TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FUT Esportsof Astralis, FUT Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$181,511
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$215,334

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $181,511 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 238 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2cad…eb66backed FUT Esports80c16,914$13,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,412.4612571.2%89 W · 36 L+11.9wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+10.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked FUT Esports52c15,000$7,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,20076058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf31b…241bbacked Astralis17c11,916$1,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,997.6422927.5%63 W · 166 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4189backed Astralis20c7,500$1,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,514.9933452.1%174 W · 160 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Astralis32c6,805$2,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,153.2932552.6%171 W · 154 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0562…18a4backed Astralis48c5,036$2,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,420.120448.5%99 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x255f…cd91backed Astralis48c4,213$2,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,019.018947.2%42 W · 47 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8688…9d8cbacked Astralis48c4,040$1,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,939.27948.1%38 W · 41 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf94f…9adabacked FUT Esports70c3,558$2,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,055.175267.3%35 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked FUT Esports56c3,212$1,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,420.531,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd7cf…a603backed FUT Esports52c3,148$1,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,510.643056.7%17 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b39…3234backed Astralis48c3,003$1,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,441.5731345%141 W · 172 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed Astralis48c2,718$1,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,301.4525248.8%123 W · 129 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7756…d00abacked Astralis38c2,482$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952.7112148.8%59 W · 62 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ec…7307backed FUT Esports71c2,482$1,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.7213267.4%89 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed FUT Esports74c2,447$1,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.0150054.4%272 W · 228 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed Astralis47c2,195$1,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,031.728248.9%138 W · 144 L+21.4wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Astralis51c2,164$1,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,103.6383652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c14…d8fbbacked FUT Esports61c2,075$1,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.3317357.2%99 W · 74 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Astralis46c1,954$899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.889343%40 W · 53 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed Astralis27c1,924$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52714839.2%58 W · 90 L-15.4wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-29.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked FUT Esports79c1,887$1,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.3714563.4%92 W · 53 L-0.2wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked FUT Esports59c1,817$1,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.7240950.6%207 W · 202 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Astralis18c1,449$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.585,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xed52…2dbdbacked FUT Esports78c1,431$1,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.0113553.3%72 W · 63 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed Astralis40c1,390$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.6814847.3%70 W · 78 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1032…c372backed Astralis52c1,355$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.87157.7%41 W · 30 L+8.6wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+27.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc19e…c764backed FUT Esports48c1,243$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.022751.9%14 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1448…b30bbacked Astralis8c1,211$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.989546.3%44 W · 51 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+3.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd537…0f7cbacked FUT Esports64c1,197$767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.0533457.8%193 W · 141 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked FUT Esports51c1,176$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.3131451.6%162 W · 152 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed FUT Esports60c1,171$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.4845455.1%250 W · 204 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3741…517ebacked FUT Esports62c1,170$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.5919741.6%82 W · 115 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4f9…f4adbacked Astralis34c1,146$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.0519047.9%91 W · 99 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed FUT Esports56c1,142$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50349646.6%231 W · 265 L+1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x802b…7d57backed FUT Esports48c1,130$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.748032.5%26 W · 54 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1c93…33d5backed Astralis38c1,061$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.6848437.6%182 W · 302 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+42%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed FUT Esports68c1,052$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.9333553.4%179 W · 156 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f14…1e77backed FUT Esports54c1,042$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48011166.7%74 W · 37 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+3.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf171…85febacked FUT Esports49c989.64$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.957350.7%37 W · 36 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked FUT Esports56c973.38$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.851,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Astralis31c927.68$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.5875245.5%342 W · 410 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbdd0…c5aebacked Astralis2c885.81$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.72924.3%4 W · 88 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Astralis37c845.63$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.644,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0698…b91dbacked FUT Esports48c807.33$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.8115637.2%58 W · 98 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Astralis48c796.15$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.1511655.2%64 W · 52 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed FUT Esports47c786.74$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.9746749.7%232 W · 235 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Astralis26c764.89$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.471,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked FUT Esports67c728.16$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.291,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4de…0da4backed FUT Esports66c722.11$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.533960.8%206 W · 133 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed FUT Esports49c700$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3591,03839.9%414 W · 624 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bfe…1220backed Astralis44c663.69$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.459266.3%61 W · 31 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e0b…4e72backed FUT Esports56c619.02$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.4220059%118 W · 82 L-0.