CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61e96ffbfc954211f0b221f5cbf82d93e6e681e7f81f16fc1e02b78801c741bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FUT Esportsof Astralis, FUT Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $181,511
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $215,334
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $181,511 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 238 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2cad…eb66backed FUT Esports | 80c | 16,914$13,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,412.46 | 125 | 71.2%89 W · 36 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked FUT Esports | 52c | 15,000$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,200 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf31b…241bbacked Astralis | 17c | 11,916$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,997.64 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4189backed Astralis | 20c | 7,500$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,514.99 | 334 | 52.1%174 W · 160 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Astralis | 32c | 6,805$2,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,153.29 | 325 | 52.6%171 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…18a4backed Astralis | 48c | 5,036$2,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,420.1 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255f…cd91backed Astralis | 48c | 4,213$2,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,019.01 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked Astralis | 48c | 4,040$1,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,939.2 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf94f…9adabacked FUT Esports | 70c | 3,558$2,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.17 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked FUT Esports | 56c | 3,212$1,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420.53 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cf…a603backed FUT Esports | 52c | 3,148$1,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,510.64 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed Astralis | 48c | 3,003$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,441.57 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed Astralis | 48c | 2,718$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.45 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Astralis | 38c | 2,482$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.71 | 121 | 48.8%59 W · 62 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…7307backed FUT Esports | 71c | 2,482$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.72 | 132 | 67.4%89 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed FUT Esports | 74c | 2,447$1,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.01 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Astralis | 47c | 2,195$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.7 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Astralis | 51c | 2,164$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.63 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked FUT Esports | 61c | 2,075$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.33 | 173 | 57.2%99 W · 74 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Astralis | 46c | 1,954$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.88 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Astralis | 27c | 1,924$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -15.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked FUT Esports | 79c | 1,887$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.37 | 145 | 63.4%92 W · 53 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked FUT Esports | 59c | 1,817$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.72 | 409 | 50.6%207 W · 202 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Astralis | 18c | 1,449$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.58 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed52…2dbdbacked FUT Esports | 78c | 1,431$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.01 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Astralis | 40c | 1,390$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.68 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…c372backed Astralis | 52c | 1,355$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.8 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc19e…c764backed FUT Esports | 48c | 1,243$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.02 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…b30bbacked Astralis | 8c | 1,211$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.98 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd537…0f7cbacked FUT Esports | 64c | 1,197$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.05 | 334 | 57.8%193 W · 141 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked FUT Esports | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.31 | 314 | 51.6%162 W · 152 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed FUT Esports | 60c | 1,171$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.48 | 454 | 55.1%250 W · 204 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked FUT Esports | 62c | 1,170$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.59 | 197 | 41.6%82 W · 115 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f4adbacked Astralis | 34c | 1,146$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.05 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed FUT Esports | 56c | 1,142$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…7d57backed FUT Esports | 48c | 1,130$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.74 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed Astralis | 38c | 1,061$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.68 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed FUT Esports | 68c | 1,052$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.93 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…1e77backed FUT Esports | 54c | 1,042$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 111 | 66.7%74 W · 37 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf171…85febacked FUT Esports | 49c | 989.64$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.95 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked FUT Esports | 56c | 973.38$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.85 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Astralis | 31c | 927.68$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.58 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd0…c5aebacked Astralis | 2c | 885.