TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 3 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Astralisof Astralis, FUT Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$710,267
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$812,610

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $710,267 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 426 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xba38…e406backed Astralis41c39,951$16,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,571.255156.9%29 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd20f…2f35backed FUT Esports65c34,480$22,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,386.378750.6%44 W · 43 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked FUT Esports70c31,269$21,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,960.122965.5%19 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc690…42b8backed Astralis48c30,356$14,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,719.97633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-43.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6df6…8458backed Astralis33c12,951$4,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,692.0332425.3%82 W · 242 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Astralis29c12,588$3,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,987.013,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Astralis40c12,002$4,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,170.6830726.4%81 W · 226 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked FUT Esports59c11,417$6,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,736.2514954.4%81 W · 68 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Astralis40c11,003$4,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,581.9132552.6%171 W · 154 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cad…eb66backed FUT Esports56c10,141$5,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,720.6112571.2%89 W · 36 L+11.9wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+10.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked FUT Esports59c9,875$5,827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,826.5364852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked FUT Esports56c9,868$5,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,519.223,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Astralis40c9,676$3,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,815.483652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked FUT Esports46c9,432$4,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,294.712,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x410d…d831backed Astralis31c8,560$2,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,913.263930.8%12 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Astralis41c8,475$3,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,000.1835153.8%189 W · 162 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f9c…34d9backed FUT Esports59c8,266$4,877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8772759.3%16 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Astralis46c7,289$3,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,956.0459839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed Astralis40c6,667$2,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,973.3436645.4%166 W · 200 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8921…a263backed FUT Esports66c6,434$4,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,241.4640%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1b39…3234backed FUT Esports65c6,291$4,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,077.9931345%141 W · 172 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b9a…3f5fbacked FUT Esports59c6,049$3,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,568.9923653.4%126 W · 110 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed FUT Esports56c5,988$3,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,338.0275450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed FUT Esports57c5,468$3,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,136.5550054.4%272 W · 228 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x246b…fb5bbacked Astralis57c5,111$2,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,188.553762.2%23 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked FUT Esports60c4,929$2,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,971.742,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf94f…9adabacked Astralis59c4,809$2,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,981.045267.3%35 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked FUT Esports58c4,800$2,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,783.9929046.9%136 W · 154 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf679…16acbacked FUT Esports69c4,576$3,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,157.4217042.9%73 W · 97 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x70c1…dba0backed Astralis40c4,400$1,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,639.9916152.8%85 W · 76 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ec6…a2f1backed Astralis47c4,000$1,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,119.98650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked FUT Esports67c3,945$2,629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,629.431,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e85…3015backed FUT Esports59c3,842$2,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,266.698563.5%54 W · 31 L+9.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+35%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed FUT Esports48c3,728$1,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,797.3187047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed FUT Esports54c3,645$1,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,965.5449646.6%231 W · 265 L+1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f14…1e77backed FUT Esports54c3,436$1,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,854.4611166.7%74 W · 37 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+3.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e76…05aabacked FUT Esports50c3,299$1,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,647.252572%18 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe02…be9dbacked FUT Esports59c3,170$1,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,870.3331253.5%167 W · 145 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x255f…cd91backed Astralis48c3,169$1,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,648.18947.2%42 W · 47 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked FUT Esports57c3,163$1,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,793.441,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x802b…7d57backed Astralis43c3,050$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,750.558032.5%26 W · 54 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed FUT Esports61c3,042$1,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,866.766,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed FUT Esports59c2,926$1,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,726.4646949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc24…c8c4backed FUT Esports57c2,922$1,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,659.422850%14 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked Astralis33c2,863$953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,909.7128443.7%124 W · 160 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ec…7307backed FUT Esports72c2,800$2,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,008.2213267.4%89 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed FUT Esports60c2,780$1,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,667.981,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Astralis28c2,483$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,778.692,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked FUT Esports45c2,458$1,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,105.241,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed FUT Esports63c2,251$1,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,428.8833553.4%179 W · 156 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9ac…9170backed FUT Esports59c2,241$1,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,322.23728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick59cpaid-47.