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c1b…de56backed FUT Esports48c606.49$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.3710442.3%44 W · 60 L-0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Astralis44c600$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26481244.3%360 W · 452 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed FUT Esports80c577.98$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.672250%11 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Astralis52c532.29$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.821460.3%129 W · 85 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed FUT Esports52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24053444.9%240 W · 294 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fc7…62b9backed FUT Esports53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23532042.5%136 W · 184 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Astralis40c499.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20051252.3%268 W · 244 L+16.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe02…be9dbacked Astralis53c485.9$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.5331253.5%167 W · 145 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Astralis47c484.1$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.5329044.8%130 W · 160 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb53a…e694backed FUT Esports54c481.66$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.3213238.6%51 W · 81 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a8b…2858backed Astralis54c480.8$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.63728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-49%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x211d…3ab7backed Astralis20c477.7$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.219351.8%100 W · 93 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b97…4d93backed Astralis35c458.32$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.418151.9%42 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed FUT Esports56c449.83$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.9955950.3%281 W · 278 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed FUT Esports66c435.68$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.4787047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd752…85d4backed Astralis30c400$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12036837.5%138 W · 230 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4dd…4f27backed FUT Esports49c387.81$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.9550947%239 W · 270 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed Astralis50c385.04$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.0550846.3%235 W · 273 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Astralis22c376.36$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.9761837.9%234 W · 384 L-22.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x63ff…5f94backed FUT Esports52c373.54$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.315259.9%91 W · 61 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Astralis4c365.49$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5456732.5%184 W · 383 L-30.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3804…6d61backed Astralis54c361.02$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.466426.6%17 W · 47 L-12.3wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-47%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x56b3…2c42backed Astralis54c359.99$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.4836749.3%181 W · 186 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Astralis53c358.06$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.5135341.6%147 W · 206 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x847e…3c43backed Astralis54c356.3$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.1729052.4%152 W · 138 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f4f…9787backed Astralis51c333$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.83837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-48.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdbe…b6d8backed Astralis43c310.26$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.9814929.5%44 W · 105 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb87…0335backed FUT Esports51c305.99$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.9336554.8%200 W · 165 L+23.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9942…5c84backed FUT Esports50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15032653.1%173 W · 153 L-1.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92e9…6e6ebacked Astralis10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04db…7703backed Astralis32c300$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9541645.9%191 W · 225 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd795…589abacked Astralis32c296.7$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.524951%25 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe72b…3c9cbacked Astralis53c291.54$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.5228657.7%165 W · 121 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed Astralis26c286.76$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.932136.8%118 W · 203 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cfd…cd33backed Astralis40c276.27$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.51520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd468…f6febacked Astralis25c266.13$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.4646042.8%197 W · 263 L+16.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf035…0924backed Astralis44c263.07$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.1142845.6%195 W · 233 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xadaf…aefdbacked FUT Esports54c259.2$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.2384037.9%318 W · 522 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0311…f80ebacked Astralis19c256.54$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7218126.5%48 W · 133 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+26.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed FUT Esports51c250$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1222,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd41b…f231backed FUT Esports60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1004955.1%27 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3ef…813bbacked Astralis47c244.21$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.783743.2%16 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f99…db70backed FUT Esports60c244$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.615045.3%68 W · 82 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1a3…0c69backed FUT Esports76c234.57$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2420156.2%113 W · 88 L+0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffdc…ce87backed FUT Esports65c227.44$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.685139.2%20 W · 31 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-29.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe692…ea10backed Astralis7c220$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.417617%30 W · 146 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…9a01backed FUT Esports52c213.01$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.2443933.7%148 W · 291 L-0.9wins0.00per pick34cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.