193…ae51backed Astralis | 73c | 17,200$12,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,574 | 298 | 58.4%174 W · 124 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6902…b4cabacked FUT Esports | 17c | 10,911$1,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900.91 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Astralis | 40c | 6,587$2,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,934.11 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Astralis | 62c | 3,248$2,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.28 | 987 | 52.5%518 W · 469 L | +26.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6e…fa6fbacked FUT Esports | 59c | 2,465$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,463.03 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb53a…e694backed FUT Esports | 25c | 2,318$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.48 | 132 | 38.6%51 W · 81 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf171…85febacked FUT Esports | 17c | 2,236$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.08 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e9…fcc9backed FUT Esports | 44c | 2,196$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.42 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…be9dbacked Astralis | 78c | 2,172$1,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481 | 312 | 53.5%167 W · 145 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked FUT Esports | 58c | 1,972$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.65 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f24…c911backed FUT Esports | 50c | 1,940$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c50…89b6backed FUT Esports | 42c | 1,068$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.46 | 180 | 61.7%111 W · 69 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…ff9bbacked FUT Esports | 50c | 1,064$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.15 | 294 | 52%153 W · 141 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Astralis | 47c | 970.31$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.95 | 335 | 52.5%176 W · 159 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked FUT Esports | 60c | 879.64$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.59 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a6…b1b6backed FUT Esports | 52c | 811.78$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.38 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…3c43backed FUT Esports | 37c | 686.05$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.01 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e86…fce6backed FUT Esports | 76c | 650.15$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.74 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed FUT Esports | 50c | 582$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 143 | 62.9%90 W · 53 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed Astralis | 64c | 560.84$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.23 | 260 | 48.8%127 W · 133 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5593…2cd1backed FUT Esports | 17c | 558.94$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.02 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed FUT Esports | 49c | 511$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.21 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed FUT Esports | 23c | 496.19$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.2 | 5,911 | 37.7%2,228 W · 3,683 L | +74.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd758…7af8backed FUT Esports | 17c | 479.25$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.76 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed FUT Esports | 19c | 390.28$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.15 | 635 | 41.1%261 W · 374 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x211d…3ab7backed FUT Esports | 50c | 388$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 193 | 51.8%100 W · 93 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked FUT Esports | 13c | 311.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.49 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Astralis | 50c | 211.55$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.56 | 2,472 | 44.5%1,101 W · 1,371 L | -68.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Astralis | 46c | 209.89$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.13 | 372 | 32.5%121 W · 251 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…4088backed FUT Esports | 35c | 205.65$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.98 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked FUT Esports | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 734 | 51.1%375 W · 359 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca2…5d25backed FUT Esports | 59c | 179.06$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.33 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Astralis | 41c | 173.44$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.68 | 204 | 39.2%80 W · 124 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4a…43abbacked FUT Esports | 59c | 165.32$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.54 | 184 | 51.1%94 W · 90 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3375…ba50backed FUT Esports | 51c | 148.02$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.39 | 80 | 63.8%51 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fc…0ef5backed FUT Esports | 48c | 143.26$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.79 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Astralis | 36c | 142.67$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.69 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9943…3174backed FUT Esports | 50c | 142.08$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53fc…76d7backed FUT Esports | 16c | 132.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Astralis | 41c | 128.28$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 1,177 | 48.2%567 W · 610 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4189backed FUT Esports | 53c | 119.62$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.4 | 334 | 52.1%174 W · 160 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed FUT Esports | 17c | 112.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…0927backed FUT Esports | 59c | 105.54$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.43 | 41 | 82.9%34 W · 7 L | +8.4wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…f538backed Astralis | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Astralis | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27e9…f09ebacked Astralis | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1512…68f3backed Astralis | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 291 | 53.6%156 W · 135 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd77…6223backed FUT Esports | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x656e…9339backed FUT Esports | 43c | 95.26$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.63 | 418 | 48.8%204 W · 214 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Astralis | 53c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Astralis | 66c | 77.96$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.41 | 185 | 45.4%84 W · 101 L | +9.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe303…401abacked Astralis | 73c | 77.64$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.92 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked FUT Esports | 36c | 76.91$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 499 | 45.9%229 W · 270 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked FUT Esports | 62c | 70.23$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.26 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…b637backed FUT Esports | 55c | 70$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 633 | 38.2%242 W · 391 L | -18.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21b8…47f4backed FUT Esports | 63c | 69$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.63 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Astralis | 42c | 68.94$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Astralis | 76c | 64.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.67 | 372 | 47.3%176 W · 196 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6018…f21bbacked FUT Esports | 37c | 60.78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cc…b2e6backed FUT Esports | 72c | 54.62$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.33 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Astralis | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 293 | 47.8%140 W · 153 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdffe…b4d3backed FUT Esports | 25c | 46.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 146 | 30.8%45 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Astralis | 42c | 35.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.87 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7344…98f6backed FUT Esports | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72c4…7a73backed FUT Esports | 48c | 30.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.29per pick | 44cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Astralis | 42c | 30.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 275 | 56.7%156 W · 119 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fa…cecfbacked FUT Esports | 50c | 29.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bed…fd9cbacked FUT Esports | 50c | 29.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 206 | 56.8%117 W · 89 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Astralis | 72c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 217 | 39.2%85 W · 132 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9a…73fabacked FUT Esports | 58c | 27.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 393 | 53.2%209 W · 184 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…b7abbacked FUT Esports | 50c | 21.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Astralis | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 368 | 45.9%169 W · 199 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Astralis | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Astralis | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Astralis | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed FUT Esports | 57c | 18.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: FUT (-2.5) vs Astralis (+2.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports (BO5) - PGL Bucharest PlayoffsFUT Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 1 WinnerFUT Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 2 WinnerFUT Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 3 WinnerAstralis won
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 4 WinnerFUT Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)FUT Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.