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 92 | 4.3%4 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Astralis | 37c | 845.63$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.64 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0698…b91dbacked FUT Esports | 48c | 807.33$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.81 | 156 | 37.2%58 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Astralis | 48c | 796.15$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.15 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed FUT Esports | 47c | 786.74$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.97 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Astralis | 26c | 764.89$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.47 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked FUT Esports | 67c | 728.16$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.29 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4de…0da4backed FUT Esports | 66c | 722.11$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 339 | 60.8%206 W · 133 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed FUT Esports | 49c | 700$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bfe…1220backed Astralis | 44c | 663.69$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.45 | 92 | 66.3%61 W · 31 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0b…4e72backed FUT Esports | 56c | 619.02$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.42 | 200 | 59%118 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…de56backed FUT Esports | 48c | 606.49$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.37 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Astralis | 44c | 600$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed FUT Esports | 80c | 577.98$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.67 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Astralis | 52c | 532.29$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.8 | 214 | 60.3%129 W · 85 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed FUT Esports | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 534 | 44.9%240 W · 294 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed FUT Esports | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 320 | 42.5%136 W · 184 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Astralis | 40c | 499.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…be9dbacked Astralis | 53c | 485.9$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.53 | 312 | 53.5%167 W · 145 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Astralis | 47c | 484.1$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.53 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb53a…e694backed FUT Esports | 54c | 481.66$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.32 | 132 | 38.6%51 W · 81 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8b…2858backed Astralis | 54c | 480.8$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.63 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -49%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x211d…3ab7backed Astralis | 20c | 477.7$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.2 | 193 | 51.8%100 W · 93 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b97…4d93backed Astralis | 35c | 458.32$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.41 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed FUT Esports | 56c | 449.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.99 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed FUT Esports | 66c | 435.68$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.47 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…85d4backed Astralis | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 368 | 37.5%138 W · 230 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed FUT Esports | 49c | 387.81$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.95 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed Astralis | 50c | 385.04$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.05 | 508 | 46.3%235 W · 273 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Astralis | 22c | 376.36$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.97 | 618 | 37.9%234 W · 384 L | -22.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63ff…5f94backed FUT Esports | 52c | 373.54$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.3 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Astralis | 4c | 365.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…6d61backed Astralis | 54c | 361.02$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.46 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -12.3wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…2c42backed Astralis | 54c | 359.99$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.48 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Astralis | 53c | 358.06$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.51 | 353 | 41.6%147 W · 206 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…3c43backed Astralis | 54c | 356.3$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.17 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f4f…9787backed Astralis | 51c | 333$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.83 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbe…b6d8backed Astralis | 43c | 310.26$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.98 | 149 | 29.5%44 W · 105 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…0335backed FUT Esports | 51c | 305.99$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.93 | 365 | 54.8%200 W · 165 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed FUT Esports | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92e9…6e6ebacked Astralis | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04db…7703backed Astralis | 32c | 300$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 416 | 45.9%191 W · 225 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd795…589abacked Astralis | 32c | 296.7$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.52 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…3c9cbacked Astralis | 53c | 291.54$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.52 | 286 | 57.7%165 W · 121 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed Astralis | 26c | 286.76$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.9 | 321 | 36.8%118 W · 203 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cfd…cd33backed Astralis | 40c | 276.27$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.51 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd468…f6febacked Astralis | 25c | 266.13$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.46 | 460 | 42.8%197 W · 263 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed Astralis | 44c | 263.07$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.11 | 428 | 45.6%195 W · 233 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked FUT Esports | 54c | 259.2$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.23 | 840 | 37.9%318 W · 522 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0311…f80ebacked Astralis | 19c | 256.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.72 | 181 | 26.5%48 W · 133 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed FUT Esports | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed FUT Esports | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ef…813bbacked Astralis | 47c | 244.21$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.78 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f99…db70backed FUT Esports | 60c | 244$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.6 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a3…0c69backed FUT Esports | 76c | 234.57$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.24 | 201 | 56.2%113 W · 88 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffdc…ce87backed FUT Esports | 65c | 227.44$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.68 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe692…ea10backed Astralis | 7c | 220$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 176 | 17%30 W · 146 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9a01backed FUT Esports | 52c | 213.01$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.24 | 439 | 33.7%148 W · 291 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports (BO5) - PGL Bucharest PlayoffsFUT Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 2 WinnerFUT Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 3 WinnerAstralis won
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 4 WinnerFUT Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)FUT Esports won
- Map Handicap: FUT (-2.5) vs Astralis (+2.5)Astralis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.