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6bdd…1b11backed Astralis47c2,128$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.6622045.5%100 W · 120 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3673…1d20backed FUT Esports60c2,114$1,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,265.261145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Astralis41c1,946$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,148.431,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93df…7306backed Astralis40c1,829$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,106.093253.1%17 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-24.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6e59…beeebacked FUT Esports42c1,779$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745.991353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c63…3cbbbacked FUT Esports69c1,771$1,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,218.0646165.5%302 W · 159 L+0.4wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed FUT Esports53c1,751$928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927.8756732.5%184 W · 383 L-30.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed FUT Esports69c1,748$1,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,206.244252.4%22 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd64d…bcfebacked FUT Esports58c1,650$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.993560%21 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b2b…6813backed FUT Esports62c1,576$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.22254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x490b…eec9backed Astralis42c1,528$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.3811247.3%53 W · 59 L+9.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+16.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked FUT Esports58c1,512$872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872.0310950.5%55 W · 54 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed Astralis53c1,506$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.0757358.8%337 W · 236 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked Astralis52c1,486$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.8865650.3%330 W · 326 L-15.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fbc…62a3backed FUT Esports61c1,480$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$896.3624457%139 W · 105 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed Astralis41c1,447$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853.6714847.3%70 W · 78 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed FUT Esports55c1,433$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792.2191743.7%401 W · 516 L-35.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Astralis47c1,362$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.8828453.5%152 W · 132 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd537…0f7cbacked FUT Esports66c1,352$892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891.9933457.8%193 W · 141 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5674…8b14backed FUT Esports55c1,328$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.2236742.8%157 W · 210 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c38…91b7backed Astralis25c1,227$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926.19837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Astralis47c1,226$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.1552951.4%272 W · 257 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed FUT Esports36c1,224$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.4555043.1%237 W · 313 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x008b…c1cfbacked Astralis15c1,218$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,035.386355.6%35 W · 28 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b14…039bbacked FUT Esports69c1,128$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.4811871.2%84 W · 34 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf0ef…c822backed Astralis53c1,124$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.0315373.2%112 W · 41 L+18.5wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+14.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked FUT Esports14c1,111$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.3619540%78 W · 117 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Astralis27c1,092$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.1824538.4%94 W · 151 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9635…ae57backed FUT Esports80c1,065$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852.1950%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3741…517ebacked FUT Esports59c1,060$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.419741.6%82 W · 115 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Astralis32c1,045$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.991,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Astralis49c1,040$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.124,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed FUT Esports50c1,040$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5208938.2%34 W · 55 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0b1…0e7bbacked FUT Esports58c1,027$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.53633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-48.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cf4…20b3backed FUT Esports48c1,019$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.2610748.6%52 W · 55 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed FUT Esports65c1,011$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.712250%11 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed FUT Esports47c1,009$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.285,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Astralis19c1,009$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.4857322.3%128 W · 445 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd468…f6febacked Astralis29c1,003$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.7346042.8%197 W · 263 L+16.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed FUT Esports58c999.99$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.9946749.7%232 W · 235 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c93…33d5backed Astralis40c996.57$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.9448437.6%182 W · 302 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+42%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfedd…be0cbacked FUT Esports59c995.58$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.621060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Astralis42c982.28$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.7278639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d93…2cf1backed Astralis39c978.95$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.511643.1%50 W · 66 L-13.6wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-27.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcfaf…9206backed Astralis33c972.01$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.821246.2%98 W · 114 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62c2…c7aebacked Astralis33c969.81$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.511735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7811…6e14backed FUT Esports52c918.98$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.2216442.7%70 W · 94 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x642c…21a7backed Astralis23c911.91$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.9320251%103 W · 99 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63ff…5f94backed FUT Esports66c894.09$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.5715259.9%91 W · 61 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.